NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers

Oklahoma City
Thunder
24 - 13
Portland
Trail Blazers
22 - 16
January 04, 2019, 10:30 PM EST
 | Moda Center at the Rose Quarter

Game Preview

Oklahoma City
Thunder
24 - 13
Portland
Trail Blazers
22 - 16
January 04, 2019, 10:30 PM EST
 | Moda Center at the Rose Quarter
  • Two of the Western Conference’s second-tier teams will duke it out in Oregon as the Oklahoma City Thunder visit the feisty Portland Trail Blazers. The Thunder are tied for second in the West at 24-13 SU in 37 games but have not fared well in this matchup lately as they’ve dropped six straight games to the Blazers and haven’t won at the Moda Center since 2014. The Blazers will look to capitalize on that trend and are 14-6 SU in 20 home games this season.

    The Blazers opened as 1-point favorites with a total of 223.

    SHARK BITES
    • The Blazers are 6-0 SU and ATS in their last 6 games vs the Thunder.
    • The Thunder are 4th in the NBA in points allowed per game.
    • The UNDER has hit in the Blazers’ last 5 games (avg. combined score: 219.6).

    Thunder vs Trail Blazers Game Center

    Thunder’s Defense Is Close to Championship Level

    Typically, when we think of the Thunder, we think of triple-doubles and Russell Westbrook but it’s the defense that sets them apart. After locking up the Lakers and holding them to 100 points, the Thunder continue to roll and have pushed themselves to second in the Western Conference. OKC has won seven of its last 10 games and held five teams below 100 points in that span. With that performance against Los Angeles, the Thunder are fourth in the NBA in points allowed per game and lead the league in forced turnovers.

    The Thunder may only rank 11th in points scored per game but with the strong effort on the other end of the court, they now are second in the NBA in point differential behind the Bucks. That puts them in some elite company as the team that has led the league in point differential has won the championship in four of the last five seasons. So, if OKC can continue its upward trend, it could surpass Milwaukee by February.

    Although I think the Thunder should win this game handily, they’ve been snake-bitten when playing the Blazers. They’ve lost eight straight games at the Moda Center by an average margin of 8.2 points per game. I’m not saying this trend will continue but the Blazers have shown that they are a much better team at home this season than on the road.

    Blazers Have Owned This Matchup

    Wrapping up December with an 8-7 SU record, the Blazers have been the definition of Jekyll and Hyde in the NBA. Portland started off hot but cooled off when the winter hit and now is 22-16 SU in 38 games. But because of how even the West has been this year, the Blazers still sit in fifth in the conference and are only four games back of Denver.

    The Blazers don’t do anything particularly great as they rank near the middle of the league in most offensive categories but they shoot the three-ball really well. Portland ranks 10th in the NBA in three-point percentage and the backcourt of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum is the straw that stirs the drink. Dame and CJ are combining to average 47.8 points per game but an interesting trend that I dug up is that when Lillard scores 30 or more points in a game this season, the Blazers are 3-8 SU in 11 games.

    Going back to last season, the Blazers have been stellar at home with a record of 35-11 SU in their last 46 home games and given how they’ve handled the Thunder recently (6-0 SU and ATS in the last six games in this matchup), I tend to side with the home team in this one.

    Blazers Games Have Been Profitable for UNDER Bettors 

    The total opened at 223 and when the Trail Blazers have been involved, the final score seems to come up short. The UNDER has hit in Portland’s last five games with an average combined score of 219.6 points per game. The UNDER has also hit in three of the last four games in this matchup that have led to an average combined score of 211.5, so totals bettors should expect a low-scoring affair in Oregon.

    My Pick Is…

    I’ve gone back and forth between the moneylines for both teams and I’m going with the Blazers strictly because they’re the home team and they’ve fared well in this matchup. They’ll also be on an extra day of rest compared to the Thunder, who have been on the road for eight of the last nine days.

