NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks

Oklahoma City
Thunder
48 - 33
Milwaukee
Bucks
60 - 21
April 10, 2019, 8:00 PM EDT
 | Fiserv Forum

Game Preview

Oklahoma City
Thunder
48 - 33
Milwaukee
Bucks
60 - 21
April 10, 2019, 8:00 PM EDT
 | Fiserv Forum
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder may have gotten the biggest win of their season when they knocked off the Houston Rockets last night and now can lock in the 6 seed in the West with a win over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are resting most of their starting lineup and when Giannis Antetokounmpo doesn’t play, Milwaukee is 4-5 SU in nine games this season and has lost its last three when he sits.

    As a result, the Thunder opened as 4-point favorites (since moved to -3) with a total of 229.

    Thunder vs Bucks Game Center

    STANDOUT STATS

    • The Bucks lead the NBA in scoring since the all-star break (121.1 points per game) while ranking ninth in field-goal percentage and 11th in three-point percentage. When playing at home since the break, they’ve gone 10-2 SU and have a +11.3 point differential. That being said, they will not have Giannis Antetokounmpo or Brook Lopez playing tonight and will likely have their other regular starters on a minutes limit. In nine games this season without Giannis in the lineup, the Bucks are 4-5 SU and dropped their last three games without him. 
    • Since the all-star break, the Bucks defense has limited teams to 113.5 points per game while ranking second in opponent field-goal percentage. However, where they’ve gotten in trouble is defending the three-point line as they’re allowing opponents to shoot 37.4 attempts from behind the arc (ranked last in the NBA) and hit 36.4 percent of those shots.
    • The Thunder are jockeying for playoff position in the Western Conference and after beating the Rockets last night can lock in the 6 seed with a win tonight. However, a loss would drop them to eighth and have them facing the Warriors in the first round. In road games since the all-star break, the Thunder are 4-6 SU and they’ve been allowing teams to hit 38.9 percent of their three-point attempts.
    • The Thunder are riding a four-game win streak coming into this one and only one of those games was won by double digits. The Thunder are also on the second game of a back-to-back and are 6-5 SU and 4-7 ATS in 11 games in that situation. The last two times they were in this scenario, they were on the road to the Clippers and Pacers and lost both games while failing to cover the spread.
    • A lot of UNDER trends coming into this matchup. The UNDER has hit in six of the Bucks’ last eight games with Giannis out of the lineup while the UNDER has also hit in the last six games in this matchup (avg. combined score: 200.6). The totals have also fallen short lately when the Thunder are on the second game of a back-to-back as it’s hit in the last four games in that spot (avg. combined score: 217.5).

    My Best Bet for Thunder vs Bucks 

    UNDER 229

    The numbers feel too easy to take the Thunder as a 4-point favorite but I think the UNDER is the smarter play. The Bucks have a ton of depth in their lineup and have showcased this season that they can still be very competitive even when Giannis doesn’t play.

    The Thunder’s offense has dipped since the all-star break and I think with the stakes of them trying to avoid the Warriors, they’ll likely keep this game’s pace at a crawl and try to win each possession. I also think that if the game gets out of hand in the fourth quarter, they’ll likely sit all of their starters and rest up for the postseason. There are so many UNDER trends that it’s hard to ignore so I’d rather lean to a low-scoring game than bank on either team to cover the spread.

Odds

Wednesday, April 10 Wed Apr 10


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-4
-109
-179
o224
-110
+4
-109
+149
u224
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
-4.5
-110
-205
o227
-110
+4.5
-110
+175
u227
-110

Edge Finder

103.73
Total Score
113.86
42.98
Field Goal %
46.39
32.32
Three Point %
36.17
75.55
Free Throw %
77.04
45.60
Total Rebounds
47.21
103.73
Total Score
113.86
24.95
First Quarter
29.30
26.50
Second Quarter
28.26
26.04
Third Quarter
28.70
25.43
Fourth Quarter
27.35
42.98
Field Goal %
46.39
75.55
Free Throw %
77.04
32.32
Three Point %
36.17
37.39
Three's Attempts
37.65
12.09
Three's Made
13.62
10.41
Offensive
10.21
35.18
Defensive
37.00
45.60
Total Rebounds
47.21
22.22
Assists
23.51
18.26
Fouls
18.34
13.28
Turnovers
12.78
7.59
Steals
7.24

