Matchups
Buccaneers LB Lavonte Davis - Falcons vs Buccaneers Odds & Picks
Atlanta
Falcons
4 - 9
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
7 - 6
December 11, 2025, 8:15 PM EST
 | Raymond James Stadium
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8:15 PM ET
See Matchup
Atlanta VS Tampa Bay
Experts 1
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
TB
31.2 -257 Polymarket
Spread Pick
+5.5
-5.5
Total Pick
O 43.5
U 43.5
Best ATS
+5.5 +100 Polymarket
-5.5 -105 BetMGM
Best O/U
O 43.5 -104 Polymarket
U 43.5 +100 Polymarket
Under 44.5
FanDuel Logo
-110

Unders have been a great pick for primetime games for years, as our primetime betting report shows. This game looks like another good spot to take the under. Both teams have been averaging under 44.5 combined points, and the two teams went under that total when they faced off in Week 1.

Check out my full Falcons-Buccaneers TNF preview here.

Expert Pick: Andrew Dixon
Spread Moneyline Total
ATL +5.5 -109
TB -5.5 -110
Caesars logo
$ 20
Projected Winnings
$
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Super Bowl LX 2025-26

Odds Settings
Wager Type
Sides/Totals
Futures
Segment
Full Game
1st Half
2nd Half
1st Quarter
2nd Quarter
3rd Quarter
4th Quarter
Odds Type
American
Decimal
Fractional

Thursday, December 11 Thu Dec 11

Matchup
Opening Odds
Best Odds
Line History Matchup
8:15pm EST
Atlanta ATL
VS /
Tampa Bay TB
+5.5
-108
- -
ATL
+185
O 47.5
-110
- -
-5.5
-112
- -
TB
-225
U 47.5
-110
- -
Best Odds
+5.5
+100
- -
POLYMARKET
ATL
+245
POLYMARKET
O 43.5
-104
- -
POLYMARKET
Best Odds
-5.5
-105
- -
BETMGM
TB
-257
POLYMARKET
U 43.5
+100
- -
POLYMARKET
+5.5
-109
- -
CAESARS
ATL
+220
CAESARS
O 43.5
-112
- -
CAESARS
-5.5
-110
- -
CAESARS
TB
-275
CAESARS
U 43.5
-108
- -
CAESARS
- -
BET365
ATL
- -
BET365
- -
BET365
- -
BET365
TB
- -
BET365
- -
BET365
+5.5
-102
- -
BRACCO
ATL
+227
BRACCO
O 43.5
-109
- -
BRACCO
-5.5
-112
- -
BRACCO
TB
-281
BRACCO
U 43.5
-111
- -
BRACCO
+5.5
-109
- -
UNDERDOG
ATL
+215
UNDERDOG
O 43.5
-114
- -
UNDERDOG
-5.5
-114
- -
UNDERDOG
TB
-278
UNDERDOG
U 43.5
-108
- -
UNDERDOG
+5.5
+100
- -
POLYMARKET
ATL
+245
POLYMARKET
O 43.5
-104
- -
POLYMARKET
-5.5
-108
- -
POLYMARKET
TB
-257
POLYMARKET
U 43.5
+100
- -
POLYMARKET
+5.5
-108
- -
FANDUEL
ATL
+220
FANDUEL
O 43.5
-105
- -
FANDUEL
-5.5
-112
- -
FANDUEL
TB
-270
FANDUEL
U 43.5
-115
- -
FANDUEL
+5.5
-105
- -
BETMGM
ATL
+225
BETMGM
O 43.5
-110
- -
BETMGM
-5.5
-105
- -
BETMGM
TB
-275
BETMGM
U 43.5
-110
- -
BETMGM
+5.5
-108
- -
DRAFTKINGS
ATL
+225
DRAFTKINGS
O 43.5
-110
- -
DRAFTKINGS
-5.5
-112
- -
DRAFTKINGS
TB
-278
DRAFTKINGS
U 43.5
-110
- -
DRAFTKINGS
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Edge Finder

