With Week 13 NFL action underway, the NFL MVP betting market has begun to narrow. The top spot belongs to Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (-250), though Patriots signal-caller Drake Maye isn't very far behind him at +400.
Below, you'll find the odds for NFL MVP from FanDuel, which look a lot different than they did in recent weeks.
2025-26 NFL MVP Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford (LAR) | -250 |
| Drake Maye (NE) | +400 |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | +500 |
| Bo Nix (DEN) | +10000 |
| Sam Darnold (SEA) | +10000 |
| Trevor Lawrence (JAX) | +10000 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) | +10000 |
Odds as of December 15th from FanDuel
The injury bug hasn't been kind to MVP candidates this season. As you can see, preseason MVP favorites like Brock Purdy and Joe Burrow are off the odds board due to injuries, and now Lamar Jackson has +15000 odds after missing time. It's a real bummer if you hold MVP tickets on those guys, but there's still plenty of value on the board if you want to throw a dart.
It would take a truly historic run from a candidate other than Stafford, Maye, or Allen at this point in the season.
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Why Maye, Stafford Are nFL MVP Favorites
Drake Maye and Matthew Stafford have catapulted themselves to the top of the odds board. Maye has led the Patriots to an 11-3 record, one of the best marks in the NFL. The 23-year-old has thrown for 3,567 yards, 23 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. His 70.9% completion rate paces the NFL. The North Carolina product has also added 362 yards and four scores as a runner.
Stafford, meanwhile, has tallied 3,722 passing yards, 37 touchdowns, and five interceptions. The touchdown mark leads the NFL, as does his 7.9% touchdown rate. The Rams are tied for the best record in the NFC West at 11-3, and they're one of two teams (Broncos) that have clinched playoff berths.
Both signal-callers have led their teams to some of the best records in their respective conferences while running explosive offenses. That's been the most reliable way to garner MVP consideration for years.
Allen Narrowly Trails Favorites
Bills star Josh Allen is arguably the only other true contender, though he's trailed Stafford and Maye for some time now. Allen, who won MVP last season, has 3,276 yards, 25 scores, and 10 picks. He's also added 535 yards and 12 touchdowns as a runner en route to Buffalo's 10-4 record.
NFL MVP Winner History
| Year | Player | Position | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Josh Allen | QB | Buffalo Bills |
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson | QB | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | Green Bay Packers |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | Green Bay Packers |
| 2019 | Lamar Jackson | QB | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2017 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | QB | Atlanta Falcons |
| 2015 | Cam Newton | QB | Carolina Panthers |
NFL MVP Odds Betting Strategy & Trends
All you have to do is determine which quarterback you think will break out in 2025. No other position has taken home the MVP trophy since Adrian Peterson's spectacular 2,000-yard campaign in 2012. The odds of a non-quarterback winning the award are so long that Saquon Barkley currently sits 18th on the odds board at +5000. Having said that, Barkley did finish third in the award voting last year.
So when it comes to betting on NFL MVP handicapping, we'll stick to quarterbacks only for now, and perhaps switch gears during the season if a non-QB really starts to separate. Historically, the two largest factors that determine the NFL MVP are touchdowns and team wins.
Since 2010, Matt Ryan has been the only player to win MVP on a team that had fewer than 12 wins. Thus, we're searching for a quarterback who has a chance to lead his team to a high number of wins, while contributing a high number of touchdowns in those victories.
With futures bets, it's important to snag odds early. The lines will move as we get closer to the Super Bowl. Sportsbooks update the odds as players up their production or are plagued by injuries. Keep in mind that if you were to back a player in the MVP race and he suffers a season-ending injury, most sportsbooks will give you your money back since you technically didn't lose the bet and have no way of winning it.
Teams with the most NFL MVPs
| Team | MVP Awards Won | Most Recent NFL MVP |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 10 | Aaron Rodgers (2021) |
| Indianapolis Colts | 9 | Peyton Manning (2009) |
| New England Patriots | 5 | Tom Brady (2017) |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | Steve Young (1994) |
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | Josh Allen (2025) |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4 | Rich Gannon (2002) |
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | Brian Sipe (1980) |
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | Marshall Faulk (2000) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3 | Patrick Mahomes (2022) |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | Peyton Manning (2013) |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | Steve McNair (2003) |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | Joe Theismann (1983) |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | Adrian Peterson (2012) |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2 | Boomer Esiason (1988) |
| New York Jets | 2 | Joe Namath (1969) |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | LaDainian Tomlinson (2006) |
| New York Giants | 2 | Lawrence Taylor (1986) |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | Lamar Jackson (2023) |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | Cam Newton (2015) |
| Seattle Seahawks | 1 | Shaun Alexander (2005) |
| Chicago Bears | 1 | Walter Payton (1977) |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | Barry Sanders (1997) |
The Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Arizona Cardinals, Philadelphia Eagles, New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have never produced an NFL MVP.
NFL MVP Futures FAQ
Can I bet on who will win the NFL MVP?
Yes, you can bet on who will win the NFL MVP. Like pretty much any and every other sport on planet Earth, you can wager on who you believe will be the league’s Most Valuable Player. Online sportsbooks release odds for a list of athletes with the best chance to win the National Football League MVP.
Who is the favorite to win the NFL MVP?
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the -450 favorite in the NFL MVP odds. He’s followed on the oddsboard by Josh Allen (+800) and Joe Burrow (+800).
Who won the NFL MVP in 2021?
Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers won the NFL MVP Award in 2021. It was the second straight regular-season MVP award for Rodgers and the fourth of his career.
Which team has the most NFL MVP Award winners?
The Green Bay Packers have produced 10 NFL MVP Sportsbooks. The Indianapolis Colts are in second place with nine Sportsbooks.
Who has won the most NFL MVP awards?
Peyton Manning (five) has the most MVP awards in NFL history.
When was the last time a non-QB won NFL MVP?
Minnesota Vikings running back Adrian Peterson won the NFL MVP in 2012. Since then, only quarterbacks have won the award.
