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Joe Burrow is the Betting Favorite for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year

NFL Offensive Rookie Of Year 2020 Joe Burrow

With the 2020 NFL season days away, the best NFL betting sites have released updated odds for which player will win Offensive Rookie of the Year and, no surprise, it’s Joe Burrow at the top of the list.

Burrow was selected first overall by the Cincinnati Bengals in the 2020 NFL draft after he finished a magical college football season with the LSU Tigers, winning the Heisman Trophy and the national championshipBovada has him as the +275 favorite to win the rookie award.

This award was won last season by the previous year’s Heisman Trophy winner and No. 1 pick, Kyler Murray of the Arizona Cardinals.

If you’re new to betting on football, check out our How To Bet NFL page to get up to speed or keep track of the latest Super Bowl 55 odds.

In the meantime, here are the betting odds for the top 20 players to win Offensive Rookie of the Year with analysis below it on why Burrow is the fave:

2020 NFL Offensive Rookie of the year award odds
Joe Burrow+275
Clyde Edwards-Helaire+300
Jonathan Taylor+800
Cam Akers+1000
Tua Tagovailoa+1000
D’Andre Swift+1600
CeeDee Lamb+1700
Jerry Jeudy+1800
Ke’Shawn Vaughn+1800
Henry Ruggs III+2200
JK Dobbins+2200
Justin Herbert+2200
Brandon Aiyuk+2800
Jalen Reagor+2800
Justin Jefferson+2800
Denzel Mims+3300
Chase Claypool+3500
Michael Pittman Jr.+3500
Zack Moss+3500
Antonio Gibson+5000

Odds as of August 29 at Bovada

Why Burrow Is The Favorite

Coming off an NCAA national championship season in which he tossed 60 touchdowns and only six interceptions, it’s a no-brainer for Joe Burrow to be the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Burrow is now with Cincinnati where he will take over for Andy Dalton and should be an immediate upgrade at the sport’s most important position.

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One of the factors that bodes well for Burrow is that the Bengals have nowhere to go but up. They finished the 2019 season with the worst record in the NFL at 2-14 and were 29th in points scored per game. That means if he can carry them to even a mediocre record like 7-9 or 8-8, that would still be a vast improvement in voters’ minds. I mean, Kyler Murray could only get the Cardinals to 5-10-1 SU and he still edged out Raiders RB Josh Jacobs, who had 1,150 rushing yards and seven touchdowns.

Should You Bet on Burrow?

There are some concerns about taking Joe Burrow with this betting prop as it leads to some tough questions.

What if Burrow was a flash in the pan at LSU? He only had 16 passing touchdowns in 2018 and has 28 career starts with the Tigers. Not a huge sample size of success.

How healthy is QB Tua Tagovailoa (+1000) and will he have a better situation in Miami to work with? Will a running back like Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+300) with the Chiefs or D’Andre Swift (+1600) with the Lions hit the ground running and have the best chance to succeed?

Another factor for this prop is history. Since 2000, only eight quarterbacks have won this award (40 percent). But in five of those instances, it was the quarterback taken first in the draft, so that does play in Burrow’s favor.

Not saying Joe Burrow shouldn’t be the favorite but bettors really only have one winning season with a dominant institution to base their handicapping on.

Check out our NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds to find out which rookie is favored to make the biggest impact on the other side of the field.

Reading NFL Rookie of the Year Odds

At any football betting sites, you’ll see offensive rookie prop odds laid out like this:

Joe Burrow +250

Clyde Edwards-Helaire +300

Tua Tagovailoa +1000

Unlike a traditional bet where there is a clear favorite and underdog, the player with the lowest odds is the fave. The rest are considered dogs. If you think Burrow is the way to go, and you bet $100, you’d get a payout of $350 – you get your original money back along with your winnings of $250. Conversely, if you believe Tagovailoa is going to turn the Dolphins around, that same $100 would give you $1,100 – your $100 is returned coupled with the $1,000 you won.

Our Odds Calculator is a tool that will show you what you’d win based on the amount you bet and odds offered.

If you’re going to bet on underdogs, make sure to do your research – or at least bookmark this page and let our NFL experts do the work for you. There’s a reason that a player’s odds are a certain way. They’ve succumbed to injury, their production is slowing down, they’ve been traded and are having a hard time jelling with their new team – these are some of the many factors that will hinder a player in winning Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY).

What is a Prop Bet on NFL Offensive Rookies?

To wager on something like the OROY, you would be making a prop bet. This is a bet based on the occurrence or non-occurrence of specific milestones that may not correlate directly to the outcome of a certain matchup. For instance, a contender for this award could play on a mediocre squad yet still be in the running due to his on-field prowess. It wouldn’t matter if his team wins football games or not, as long as he’s racking up yards and catches.