Head To Head

OKC
Stat Type MIL
7-3
Record
3-7
5-4-1
ATS
4-5-1
2-8
O/U
2-8
105.50
Score
96.70
54.50
Half Time Score
46.10
45.22%
Field Goal Percentage
42.45%
48.90
Rebounds
41.20
88/253
3 Point Shots
75/235
7.10
Steals
7.90
OKC
Stat Type MIL
2-1
Record
1-2
2-1
ATS
1-2
0-3
O/U
0-3
107.67
Score
100.00
53.33
Half Time Score
47.33
47.29%
Field Goal Percentage
44.05%
47.67
Rebounds
41.00
35/85
3 Point Shots
33/96
5.33
Steals
7.67
Jan 27/19 (1 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type MIL
Home
Away
118
Score
112
+1
ATS
-1
235.5 o
O/U
235.5 u
56
Half Time Score
42
46.80%
Field Goal Percentage
42.90%
52
Rebounds
49
16/32
3 Point Shots
15/37
5
Steals
6
Dec 29/17 (2 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type MIL
Home
Away
95
Score
97
-6.5
ATS
+6.5
208 o
O/U
208 u
44
Half Time Score
58
45.80%
Field Goal Percentage
47.10%
45
Rebounds
43
7/25
3 Point Shots
9/29
5
Steals
9
Oct 31/17 (3 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type MIL
Away
Home
110
Score
91
-2
ATS
+2
210 o
O/U
210 u
60
Half Time Score
42
49.40%
Field Goal Percentage
42.10%
46
Rebounds
31
12/28
3 Point Shots
9/30
6
Steals
8
Apr 4/17 (4 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type MIL
Home
Away
110
Score
79
-6
ATS
+6
210 o
O/U
210 u
63
Half Time Score
39
47.60%
Field Goal Percentage
35.80%
53
Rebounds
38
9/28
3 Point Shots
3/18
9
Steals
9
Jan 2/17 (5 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type MIL
Away
Home
94
Score
98
+1.5
ATS
-1.5
214 o
O/U
214 u
56
Half Time Score
50
46.20%
Field Goal Percentage
48.10%
40
Rebounds
39
9/27
3 Point Shots
7/19
7
Steals
4
Mar 6/16 (6 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type MIL
Away
Home
104
Score
96
-8
ATS
+8
219 o
O/U
219 u
64
Half Time Score
48
42.70%
Field Goal Percentage
37.80%
54
Rebounds
43
7/25
3 Point Shots
3/19
5
Steals
17
Dec 29/15 (7 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type MIL
Home
Away
131
Score
123
-13.5
ATS
+13.5
207 o
O/U
207 u
65
Half Time Score
54
50.00%
Field Goal Percentage
49.00%
41
Rebounds
47
8/22
3 Point Shots
10/16
12
Steals
6
Dec 9/14 (8 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type MIL
Home
Away
114
Score
101
-10
ATS
+10
201 o
O/U
201 u
61
Half Time Score
52
50.00%
Field Goal Percentage
40.50%
54
Rebounds
31
4/21
3 Point Shots
4/21
10
Steals
8
Nov 11/14 (9 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type MIL
Away
Home
78
Score
85
+2
ATS
-2
191 o
O/U
191 u
38
Half Time Score
41
33.30%
Field Goal Percentage
40.70%
46
Rebounds
51
6/20
3 Point Shots
3/15
6
Steals
5
Jan 11/14 (10 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type MIL
Home
Away
101
Score
85
-15
ATS
+15
195.5 o
O/U
195.5 u
38
Half Time Score
35
40.70%
Field Goal Percentage
39.50%
58
Rebounds
40
10/25
3 Point Shots
12/31
6
Steals
7