Overall

ATL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TB Defense
19.3827Points Scored2325.00
206.3818Passing Yards27237.77
123.6212Rushing Yards8100.62
29:3221Time on Field628:28
61.1519Number of Plays959.85
5.4013Yards Per Play255.65

Scoring

ATL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TB Defense
19.3827Points Scored2325.00
4.9214First Quarter286.08
5.9225Second Quarter176.69
3.0826Third Quarter245.23
5.4626Fourth Quarter207.00

Passing

ATL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TB Defense
206.3818Passing Yards27237.77
31.8518Pass Attempts2133.46
19.2325Pass Completions2322.31
1.545Sacks132.46
11.0825Sack Yards2618.38
10.7311Yards Per Pass2510.66

Rushing

ATL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TB Defense
123.6212Rushing Yards8100.62
27.7712Rush Attempts623.92
4.4514Yards Per Rush164.21

Turn Overs

ATL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TB Defense
0.464Interceptions90.92
1.1523Fumbles161.08
0.6225Fumbles Lost140.54
1.0811Total Turnovers71.46
5.626Penalties136.85
45.387Penalty Yards1155.08

Drives & Special Teams

ATL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TB Defense
29:3221Time on Field628:28
61.1519Number of Plays959.85
5.4013Yards Per Play255.65
3.9223Punts233.23
44.0029Punt Average1747.32
117.4625Return Yards28146.00

Overall

ATL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TB Offense
24.0820Points Scored1823.00
191.469Passing Yards20199.85
131.0024Rushing Yards20115.15
31:1924Time on Field831:31
62.2320Number of Plays1362.85
5.1812Yards Per Play255.01

Scoring

ATL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TB Offense
24.0820Points Scored1823.00
3.9210First Quarter293.08
6.3815Second Quarter68.46
5.8526Third Quarter56.77
7.2322Fourth Quarter314.69

Passing

ATL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TB Offense
191.469Passing Yards20199.85
30.089Pass Attempts1433.23
19.319Pass Completions1620.38
3.313Sacks122.00
21.2328Sack Yards1414.31
9.9213Yards Per Pass209.80

Rushing

ATL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TB Offense
131.0024Rushing Yards20115.15
28.8525Rush Attempts1427.62
4.5424Yards Per Rush194.17

Turn Overs

ATL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TB Offense
0.7712Interceptions80.46
1.621Fumbles171.00
0.4615Fumbles Lost100.31
1.2314Total Turnovers50.77
5.8527Penalties55.54
48.6926Penalty Yards543.54

Drives & Special Teams

ATL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TB Offense
31:1924Time on Field831:31
62.2320Number of Plays1362.85
5.1812Yards Per Play255.01
3.3819Punts254.00
47.2916Punt Average3243.47
125.3111Return Yards26116.92

