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NFL Draft Had Little Impact On Odds To Win Super Bowl

Despite several teams reshaping their roster – for better or worse – in the NFL draft, oddsmakers have found little reason for any drastic movement in the Super Bowl futures.

The top teams in the NFL according to the odds are the New England Patriots (+500), Philadelphia Eagles (+800), Los Angeles Rams (+900), Pittsburgh Steelers (+1000), Minnesota Vikings (+1200) and the Green Bay Packers (+1200). Each of those six teams was largely already set for next season with rookies expected to fill smaller voids in the lineup.

This draft was an interesting one – from both a talent and draft order perspective – with seemingly very few players who could help transform a team. In fact, none of the four teams with a top-five pick in the draft (the Cleveland Browns had the first and fourth overall picks) saw their odds to win the Super Bowl increase. Quite the opposite, with three of those teams seeing their odds get worse.

The most notable climber is the Indianapolis Colts, who went from +6000 to +4000. The Colts wisely spent two of their top three picks on offensive linemen – including blue-chipper Quenton Nelson – in the hopes of protecting Andrew Luck once he gets back on the field. It was interesting that both those selections were guards but after watching the number of injuries affect the Colts O-line last season, depth is not a bad thing.

One team that surprised me to actually drop slightly after the draft was the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers had one of the better drafts top to bottom, addressing areas of concern by drafting DJ Moore to be the new No. 1 receiver and Donte Jackson to work in the slot. They also got versatile playmakers with high upside in Rashaan Gaulden and Ian Thomas.

Now that the draft is over, we wait for training camp and the ensuing quarterback battles we will all get far too invested in – even if we have zero rooting interest in the team.

Odds to win Super Bowl 53
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+500
Philadelphia Eagles+800
Los Angeles Rams+900
Pittsburgh Steelers+1000
Minnesota Vikings+1200
Green Bay Packers+1200
San Francisco 49ers+1500
New Orleans Saints+2200
Houston Texans+2500
Atlanta Falcons+3000
Oakland Raiders+3000
Dallas Cowboys+3000
Denver Broncos+3000
Seattle Seahawks+3000
Carolina Panthers+3500
Jacksonville Jaguars+3500
Los Angeles Chargers+3500
Kansas City Chiefs+4000
Baltimore Ravens+4000
Indianapolis Colts+4000
Tennessee Titans+4500
Detroit Lions+6000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+6500
New York Giants+7500
Washington Redskins+8000
Arizona Cardinals+8000
Buffalo Bills+10000
Cleveland Browns+10000
Miami Dolphins+10000
Chicago Bears+10000
Cincinnati Bengals+10000
New York Jets+10000

Odds as of May 1 at Bovada

Archived Articles

The Los Angeles Rams were the surprise of the 2017 NFL season, becoming one of the best and most exciting teams in the NFL. Expectations were sky-high at the end of last season but the Rams now hold the fourth-best odds to win Super Bowl 53 after their aggressive offseason.  

Les Snead has no intention of letting this team rest on its laurels, as the Rams general manager has gone full Madden franchise mode this offseason. 

The Rams acquired a pair of former Pro Bowl corners in Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib for next to nothing, then signed Ndamukong Suh to a one-year deal. Adding that trio to an already loaded defense that features Aaron Donald, Lamarcus Joyner and horribly underrated John Johnson could make it the best defense in the NFL.

But, of course, there is a reason Peters, Talib and Suh all came relatively cheaply. All three of those players are head cases with plenty of rumored personality issues in the locker room. Peters wore out his welcome in Kansas City after infamously throwing a referee’s flag into the crowd, Talib has long been known for his brash behavior both on and off the field and Suh was cut from the Dolphins – despite being one of the best defensive tackles in football – because he was too much to deal with behind the scenes.   

Yes, all three are incredibly talented but can that many egos survive in one locker room – let alone one in the city of Los Angeles?

We don’t know, but if any coaching duo can theoretically make it work, it is the tandem of Sean McVay and Wade Phillips. It has not taken long for players around the league to legitimately want to play for McVay even though he’s the youngest coach in NFL history. The offensive wunderkind relates to players on a level that no other coach in the NFL can. Then there is the 70-year-old Phillips, who – aside from being one of the best defensive minds of his generation – has a long-standing history of getting former problem players to play to their maximum potential.

The Rams defense is basically a box of dynamite. The destructive force is undeniable when harnessed properly but you need to correct people planting the charges or it will blow up in their faces. We don’t know yet if McVay and Phillips are the right tandem to handle all the combustive elements but there is no duo in the NFL I would trust more right now.

That’s only the defense, though. The Rams featured one of the top offenses in the NFL last season thanks to McVay’s scheming, Jared Goff’s growth and Todd Gurley’s overall excellence. Yeah, they need to replace the production of Sammy Watkins but the Rams still have Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp at receiver – plus a wealth of young potential pass-catchers.

The Rams legitimately look like one of the best teams in football. Unlike previous teams that acquired a bunch of older talent in the past, the Rams are mixing veterans with a young core that has already proven it can compete with the best. Nobody wins a Super Bowl in the offseason but the Rams have convinced more than a few people that they have their sights set on the Lombardi Trophy this season.

Odds to win Super Bowl 53
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+500
Philadelphia Eagles+850
Minnesota Vikings+900
Los Angeles Rams+1200
Pittsburgh Steelers+1200
San Francisco 49ers+1200
Green Bay Packers+1400
New Orleans Saints+2000
Atlanta Falcons+2200
Jacksonville Jaguars+2200
Houston Texans+2200
Oakland Raiders+2200
Denver Broncos+2500
Seattle Seahawks+2800
Dallas Cowboys+2800
Carolina Panthers+3300
Kansas City Chiefs+3300
Los Angeles Chargers+3300
Baltimore Ravens+5000
Tennessee Titans+5000
Detroit Lions+5000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+5000
New York Giants+5000
Indianapolis Colts+6000
Washington Redskins+6600
Buffalo Bills+6600
Arizona Cardinals+6600
Cleveland Browns+6600
Miami Dolphins+7000
Chicago Bears+8000
Cincinnati Bengals+9000
New York Jets+10000

Odds as of March 28 at Bovada

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