The Boston Bruins are favored to advance past the first round over the Toronto Maple Leafs in the 2024 NHL Playoffs.
Uh-oh, a rivalry has been reignited as Toronto (46-25-10 SU, 31-50 ATS) tries to win a playoff series against Boston (47-20-15 SU, 39-53 ATS) for the first time since 1959.
Boston vs Toronto Series Props
Boston vs Toronto Current Season Betting Results
Boston vs Toronto Playoff Betting History
Boston vs Toronto Expert Pick & Analysis
Last 10 Meetings Betting Results
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Boston vs toronto playoff series odds
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | -120 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | +100 |
Odds as of April 24
For the first time in five seasons, the Bruins will meet the Leafs in the playoffs. Coincidentally, the last time Toronto entered the postseason as an underdog was also in 2019.
| Series Score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bruins 4-3 | +350 |
| Leafs 4-2 | +380 |
| Bruins 4-2 | +400 |
| Leafs 4-3 | +450 |
| Bruins 4-1 | +600 |
| Leafs 4-1 | +650 |
Odds as of April 24
A Game 7 has been forced in each of the last three series between the Bruins and the Leafs. Boston came out on top in each of those matchups, a painful reminder for Toronto fans.
All three of the Game 7's were held at TD Garden. In the last three series, Boston has won 58.3% of the meetings when hosting Toronto in the postseason. Finishing second in the Atlantic Division, Boston will snag home ice advantage this year, too. The Bruins have also dropped just a single series-opener (2018-19) in that span.
Boston is riding a favorable six series winning streak against Toronto.
boston vs toronto betting results
| Date | Home Team ML | Away Team ML | Final Score | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 7th | Boston (-140) | Toronto (+120) | 4-1 Bruins | 6 (U) |
| March 4th | Toronto (-130) | Boston (+110) | 4-1 Bruins | 6.5 (U) |
| December 2nd | Toronto (-105) | Boston (-115) | 4-3 Bruins | 6 (O) |
| November 2nd | Boston (-110) | Toronto (-110) | 3-2 Bruins | 6 (U) |
The four regular season outings definitely make a case for Boston entering the series in favored territory. The Leafs haven't defeated the Bruins since November 2022.
However, the first two meetings this season were decided in overtime and a shootout.
Maple Leafs will square off against the Bruins in Round 1 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
— Sportsnet Stats (@SNstats) April 17, 2024
A team Toronto hasn't beaten in the postseason since 1959 pic.twitter.com/KQLlcXhHvo
Notable Player Performances
Joseph Woll: Starting in between the pipes the three most recent meetings, Woll is averaging a .865SV% against the Bruins this year.
Jake DeBrusk: DeBrusk has been decorated on the scoresheet in all four meetings with Toronto this season. The winger has pocketed a season-high six points versus the Leafs.
Jake DeBrusk with a wicked snipe. A goal and an assist for DeBrusk already this game. pic.twitter.com/lkF46WbKb2
— Bear With Me (@BearWithMe_Pod) March 5, 2024
Brad Marchand: Marchand lives in Toronto's head rent-free, also notching at least one point in all four occasions the last six months. Push this even further, Marchand is one-point shy of averaging a point-per-game in his 53 career meetings with Toronto.
Auston Matthews: With 69 goals on the season, it's safe to say Matthews is a sniper to be cautious of. Though, the 26-year-old has went pointless in his last two outings against the Bruins. However, with 12 goals and nine assists in 19 games, it's safe to say the rivalry fuels Matthews. There's no stress about him going quiet in the postseason either as he picked up six points in the last best-of-seven series.
"Auston's feeling really good, to me he's playing his best hockey of the season and maybe some of the best hockey of his career quite frankly."
