The Toronto Maple Leafs are in a 3-1 hole in their first-round series with the Boston Bruins and will need a lot of things to go their way ahead of Saturday’s Game 5 at TD Garden. The OVER is trending when the Leafs hit the road, as seven of Toronto’s past nine away from home have gone above the closing total.
Sportsbook opened the Bruins as -180 home favorites with a total of 5.5.
SHARK BITES
The Bruins are 7-1 SU in their last eight games against their division at home.
The Maple Leafs are 1-6 SU in their last seven games against their division on the road.
The total has gone OVER in four of the Bruins' last five games at home after consecutive road games.
The Leafs trailed in the series 3-1 before winning the next two games and blowing a two-goal lead in the final seconds of an unforgettable Game 7. Toronto will get a boost with the return of center Nazem Kadri, who received a three-game suspension for a dangerous hit on Tommy Wingels in the series opener. If the Leafs are going to get back in the series, they’ll need their top player, Auston Matthews, to get going. Matthews has been held off the scoresheet in three of the four games so far this series.
Patrice Bergeron, who didn’t play in Game 4, skated on his own on Friday and his status for today’s matchup was uncertain as of this writing. Bergeron’s line accounted for 20 points in the first two games at TD Garden as Boston hammered Toronto by a combined 12-4 margin. Brad Marchand has four goals and 10 points in seven matchups with Toronto this season.
The visiting team is 1-5 SU and ATS in the last six matchups between the Eastern Conference clubs, which will please Bruins bettors ahead of Game 5.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Betting fans looking to side with the Boston Bruins in this one found them earlier as -180 favorites on the NHL money line at Sportsbook. Betting the over under total instead? It was hovering near 5.5 at its open earlier today at Sportsbook and may have moved.
Odds Shark computer score prediction models pick a possible 4-1.6 win for the Bruins on Saturday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.
Supporters of the Toronto Maple Leafs have seen them go 50-29-7 so far this season, while the Bruins are at 53-21-12. In totals betting, the Boston Bruins are 38-43-5, while the Maple Leafs are 43-36-7. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Boston vs Toronto injuries news.
The NHL Power Rankings at Odds Shark show the No. 1-rated Toronto Maple Leafs taking on the No. 2-rated Boston Bruins in this contest.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Boston Bruins No. 5-ranked offense (3.31 goals per game) against a Toronto Maple Leafs defense that ranks No. 13 at 2.9 goals per game allowed. The Bruins Sportsbook has clicked at a 24.54% rate while the Maple Leafs have a 80.17% rate on the penalty kill.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Betting Trends
Toronto is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Toronto's last 24 games
Toronto is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road