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Brees Holding Firm as the Super Bowl MVP Favorite

Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints reacts during the second half against the Pittsburgh Steelers at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on December 23, 2018 in New Orleans, Louisiana.

The race to be crowned champion of Super Bowl 53 is down to four, and ahead of what’s shaping up to be a fantastic conference championship round, oddsmakers continue to offer excellent value in Super Bowl MVP odds.

Drew Brees remains the +200 favorite to become the MVP of the big game, with Patrick Mahomes (+300), Tom Brady (+450), Jared Goff (+600), Todd Gurley (+1200), Alvin Kamara (+1400), Sony Michel (+1600), Michael Thomas (+2000), Tyreek Hill (+2000) and Aaron Donald (+2500) rounding out the top 10.

Is Brees on the verge of a second Super Bowl MVP?

Entering the wild-card round, Brees’ price was available for +350. The New Orleans Saints signal-caller, who won the MVP in Super Bowl 44, had a rocky start against the Eagles in the divisional round but bounced back to finish with 301 yards and two touchdowns along with a lone interception. This weekend in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome, he’ll go up against a Los Angeles Rams defense that’s been susceptible through the air.

The remaining quarterbacks have also seen their odds drop since the postseason began, evidenced by movements from Mahomes (+400 to +300), Brady (+700 to +450) and Goff (+1000 to +600). According to Super Bowl history, the smart money may lie with them.

Super Bowl MVP has largely resided with quarterbacks

It’s no secret the Super Bowl MVP has historically belonged to quarterbacks, as QBs have won the award 29 times. Next up are running backs (seven), wide receivers (six), linebackers (four), defensive ends (two) and safeties (two), with single trophies to a cornerback, defensive tackle and kick returner.

Aside from the quarterbacks, players from other positions have also seen their price shift drastically in the past few weeks. Donald was +3300 before the postseason began, while the Saints’ dynamic duo of Michael Thomas (+3300 to +2000) and Alvin Kamara (+3300 to +1400) have the breakout ability to change the landscape of a game with one big play.

If the Saints make the Super Bowl, Brees will surely still be the favorite, but don’t be surprised if either Thomas or Kamara makes a run for the MVP trophy.