Odds

Friday, January 4 Fri Jan 4


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-1
-110
-100
o223
-110
+1
-110
-110
u223
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+1
-110
-105
o223.5
-110
-1
-110
-115
u223.5
-110

Edge Finder

103.73
Total Score
106.23
42.98
Field Goal %
44.25
32.32
Three Point %
34.57
75.55
Free Throw %
76.00
45.60
Total Rebounds
42.88
103.73
Total Score
106.23
24.95
First Quarter
26.61
26.50
Second Quarter
28.13
26.04
Third Quarter
26.33
25.43
Fourth Quarter
24.90
42.98
Field Goal %
44.25
75.55
Free Throw %
76.00
32.32
Three Point %
34.57
37.39
Three's Attempts
36.79
12.09
Three's Made
12.72
10.41
Offensive
10.43
35.18
Defensive
32.45
45.60
Total Rebounds
42.88
22.22
Assists
22.93
18.26
Fouls
21.07
13.28
Turnovers
13.67
7.59
Steals
7.90

Head To Head

OKC
Stat Type POR
2-8
Record
8-2
3-7
ATS
7-3
4-5-1
O/U
4-5-1
108.30
Score
110.30
54.80
Half Time Score
56.60
45.22%
Field Goal Percentage
47.56%
43.00
Rebounds
42.10
89/256
3 Point Shots
98/269
8.20
Steals
7.70
OKC
Stat Type POR
0-3
Record
3-0
0-3
ATS
3-0
1-2
O/U
1-2
103.67
Score
111.00
50.67
Half Time Score
54.67
44.02%
Field Goal Percentage
47.88%
39.00
Rebounds
46.00
27/85
3 Point Shots
30/90
7.00
Steals
8.00
Mar 25/18 (1 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type POR
Home
Away
105
Score
108
-4
ATS
+4
218 o
O/U
218 u
52
Half Time Score
57
44.00%
Field Goal Percentage
46.70%
39
Rebounds
49
8/27
3 Point Shots
9/34
9
Steals
8
Mar 3/18 (2 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type POR
Away
Home
100
Score
108
+4.5
ATS
-4.5
215 o
O/U
215 u
50
Half Time Score
53
44.00%
Field Goal Percentage
44.30%
40
Rebounds
47
6/27
3 Point Shots
11/33
6
Steals
6
Jan 9/18 (3 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type POR
Home
Away
106
Score
117
-8
ATS
+8
204.5 o
O/U
204.5 u
50
Half Time Score
54
44.00%
Field Goal Percentage
53.10%
38
Rebounds
42
13/31
3 Point Shots
10/23
6
Steals
10
Nov 5/17 (4 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type POR
Away
Home
99
Score
103
-3
ATS
+3
210.5 o
O/U
210.5 u
46
Half Time Score
50
44.90%
Field Goal Percentage
50.00%
32
Rebounds
44
11/33
3 Point Shots
7/20
11
Steals
6
Mar 7/17 (5 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type POR
Home
Away
121
Score
126
-7
ATS
+7
222 o
O/U
222 u
67
Half Time Score
61
51.80%
Field Goal Percentage
55.30%
39
Rebounds
36
10/25
3 Point Shots
11/23
4
Steals
7
Mar 2/17 (6 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type POR
Away
Home
109
Score
114
-1
ATS
+1
223 o
O/U
223 u
60
Half Time Score
57
39.50%
Field Goal Percentage
49.40%
40
Rebounds
45
11/29
3 Point Shots
10/25
9
Steals
9
Feb 5/17 (7 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type POR
Home
Away
105
Score
99
-5
ATS
+5
218.5 o
O/U
218.5 u
46
Half Time Score
52
40.80%
Field Goal Percentage
40.20%
56
Rebounds
44
4/18
3 Point Shots
10/28
9
Steals
6
Dec 13/16 (8 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type POR
Away
Home
95
Score
114
+2
ATS
-2
218.5 o
O/U
218.5 u
52
Half Time Score
68
37.90%
Field Goal Percentage
53.80%
44
Rebounds
36
8/27
3 Point Shots
8/23
9
Steals
10
Apr 6/16 (9 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type POR
Away
Home
115
Score
120
+8
ATS
-8
213.5 o
O/U
213.5 u
59
Half Time Score
72
47.30%
Field Goal Percentage
51.20%
50
Rebounds
39
9/22
3 Point Shots
15/33
9
Steals
11
Mar 14/16 (10 of 10)
OKC
Stat Type POR
Home
Away
128
Score
94
-7.5
ATS
+7.5
217 o
O/U
217 u
66
Half Time Score
42
59.00%
Field Goal Percentage
34.10%
52
Rebounds
39
9/17
3 Point Shots
7/27
10
Steals
4

