Our Top Sportsbooks

Aaron Rodgers Odds: Will He Return to Green Bay?

Odds on where Aaron Rodgers will start next season

Since getting selected with the 24th pick in the 2005 NFL Draft by the Green Bay Packers, Aaron Rodgers has become as much of a staple in Wisconsin as cheese, beer and cold weather.

For the first time in his career, the future Hall of Famer’s tenure with the Packers is in serious jeopardy. Rodgers and the organization are at a crossroads right now, as the superstar quarterback’s unhappiness with the team could lead to him pursuing other options in 2021.

See Odds Shark’s Best NFL Sites


According to Aaron Rodgers odds at Bovada, the chances of No. 12 suiting up for another team by Week 1 of the 2021 season are unlikely. The Packers remain the heavy -220 favorites to retain Rodgers’ services, with the Denver Broncos (+175), Las Vegas Raiders (+700) and Cleveland Browns (+1000) following at the top of the list.

For more information on the various ways to bet on football, check out our How to Bet on the NFL page. To find the sportsbook that’s right for you to wager on the gridiron, let our sportsbook review give you a hand.

Here’s a look at the book’s full list of Aaron Rodgers odds:

Aaron Rodgers Odds

What team will Aaron Rodgers play for in Game 1 of the 2021 NFL Season?
OptionOdds
Green Bay Packers-220
Denver Broncos+175
Las Vegas Raiders+700
Cleveland Browns+1000
New Orleans Saints+2800
Washington Football Team+2800
Miami Dolphins+3500
Carolina Panthers+4000
Los Angeles Chargers+4000

Odds as of June 18 at Bovada

What Happened Between Rodgers and the Packers?

Hours before the 2021 NFL Draft, ESPN’s Adam Schefter tweeted: “Reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers is so disgruntled with the Green Bay Packers that he has told some within the organization that he does not want to return to the team.”

The tweet sent the NFL world into a frenzy, as Packers fans braced for the worst. Green Bay has a scheduled mandatory minicamp next month, and the start of training camp is not far off. Rodgers has three years remaining on a contract he signed in 2018.

See Odds Shark’s Sportsbook Review Page

The MVP of Super Bowl 45 is the only quarterback in NFL history to lose four conference championship games, with all of those losses coming in the last seven seasons. On top of that, the Packers drafted Utah State quarterback Jordan Love in the first round last year to be his heir apparent.

Rodgers has gone on the record many times since saying he had no idea about the Packers’ plans to select Love, a move that clearly rubbed him the wrong way. According to reports, another reason for his unhappiness is the decision by Green Bay general manager Brian Gutekunst to cut wide receiver Jake Kumerow prior to the start of the 2020 season.

Can the Situation Be Fixed?

Per NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport, the Packers have made a “significant long-term” contract offer to Rodgers. The Packers brass has maintained they do not want to trade the quarterback under any circumstances.

Rapoport mentioned Rodgers has been involved in contract talks, but he hasn’t been willing to sign a deal. According to The Athletic’s Bob McGinn, Rodgers turned down offers that would have made him the highest-paid quarterback in the NFL.

His lack of interest is because his frustrations “have little or nothing to do with money.” Rodgers currently ranks fifth among quarterbacks when it comes to yearly average salary, clocking in at $33.5 million. 

Considering Rodgers had one of the best seasons of his career in 2020 en route to winning the NFL MVP Award, it would be an unprecedented move to see him play anywhere else in 2021. In NFL history, a reigning league MVP has never played for a different team the following season.

The teams that the signal-caller reportedly prefers are the Broncos, 49ers and Raiders. Bettors looking for value will want to tread carefully on this prop, however, as the terminology is what’s key here. 

The prop specifically says it’s intended for which team Rodgers will play for in Week 1, meaning even if he holds out and refuses to play for the Packers for the first month of the season, all bets on this prop will be lost.

Best Bet: Green Bay Packers

The Packers are the heavy favorite in Aaron Rodgers odds because trades of such magnitude just don’t happen often in the NFL. As well, it is much more likely the Packers find a way to assuage the tension between Rodgers and the team than trade him. There aren’t very many landing spots that make sense, either.

The Raiders and Broncos are logical destinations as teams with questions at quarterback and with unpredictable front offices (looking at you, Jon Gruden).

But beyond those two, Cleveland is set at quarterback and poised for a Super Bowl run, so it seems unlikely they would want to swap Baker Mayfield for Rodgers. Saints coach Sean Payton loves Taysom Hill and the team has virtually no cap space. Carolina already traded assets for Sam Darnold and picked up his option for next season. And the Chargers have the reigning offensive rookie of the year in Justin Herbert.

Miami makes sense in theory as a team with a ton of draft capital and a potential question mark in young QB Tua Tagovailoa. But emptying the war chest of assets in a trade for a veteran is the opposite approach that front office has taken in recent seasons.

We would sprinkle a little cash on the Broncos as a logical fit. But otherwise, the best bet for Aaron Rodgers odds is Green Bay. That is the team he is most likely to suit up for in Week 1 – if he suits up at all.