Super Bowl 53 Most Valuable Player Odds

Odds as of January 16 at BetOnline

  • Drew Brees +200
  • Patrick Mahomes +300
  • Tom Brady +450
  • Jared Goff +600
  • Todd Gurley +1200
  • Alvin Kamara +1400
  • Sony Michel +1600
  • Michael Thomas +2000
  • Tyreek Hill +2000
  • Aaron Donald +2500
  • Damien Williams +3300
  • James White +3300
  • Travis Kelce +3300
  • Julian Edelman +5000
  • Mark Ingram +5000
Past Super Bowl MVP Winners
GameWinnerTeamPosition
IBart StarrGreen Bay PackersQuarterback
IIBart StarrGreen Bay PackersQuarterback
IIIJoe NamathNew York JetsQuarterback
IVLen DawsonKansas City ChiefsQuarterback
VChuck HowleyDallas CowboysLinebacker
VIRoger StaubachDallas CowboysQuarterback
VIIJake ScottMiami DolphinsSafety
VIIILarry CsonkaMiami DolphinsFullback
IXFranco HarrisPittsburgh SteelersRunning back
XLynn SwannPittsburgh SteelersWide receiver
XIFred BiletnikoffOakland RaidersWide receiver
XIIHarvey Martin & Randy WhiteDallas CowboysDefensive end/Defensive tackle
XIIITerry BradshawPittsburgh SteelersQuarterback
XIVTerry BradshawPittsburgh SteelersQuarterback
XVJim PlunkettOakland RaidersQuarterback
XVIJoe MontanaSan Francisco 49ersQuarterback
XVIIJohn RigginsWashington RedskinsRunning back
XVIIIMarcus AllenLos Angeles RaidersRunning back
XIXJoe MontanaSan Francisco 49ersQuarterback
XXRichard DentChicago BearsDefensive end
XXIPhil SimmsNew York GiantsQuarterback
XXIIDoug WilliamsWashington RedskinsQuarterback
XXIIIJerry RiceSan Francisco 49ersWide receiver
XXIVJoe MontanaSan Francisco 49ersQuarterback
XXVOttis AndersonNew York GiantsRunning back
XXVIMark RypienWashington RedskinsQuarterback
XXVIITroy AikmanDallas CowboysQuarterback
XXVIIIEmmitt SmithDallas CowboysRunning back
XXIXSteve YoungSan Francisco 49ersQuarterback
XXXLarry BrownDallas CowboysCornerback
XXXIDesmond HowardGreen Bay PackersKick returner
XXXIITerrell DavisDenver BroncosRunning back
XXXIIIJohn ElwayDenver BroncosQuarterback
XXXIVKurt WarnerSt. Louis RamsQuarterback
XXXVRay LewisBaltimore RavensLinebacker
XXXVITom BradyNew England PatriotsQuarterback
XXXVIIDexter JacksonTampa Bay BuccaneersSafety
XXXVIIITom BradyNew England PatriotsQuarterback
XXXIXDeion BranchNew England PatriotsWide receiver
XLHines WardPittsburgh SteelersWide receiver
XLIPeyton ManningIndianapolis ColtsQuarterback
XLIIEli ManningNew York GiantsQuarterback
XLIIISantonio HolmesPittsburgh SteelersWide receiver
XLIVDrew BreesNew Orleans SaintsQuarterback
XLVAaron RodgersGreen Bay PackersQuarterback
XLVIEli ManningNew York GiantsQuarterback
XLVIIJoe FlaccoBaltimore RavensQuarterback
XLVIIIMalcolm SmithSeattle SeahawksLinebacker
XLIXTom BradyNew England PatriotsQuarterback
LVon MillerDenver BroncosLinebacker
LITom BradyNew England PatriotsQuarterback
LIINick FolesPhiladelphia EaglesQuarterback

Archived Articles

With the NFL playoffs getting underway this weekend, odds are already out on which man will be named the Super Bowl 53 MVP.

Drew Brees has opened as the +350 favorite to be crowned the MVP at BetOnline, with Patrick Mahomes (+400), Tom Brady (+700), Jared Goff (+1000), Todd Gurley (+1000), Mitchell Trubisky (+1200), Lamar Jackson (+1600), Philip Rivers (+2000), Andrew Luck (+2800) and Deshaun Watson (+2800) rounding out the top 10 at the shop.

Foles has his hands full to repeat

Brees is no stranger to the hardware after leading the New Orleans Saints over the Indianapolis Colts in Super Bowl 44, yet the longtime signal-caller looks like he’ll likely be missing out on the regular-season MVP award thanks to a late surge by Mahomes. For a betting breakdown of the regular-season MVP race, click here.

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Nick Foles led the Philadelphia Eagles to the franchise’s third appearance in the championship game a year ago and was fantastic from start to finish, leading the underdog Eagles over the New England Patriots while securing MVP honors. No. 9 is once again at the reins of the Eagles offense thanks to an injury to Carson Wentz, and he’s a long-shot option at +3300.

Super Bowl MVP has largely resided with quarterbacks

It’s no secret the Super Bowl MVP has historically belonged to quarterbacks, as QBs have won the award 29 times. Next up are running backs (seven), wide receivers (six), linebackers (four), defensive ends (two) and safeties (two), with single trophies to a cornerback, defensive tackle and kick returner.

Seeing Brady at +700 is a bit of a surprise to me. While the 2018 campaign was a bit of a rocky one by the Patriots’ high standards, they still managed to secure a first-round bye and are notorious for kicking into high gear in the postseason. Brady has the most Super Bowl MVPs in league history with four, and it wouldn’t shock anyone to see the 41-year-old add another trophy to his impressive resume in Atlanta on February 3.