Team Records

OKC
Record POR
24-13
All
22-16
13-4
Home
14-6
11-9
Away
8-10
20-9
As Fav
16-6
4-4
As Dog
6-10
21-16
ATS
19-19
10-7
ATS Home
12-8
11-9
ATS Away
7-11
15-20-2
O/U
17-21
10-6-1
O/U Home
8-12
5-14-1
O/U Away
9-9
OKC
Record POR
7-3
All
7-3
3-1
Home
4-2
4-2
Away
3-1
6-3
As Fav
4-1
1-0
As Dog
3-2
6-4
ATS
6-4
2-2
ATS Home
3-3
4-2
ATS Away
3-1
3-5-2
O/U
3-7
2-1-1
O/U Home
2-4
1-4-1
O/U Away
1-3
OKC
Record POR
2-3
All
2-4
1-2
Home
2-2
1-1
Away
0-2
1-3
As Fav
2-2
1-0
As Dog
0-2
2-3
ATS
2-4
1-2
ATS Home
2-2
1-1
ATS Away
0-2
2-3
O/U
1-5
2-1
O/U Home
1-3
0-2
O/U Away
0-2
OKC
Record POR
10-2
All
9-3
5-1
Home
5-1
5-1
Away
4-2
8-1
As Fav
6-1
2-1
As Dog
3-2
8-4
ATS
7-5
4-2
ATS Home
4-2
4-2
ATS Away
3-3
6-6
O/U
8-4
3-3
O/U Home
3-3
3-3
O/U Away
5-1
OKC
Record POR
14-11
All
13-13
8-3
Home
9-5
6-8
Away
4-8
12-8
As Fav
10-5
2-3
As Dog
3-8
13-12
ATS
12-14
6-5
ATS Home
8-6
7-7
ATS Away
4-8
9-14-2
O/U
9-17
7-3-1
O/U Home
5-9
2-11-1
O/U Away
4-8

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Luguentz Dort SG Is "?" Monday vs Golden State, Hamstring
Aleksej Pokusevski SF Is out indefinitely, Leg
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl SF Is out indefinitely, Ankle
Chet Holmgren PF Is out for season, Foot
Name Position Inj Desc
Jusuf Nurkic C Is "?" Saturday vs Toronto, Calf
Justise Winslow PF Is out indefinitely, Ankle
Josh Hart SG Is "?" Saturday vs Toronto, Hamstring
Ibou Badji C Is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Toronto, Knee

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Jan 2, 2019 LAL 107-100 W -5 229.50 W/U 38.10 64.52 7
Dec 31, 2018 DAL 122-102 W -7.5 224 W/P 44.66 68.57 6
Dec 30, 2018 DAL 103-105 L -2.5 226 L/U 43.01 66.67 9
Dec 28, 2018 PHO 118-102 W -4.5 226 W/U 53.68 69.23 7
Dec 25, 2018 HOU 109-113 L -1 222 L/P 43.88 66.67 9
Dec 23, 2018 MIN 112-114 L -6.5 221.50 L/O 47.78 77.27 9
Dec 22, 2018 UTA 107-106 W +2 219.50 W/U 47.19 63.64 9
Dec 19, 2018 SAC 132-113 W -4.5 232 W/O 50.00 62.96 13
Dec 17, 2018 CHI 121-96 W -12.5 212.50 W/O 48.31 81.82 8
Dec 15, 2018 LAC 110-104 W -6.5 222.50 L/U 46.67 70.83 9
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Jan 1, 2019 SAC 113-108 W -1 230 W/U 43.33 86.67 9
Dec 30, 2018 PHI 129-95 W -3 224.50 W/U 59.04 76.00 12
Dec 29, 2018 GS 105-115 L +5 226.50 L/U 42.86 81.82 9
Dec 27, 2018 GS 110-109 W +9 227 W/U 36.19 91.30 13
Dec 25, 2018 UTA 96-117 L +7 214.50 L/U 39.33 65.38 9
Dec 23, 2018 DAL 121-118 W -7.5 215.50 L/O 47.12 70.59 11
Dec 21, 2018 UTA 90-120 L -2 213.50 L/U 40.23 55.56 10
Dec 19, 2018 MEM 99-92 W -5.5 201.50 W/U 46.67 90.00 11
Dec 17, 2018 LAC 131-127 W +1.5 217.50 W/O 54.65 87.10 10
Dec 14, 2018 TOR 128-122 W +1.5 216 W/O 51.06 90.48 13
View Game Logs