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NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Odds: Herbert’s The Huge Favorite

Betting Odds for NFL Offensive Rookie Of Year Award Favor Los Angeles Quarterback Justin Herbert.

We are down to the final week of the 2020 NFL season, and the best NFL betting sites have released updated odds for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award. Quarterback Justin Herbert of the Los Angeles Chargers remains the top choice on the oddsboard in the latest edition.

BetOnline has listed Herbert as the -2000 favorite in NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award odds, followed by wideout Justin Jefferson (+900) and Jonathan Taylor (+900) to round out the choices.

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Sadly, Joe Burrow, the No. 1 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft and the last Heisman Trophy winner, suffered a gruesome ACL and MCL injury in a November game against Washington. Burrow was on pace to compete with Herbert for the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award. Unfortunately, his injury ended that race.

If you’re new to betting on football, check out our How To Bet NFL page to get up to speed, or keep track of the latest Super Bowl 55 odds.

Who are the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Betting Favorites?

Let’s take a look at the betting odds to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, with analysis below on why Herbert is the favorite:

2020 NFL Offensive Rookie of the year award odds
Justin Herbert-2000
Justin Jefferson+900
Jonathan Taylor+900

Odds as of December 29 at BetOnline

Herbert The Front-Runner

Justin Herbert was the third quarterback selected in this year’s NFL draft, after Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa, and is the betting favorite to win the OROY Award at -2000.

Herbert has his first three-game winning streak in the NFL following last week’s win against the Denver Broncos. He was solid in throwing for 253 yards and a touchdown, all without top targets Keenan Allen and Hunter Henry. The previous week, he was sensational in leading the Chargers to a 30-27 overtime win over the Raiders in which he threw for two touchdowns and ran for the game-winning score.

The 22-year-old Herbert has bounced back extremely well following his worst performance as a pro against the New England Patriots. In the last three weeks, he has five touchdown passes to just one interception.

One thing that has been helping the young quarterback is the return of running back Austin Ekeler. Ekeler provides Herbert with a ground game, but more importantly, he is an incredible weapon in the passing game. In the four games since he’s returned, Herbert has targeted him more than anyone and he has a team-high 31 receptions over that span.

Over the last few weeks, Herbert has shown incredible consistency in his ability to stretch the field and make big plays. He finishes the season on the road against the AFC’s No. 1 seed, the Kansas City Chiefs.

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Herbert’s Numbers Have Been Great

Herbert has now thrown 28 touchdown passes, the most ever by a rookie quarterback. He has completed 66.3 percent of his throws and his 4,034 passing yards are seventh in the league. If he records three scores this weekend, he would tie Cam Newton for the most total touchdowns by a rookie quarterback with 35. What stands out when you watch Herbert on tape is his confidence and poise under center.

Herbert has been averaging nearly 290 yards in the air per game. There is no question that he has had a rookie season for the ages. He has shown he has all the tools to be a successful quarterback in the NFL. His game has continued to improve throughout the season and his consistent progression is why he remains the front-runner to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award.

Jefferson Is A Worthy Choice

It’s crazy to think that four other receivers were chosen in the 2020 draft ahead of Justin Jefferson, who fell to the Minnesota Vikings at the 22nd pick. The LSU product is having one of the best seasons by a rookie receiver in history.

His 1,267 receiving yards are the eighth-most in the NFL. He needs 111 yards in his final game against the Detroit Lions to pass Anquan Boldin’s record for most receiving yards by a rookie at 1,377. His seven touchdowns are tied for 14th but he has not got into the end zone in his last three games.

Jefferson has been the perfect guy to step in for Stefon Diggs, who was traded to Buffalo in the offseason. He gives Kirk Cousins and the Vikings a legitimate deep threat and has shown that he can play on the outside or in the slot. Jefferson has averaged 94.5 yards receiving in the last two games.

Jefferson Trying His Best To Overtake Herbert

Jefferson is worthy of having the second-best odds to win the OROY at +900, but it will be extremely tough for him to overtake Herbert with just one game remaining. His 113 targets rank 19th among receivers and his 79 receptions are good for 21st in the league.

Jefferson has put up some solid numbers over the last few weeks, but he will need to put up a crazy stat line in the final game of the season if he is going to have any chance of winning the award. He is looking to become the first wideout to win the award since Odell Beckham Jr. in 2014.

Taylor Has Played Himself Into the Conversation

Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor hasn’t had OROY odds for a few weeks and over that time all he’s done is average 97.6 yards on the ground and 1.2 touchdowns. He joins Jefferson with +900 odds to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award.

Taylor had a stretch of three weeks earlier in the season when he was almost completely shut down, totaling just 61 yards rushing over that span. Since then, he has had no less than 74 yards rushing in a game and has scored a touchdown in each of his last four games.

Taylor was drafted in the second round of last year’s draft and was expected to be the backup to Marlon Mack. However, Mack tore his ACL in Week 1 and Taylor has since been anointed the team’s lead back.

The Colts need to win their final game against the Jacksonville Jaguars and get some help from other teams in the AFC to make the playoffs. Taylor is poised to have a great game against the Jaguars, who rank 29th in the league in giving up 145.3 rush yards per game. While Taylor is a huge long shot, especially with the seasons that Herbert and Jefferson have had, he is worthy of being on the oddsboard given how well he has played over the last month.

Check out our NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds to find out which rookie is favored to make the biggest impact on the other side of the field.

Reading NFL Rookie of the Year Odds

At any football betting sites, you’ll see offensive rookie prop odds laid out like this:

Justin Herbert  -2000

Justin Jefferson +900

Unlike a traditional bet where there is a clear favorite and underdog, the player with the lowest odds is the fave. The rest are considered dogs. If you think Herbert is the way to go, and you bet $100, you’d get a payout of $105 – you get your original money back along with your winnings of $5. Conversely, if you believe Jefferson is going to step up for the Vikings, that same $100 would give you $1,000 – your $100 is returned coupled with the $900 you’d win.

Our Odds Calculator is a tool that will show you what you’d win based on the amount you bet and the odds offered.

If you’re going to bet on underdogs, make sure to do your research – or at least bookmark this page and let our NFL experts do the work for you. There’s a reason that a player’s odds are a certain way. They’ve succumbed to injury, their production is slowing down, they’ve been traded and are having a hard time jelling with their new team – these are some of the many factors that will hinder a player in winning Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY).

What is a Prop Bet on NFL Offensive Rookies?

To wager on something like the OROY, you would be making a prop bet. This is a bet based on the occurrence or non-occurrence of specific milestones that may not correlate directly to the outcome of a certain matchup. For instance, a contender for this award could play on a mediocre squad yet still be in the running due to his on-field prowess. It wouldn’t matter if his team wins football games or not, as long as he’s racking up yards and catches.