Head To Head

ATL
 Stat Type TB
4-6
 Record
6-4
5-5
 ATS
5-5
6-4
 O/U
6-4
24.20
 Points Scored
28.10
115.10
 Rush Yds
97.20
38.30
 Pass Attempts
39.10
-
 Completion %
-
274.20
 Passing Yds
256.50
389.3
 Total Yds
353.7
1.20
 Turnovers
1.00
ATL
 Stat Type TB
2-1
 Record
1-2
2-1
 ATS
1-2
2-1
 O/U
2-1
29.00
 Points Scored
26.33
90.33
 Rush Yds
121.00
43.33
 Pass Attempts
35.33
-
 Completion %
-
343.67
 Passing Yds
220.67
434
 Total Yds
341.67
0.33
 Turnovers
1.33
Sep 7/25 (1 of 10)
ATL
 Stat Type TB
Home
Away
20
 Points Scored
23
+1
 ATS
-1
47.5 o
 O/U
47.5 u
69
 Rush Yds
101
42
 Pass Attempts
32
-
 Completion %
-
289
 Passing Yds
159
358
 Total Yds
260
0
 Turnovers
0
Oct 27/24 (2 of 10)
ATL
 Stat Type TB
Away
Home
31
 Points Scored
26
-1.5
 ATS
+1.5
48 o
 O/U
48 u
129
 Rush Yds
102
29
 Pass Attempts
50
-
 Completion %
-
265
 Passing Yds
330
394
 Total Yds
432
0
 Turnovers
3
Oct 3/24 (3 of 10)
ATL
 Stat Type TB
Home
Away
36
 Points Scored
30
-2.5
 ATS
+2.5
44 o
 O/U
44 u
73
 Rush Yds
160
59
 Pass Attempts
24
-
 Completion %
-
477
 Passing Yds
173
550
 Total Yds
333
1
 Turnovers
1
Dec 10/23 (4 of 10)
ATL
 Stat Type TB
Home
Away
25
 Points Scored
29
-1.5
 ATS
+1.5
41.5 o
 O/U
41.5 u
96
 Rush Yds
148
40
 Pass Attempts
29
-
 Completion %
-
338
 Passing Yds
142
434
 Total Yds
290
1
 Turnovers
0
Oct 22/23 (5 of 10)
ATL
 Stat Type TB
Away
Home
16
 Points Scored
13
+3
 ATS
-3
37.5 o
 O/U
37.5 u
156
 Rush Yds
73
25
 Pass Attempts
42
-
 Completion %
-
245
 Passing Yds
256
401
 Total Yds
329
3
 Turnovers
2
Jan 8/23 (6 of 10)
ATL
 Stat Type TB
Home
Away
30
 Points Scored
17
-6
 ATS
+6
40.5 o
 O/U
40.5 u
174
 Rush Yds
86
30
 Pass Attempts
34
-
 Completion %
-
208
 Passing Yds
136
382
 Total Yds
222
1
 Turnovers
1
Oct 9/22 (7 of 10)
ATL
 Stat Type TB
Away
Home
15
 Points Scored
21
+10
 ATS
-10
46 o
 O/U
46 u
151
 Rush Yds
69
25
 Pass Attempts
52
-
 Completion %
-
110
 Passing Yds
351
261
 Total Yds
420
0
 Turnovers
0
Dec 5/21 (8 of 10)
ATL
 Stat Type TB
Home
Away
17
 Points Scored
30
+11
 ATS
-11
51 o
 O/U
51 u
121
 Rush Yds
57
41
 Pass Attempts
51
-
 Completion %
-
259
 Passing Yds
368
380
 Total Yds
425
1
 Turnovers
1
Sep 19/21 (9 of 10)
ATL
 Stat Type TB
Away
Home
25
 Points Scored
48
+13
 ATS
-13
52 o
 O/U
52 u
55
 Rush Yds
82
48
 Pass Attempts
36
-
 Completion %
-
293
 Passing Yds
259
348
 Total Yds
341
3
 Turnovers
1
Jan 3/21 (10 of 10)
ATL
 Stat Type TB
Away
Home
27
 Points Scored
44
+7
 ATS
-7
51 o
 O/U
51 u
127
 Rush Yds
94
44
 Pass Attempts
41
-
 Completion %
-
258
 Passing Yds
391
385
 Total Yds
485
2
 Turnovers
1

Team Records

ATL
 Record TB
4-9
 All
7-6
2-4
 Home
3-3
2-5
 Away
4-3
6-7
 ATS
5-8
2-4
 ATS Home
1-5
4-3
 ATS Away
4-3
6-7
 O/U
7-6
3-3
 O/U Home
5-1
3-4
 O/U Away
2-5
ATL
 Record TB
3-5
 All
5-4
1-3
 Home
2-2
2-2
 Away
3-2
3-5
 ATS
4-5
1-3
 ATS Home
1-3
2-2
 ATS Away
3-2
3-5
 O/U
4-5
3-1
 O/U Home
3-1
0-4
 O/U Away
1-4
ATL
 Record TB
1-3
 All
2-1
0-2
 Home
0-1
1-1
 Away
2-0
1-3
 ATS
2-1
0-2
 ATS Home
0-1
1-1
 ATS Away
2-0
0-0
 O/U
0-0
0-0
 O/U Home
0-0
0-0
 O/U Away
0-0
ATL
 Record TB
3-7
 All
4-6
2-3
 Home
2-3
1-4
 Away
2-3
5-5
 ATS
3-7
2-3
 ATS Home
1-4
3-2
 ATS Away
2-3
6-4
 O/U
6-4
3-2
 O/U Home
4-1
3-2
 O/U Away
2-3