— TSN (@TSN_Sports) April 16, 2024
Maple Leafs HC, Sheldon Keefe on Auston Matthews before Toronto's second-last game of the season. pic.twitter.com/pH4ujCspCZ
boston vs toronto Historical playoff betting trends
| Date | Home Team ML | Away Team ML | Final Score | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 (Game 7) | Boston (-145) | Toronto (+125) | 5-1 Bruins | 5.5 (O) |
| 2019 (Game 6) | Toronto (-130) | Boston (+110) | 4-2 Bruins | 5.5 (O) |
| 2019 (Game 5) | Boston (-145) | Toronto (+125) | 2-1 Leafs | 6 (U) |
| 2019 (Game 4) | Toronto (-120) | Boston (+100) | 6-4 Bruins | 6 (O) |
| 2019 (Game 3) | Toronto (-120) | Boston (+100) | 3-2 Leafs | 6 (U) |
| 2019 (Game 2) | Boston (-145) | Toronto (+125) | 4-1 Bruins | 6 (U) |
| 2019 (Game 1) | Boston (-145) | Toronto (+125) | 4-1 Leafs | 6 (U) |
| 2018 (Game 7) | Boston (-170) | Toronto (+153) | 7-4 Bruins | 5.5 (O) |
| 2018 (Game 6) | Toronto (+109) | Boston (-120) | 3-1 Leafs | 6 (U) |
| 2018 (Game 5) | Boston (-185) | Toronto (+166) | 4-3 Leafs | 5.5 (O) |
| 2018 (Game 4) | Toronto (+102) | Boston (-113) | 3-1 Bruins | 6 (U) |
| 2018 (Game 3) | Toronto (-113) | Boston (+102) | 4-2 Leafs | 5.5 (O) |
| 2018 (Game 2) | Boston (-163) | Toronto (+147) | 7-3 Bruins | 5.5 (O) |
| 2018 (Game 1) | Boston (-157) | Toronto (+142) | 5-1 Bruins | 6 (P) |
This will be the 17th playoff series between these Original Six groups, the all-time series record being an even 8-8. However, as I previously mentioned, it's been over six decades since Toronto has clinched a series over Boston.
Across the last three series, the OVER has cashed in every Game 7. On the flip side, the UNDER or a push has hit in the last three series-openers.
Dating across the same span, the Leafs have won Game 5 in every series, winning each game by one-goal.
boston vs toronto playoff series expert pick: bruins (-125), Bruins 4-3 (+430)
Don't get it twisted, let's not tread lightly on Toronto's offense averaging a league-high 3.71 GPG. But, the goaltending tandem of Jeremy Swayman (.916SV%, 2.53 GAA) and Linus Ullmark (.915SV%, 2.58 GAA) is the most reliable in the league, each sporting almost identical stats.
I don't want to be the person to bring up the past but we can't ignore the obvious heading into this series. Boston has way less to prove based on recent playoff history while Toronto is always accused of choking in the postseason.
This will be a fiery series, each team carrying a 100-plus point star and a handful of scoring threats. But, for me, it's the goaltending that will make a difference just like it did in the regular season.
boston vs toronto betting results last 10 meetings
| Date | Home Team ML | Away Team ML | Final Score | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar. 7th, 2024 | Boston (-140) | Toronto (+120) | 4-1 Bruins | 6 (U) |
| Mar. 4th, 2024 | Toronto (-130) | Boston (+110) | 4-1 Bruins | 6.5 (U) |
| Dec. 2nd, 2023 | Toronto (-105) | Boston (-115) | 4-3 Bruins | 6 (O) |
| Nov. 2nd, 2023 | Boston (-110) | Toronto (-110) | 3-2 Bruins | 6 (U) |
| Apr. 6th, 2023 | Boston (-150) | Toronto (+130) | 2-1 Bruins | 6 (U) |
| Feb. 1st, 2023 | Toronto (+110) | Boston (-130) | 5-2 Bruins | 5.5 (O) |
| Jan. 14th, 2023 | Boston (-150) | Toronto (+130) | 4-3 Bruins | 6 (O) |
| Nov. 5th, 2022 | Toronto (-130) | Boston (+110) | 2-1 Leafs | 6.5 (U) |
| Apr. 29th, 2022 | Toronto (-125) | Boston (+105) | 5-2 Leafs | 6 (O) |
| Mar. 29th, 2022 | Boston (-150) | Toronto (+130) | 6-4 Leafs | 6.5 (O) |
