The NFL MVP award will almost certainly be awarded to one of Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (-450) or Patriots signal-caller Drake Maye (+350). The pair battled for the lead all year, but Stafford finished the season as the favorite.
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2025-26 NFL MVP Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford (LAR) | -450 |
| Drake Maye (NE) | +350 |
| Trevor Lawrence (JAX) | +30000 |
Odds as of Jan. 11th from FanDuel
The injury bug wasn't kind to MVP candidates this season. As you can see, preseason MVP favorites like Brock Purdy, Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow are off the odds board due to injuries. It's a real bummer if you hold MVP tickets on those guys, but that blow could be softened if you have a ticket for Stafford or Maye.
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Comparing Stafford's and Maye's Numbers
Stafford tallied 4,707 passing yards, 46 touchdowns, and eight interceptions this season. He led the league in both passing yards and passing touchdowns, and his 7.7% touchdown rate also led all passers. The Rams finished the season 12-5 and will face the Panthers in the wild-card round.
Maye finished his campaign with 4,394 passing yards, 31 touchdowns, and eight interceptions. The North Carolina product posted 450 yards and four touchdowns as a runner. Maye's 72% completion rate was tops among all quarterbacks. New England will face the Chargers in the opening round of the playoffs after finishing the season 14-3, tied with the Broncos and Seahawks for the best record in the league.
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NFL MVP Winner History
| Year | Player | Position | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Josh Allen | QB | Buffalo Bills |
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson | QB | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | Green Bay Packers |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | Green Bay Packers |
| 2019 | Lamar Jackson | QB | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2017 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | QB | Atlanta Falcons |
| 2015 | Cam Newton | QB | Carolina Panthers |
NFL MVP Odds Betting Strategy & Trends
All you have to do is determine which quarterback you think will break out in 2025. No other position has taken home the MVP trophy since Adrian Peterson's spectacular 2,000-yard campaign in 2012. The odds of a non-quarterback winning the award are so long that Saquon Barkley currently sits 18th on the odds board at +5000. Having said that, Barkley did finish third in the award voting last year.
So when it comes to betting on NFL MVP handicapping, we'll stick to quarterbacks only for now, and perhaps switch gears during the season if a non-QB really starts to separate. Historically, the two largest factors that determine the NFL MVP are touchdowns and team wins.
Since 2010, Matt Ryan has been the only player to win MVP on a team that had fewer than 12 wins. Thus, we're searching for a quarterback who has a chance to lead his team to a high number of wins, while contributing a high number of touchdowns in those victories.
With futures bets, it's important to snag odds early. The lines will move as we get closer to the Super Bowl. Sportsbooks update the odds as players up their production or are plagued by injuries. Keep in mind that if you were to back a player in the MVP race and he suffers a season-ending injury, most sportsbooks will give you your money back since you technically didn't lose the bet and have no way of winning it.
Teams with the most NFL MVPs
| Team | MVP Awards Won | Most Recent NFL MVP |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 10 | Aaron Rodgers (2021) |
| Indianapolis Colts | 9 | Peyton Manning (2009) |
| New England Patriots | 5 | Tom Brady (2017) |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | Steve Young (1994) |
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | Josh Allen (2025) |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4 | Rich Gannon (2002) |
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | Brian Sipe (1980) |
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | Marshall Faulk (2000) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3 | Patrick Mahomes (2022) |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | Peyton Manning (2013) |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | Steve McNair (2003) |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | Joe Theismann (1983) |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | Adrian Peterson (2012) |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2 | Boomer Esiason (1988) |
| New York Jets | 2 | Joe Namath (1969) |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | LaDainian Tomlinson (2006) |
| New York Giants | 2 | Lawrence Taylor (1986) |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | Lamar Jackson (2023) |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | Cam Newton (2015) |
| Seattle Seahawks | 1 | Shaun Alexander (2005) |
| Chicago Bears | 1 | Walter Payton (1977) |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | Barry Sanders (1997) |
The Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Arizona Cardinals, Philadelphia Eagles, New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have never produced an NFL MVP.
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NFL MVP Futures FAQ
Can I bet on who will win the NFL MVP?
Yes, you can bet on who will win the NFL MVP. Like pretty much any and every other sport on planet Earth, you can wager on who you believe will be the league’s Most Valuable Player. Online sportsbooks release odds for a list of athletes with the best chance to win the National Football League MVP.
Who is the favorite to win the NFL MVP?
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the -450 favorite in the NFL MVP odds. He’s followed on the oddsboard by Josh Allen (+800) and Joe Burrow (+800).
Who won the NFL MVP in 2021?
Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers won the NFL MVP Award in 2021. It was the second straight regular-season MVP award for Rodgers and the fourth of his career.
Which team has the most NFL MVP Award winners?
The Green Bay Packers have produced 10 NFL MVP Sportsbooks. The Indianapolis Colts are in second place with nine Sportsbooks.
Who has won the most NFL MVP awards?
Peyton Manning (five) has the most MVP awards in NFL history.
When was the last time a non-QB won NFL MVP?
Minnesota Vikings running back Adrian Peterson won the NFL MVP in 2012. Since then, only quarterbacks have won the award.