Gametime Weather

Weather
7:15 pm EST Clear
14ºC / 57ºF
68% Humidity
1% Precipitation
0% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 4
 mph

Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games.
  • Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
  • Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Tampa Bay.
  • Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Tampa Bay.
  • Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.
  • Atlanta is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
  • Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference South division.
  • Atlanta is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games played in December.
  • Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.
  • Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games against Atlanta.
  • Tampa Bay is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
  • Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference South division.
  • Tampa Bay is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games played in December.
  • Tampa Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games played in week 15.

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
David OnyemataDTQuestionable, foot
Storm NortonTIR, ankle surgery
Kaleb McGaryTIR, knee
Kyle PittsTEQuestionable, knee
Tyrone Wheatley Jr.TIR, undisclosed
Drake LondonWROut, knee
DeAngelo MaloneDEIR, ankle
Sam RobertsDTIR, ankle, knee
Zach HarrisonDEIR, knee
DeMarcco HellamsSIR, hamstring
Clark Phillips IIICBIR, triceps, illness
Michael Penix Jr.QBIR, partially torn left ACL
Bralen TriceLBIR, knee
Brandon DorlusDTQuestionable, groin
Emory JonesQBIR, undisclosed
Jalon WalkerLBQuestionable, quadriceps
Billy Bowman Jr.SIR, Achilles
Name Position Inj Desc
Mike EvansWRQuestionable, collarbone
Ben BredesonGIR, knee
Ko KieftTEIR, leg
Cade OttonTEDoubtful, knee
Calijah KanceyDTIR, torn pectoral muscle
Cody MauchGIR, knee surgery
SirVocea DennisLBOut, hip
Jalen McMillanWRQuestionable, neck
Tykee SmithSDoubtful, neck, shoulder
Rashad WisdomSInjured-Reserve (DFR), quadriceps
David WalkerLBIR, torn ACL
J.J. RobertsSIR, knee
Jaden SmithWRIR, undisclosed

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 7, 2025SEA9-37L+6.5/44.5L/O1201542741292363652
Nov 30, 2025NYJ24-27L-3/38.5L/O1672223891101592691
Nov 23, 2025NO24-10W+1.5/41W/U12118130279214293-1
Nov 16, 2025CAR27-30L-4.5/42L/O125223348674194861
Nov 9, 2025IND25-31L+6.5/48.5W/O140150290323196519-1
Nov 2, 2025NE23-24L+5.5/45.5W/O71217288110221331-2
Oct 26, 2025MIA10-34L-7/44.5L/U451682131411973381
Oct 19, 2025SF10-20L-1/46.5L/U622302921741503240
Oct 13, 2025BUF24-14W+3.5/49.5W/U210233443134157291-2
Sep 28, 2025WAS34-27W-2.5/43.5W/O1283074351471472940
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 7, 2025NO20-24L-7.5/41.5L/O1791223011391212600
Nov 30, 2025ARI20-17W-4.5/44.5L/U9518427995291386-2
Nov 23, 2025LAR7-34L+7/50.5L/U12370193702633332
Nov 16, 2025BUF32-44L+6.5/45.5L/O20216536797317414-1
Nov 9, 2025NE23-28L-2.5/48.5L/O113258371166269435-1
Oct 26, 2025NO23-3W-3.5/46.5W/U8812421248227275-3
Oct 20, 2025DET9-24L+6/54.5L/U412102511642153790
Oct 12, 2025SF30-19W-3.5/46.5W/O10424835267296363-2
Oct 5, 2025SEA38-35W+3.5/44.5W/O56370426122341463-2
Sep 28, 2025PHI25-31L+3.5/44L/O104272376881122002
View Game Logs
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