Super Bowl 53 Most Valuable Player Odds

Odds as of January 3 at BetOnline

  • Drew Brees +350
  • Patrick Mahomes +400
  • Tom Brady +700
  • Jared Goff +1000
  • Todd Gurley +1000
  • Mitchell Trubisky +1200
  • Lamar Jackson +1600
  • Philip Rivers +2000
  • Andrew Luck +2800
  • Deshaun Watson +2800
  • Russell Wilson +2800
  • Aaron Donald +3300
  • Alvin Kamara +3300
  • Ezekiel Elliott +3300
  • Khalil Mack +3300
  • Michael Thomas +3300
  • Nick Foles +3300
  • Chris Carson +4000
  • Jordan Howard +4000
  • Melvin Gordon +4000
  • Sony Michel +4000
  • Dak Prescott +5000
  • DeAndre Hopkins +5000
  • J.J. Watt +5000
  • Keenan Allen +5000
  • Travis Kelce +5000
  • Tyreek Hill +5000
Past Super Bowl MVP Winners
GameWinnerTeamPosition
IBart StarrGreen Bay PackersQuarterback
IIBart StarrGreen Bay PackersQuarterback
IIIJoe NamathNew York JetsQuarterback
IVLen DawsonKansas City ChiefsQuarterback
VChuck HowleyDallas CowboysLinebacker
VIRoger StaubachDallas CowboysQuarterback
VIIJake ScottMiami DolphinsSafety
VIIILarry CsonkaMiami DolphinsFullback
IXFranco HarrisPittsburgh SteelersRunning back
XLynn SwannPittsburgh SteelersWide receiver
XIFred BiletnikoffOakland RaidersWide receiver
XIIHarvey Martin & Randy WhiteDallas CowboysDefensive end/Defensive tackle
XIIITerry BradshawPittsburgh SteelersQuarterback
XIVTerry BradshawPittsburgh SteelersQuarterback
XVJim PlunkettOakland RaidersQuarterback
XVIJoe MontanaSan Francisco 49ersQuarterback
XVIIJohn RigginsWashington RedskinsRunning back
XVIIIMarcus AllenLos Angeles RaidersRunning back
XIXJoe MontanaSan Francisco 49ersQuarterback
XXRichard DentChicago BearsDefensive end
XXIPhil SimmsNew York GiantsQuarterback
XXIIDoug WilliamsWashington RedskinsQuarterback
XXIIIJerry RiceSan Francisco 49ersWide receiver
XXIVJoe MontanaSan Francisco 49ersQuarterback
XXVOttis AndersonNew York GiantsRunning back
XXVIMark RypienWashington RedskinsQuarterback
XXVIITroy AikmanDallas CowboysQuarterback
XXVIIIEmmitt SmithDallas CowboysRunning back
XXIXSteve YoungSan Francisco 49ersQuarterback
XXXLarry BrownDallas CowboysCornerback
XXXIDesmond HowardGreen Bay PackersKick returner
XXXIITerrell DavisDenver BroncosRunning back
XXXIIIJohn ElwayDenver BroncosQuarterback
XXXIVKurt WarnerSt. Louis RamsQuarterback
XXXVRay LewisBaltimore RavensLinebacker
XXXVITom BradyNew England PatriotsQuarterback
XXXVIIDexter JacksonTampa Bay BuccaneersSafety
XXXVIIITom BradyNew England PatriotsQuarterback
XXXIXDeion BranchNew England PatriotsWide receiver
XLHines WardPittsburgh SteelersWide receiver
XLIPeyton ManningIndianapolis ColtsQuarterback
XLIIEli ManningNew York GiantsQuarterback
XLIIISantonio HolmesPittsburgh SteelersWide receiver
XLIVDrew BreesNew Orleans SaintsQuarterback
XLVAaron RodgersGreen Bay PackersQuarterback
XLVIEli ManningNew York GiantsQuarterback
XLVIIJoe FlaccoBaltimore RavensQuarterback
XLVIIIMalcolm SmithSeattle SeahawksLinebacker
XLIXTom BradyNew England PatriotsQuarterback
LVon MillerDenver BroncosLinebacker
LITom BradyNew England PatriotsQuarterback
LIINick FolesPhiladelphia EaglesQuarterback

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