Team Records

OKC
Record MIL
48-33
All
60-21
27-14
Home
33-7
21-19
Away
27-14
36-24
As Fav
54-19
12-9
As Dog
6-2
41-40
ATS
47-30-4
21-20
ATS Home
23-15-2
20-20
ATS Away
24-15-2
37-41-3
O/U
40-41
21-19-1
O/U Home
20-20
16-22-2
O/U Away
20-21
OKC
Record MIL
6-4
All
7-3
4-3
Home
5-1
2-1
Away
2-2
4-4
As Fav
6-3
2-0
As Dog
1-0
5-5
ATS
5-4-1
4-3
ATS Home
3-2-1
1-2
ATS Away
2-2
5-4-1
O/U
6-4
3-4
O/U Home
3-3
2-0-1
O/U Away
3-1
OKC
Record MIL
9-7
All
14-2
4-4
Home
8-0
5-3
Away
6-2
5-6
As Fav
14-2
4-1
As Dog
0-0
7-9
ATS
12-3-1
3-5
ATS Home
7-1
4-4
ATS Away
5-2-1
9-7
O/U
4-12
6-2
O/U Home
3-5
3-5
O/U Away
1-7
OKC
Record MIL
20-9
All
40-12
10-5
Home
22-4
10-4
Away
18-8
15-6
As Fav
36-11
5-3
As Dog
4-1
18-11
ATS
32-17-3
9-6
ATS Home
17-8-1
9-5
ATS Away
15-9-2
15-13-1
O/U
24-28
7-8
O/U Home
13-13
8-5-1
O/U Away
11-15
OKC
Record MIL
28-24
All
20-9
17-9
Home
11-3
11-15
Away
9-6
21-18
As Fav
18-8
7-6
As Dog
2-1
23-29
ATS
15-13-1
12-14
ATS Home
6-7-1
11-15
ATS Away
9-6
22-28-2
O/U
16-13
14-11-1
O/U Home
7-7
8-17-1
O/U Away
9-6

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Luguentz Dort SG Is "?" Monday vs Golden State, Hamstring
Aleksej Pokusevski SF Is out indefinitely, Leg
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl SF Is out indefinitely, Ankle
Chet Holmgren PF Is out for season, Foot
Name Position Inj Desc
Serge Ibaka PF Is out indefinitely, Personal
Bobby Portis PF Is out indefinitely, Knee
AJ Green SG Is "?" Sunday vs New Orleans, Ankle

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Apr 9, 2019 HOU 112-111 W +3 229.50 W/U 41.67 80.00 16
Apr 7, 2019 MIN 132-126 W -6.5 229.50 L/O 52.17 84.62 14
Apr 5, 2019 DET 123-110 W -6 216 W/O 47.52 68.18 12
Apr 2, 2019 LAL 119-103 W -12.5 226 W/U 46.08 60.00 13
Mar 31, 2019 DAL 103-106 L -12.5 218 L/U 38.78 72.73 11
Mar 29, 2019 DEN 105-115 L -4.5 218 L/O 48.86 68.75 8
Mar 27, 2019 IND 107-99 W -6.5 217.50 W/U 44.57 63.16 13
Mar 25, 2019 MEM 103-115 L -7.5 216 L/O 40.00 75.00 12
Mar 22, 2019 TOR 116-109 W +2 225 W/P 44.68 85.71 20
Mar 20, 2019 TOR 114-123 L -5 227 L/O 41.75 51.72 13
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Apr 7, 2019 ATL 115-107 W -11.5 235 L/U 43.96 76.47 9
Apr 6, 2019 BKN 128-133 L -3.5 235.50 L/O 55.68 66.67 16
Apr 4, 2019 PHI 128-122 W -4 231.50 W/O 45.16 74.42 12
Apr 1, 2019 BKN 131-121 W +1 229.50 W/O 50.00 86.67 11
Mar 31, 2019 ATL 135-136 L -2 230.50 L/O 41.38 95.65 17
Mar 28, 2019 LAC 128-118 W -10 231 P/O 52.33 81.48 16
Mar 26, 2019 HOU 108-94 W -3 224 W/U 44.68 76.92 14
Mar 24, 2019 CLE 127-105 W -14 223.50 W/O 55.17 76.19 15
Mar 22, 2019 MIA 116-87 W -7.5 217.50 W/U 50.59 65.00 17
Mar 20, 2019 CLE 102-107 L -5.5 225 L/U 39.56 80.95 13
View Game Logs