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Odds To Win AFC East: Patriots Are Large Faves to Win 10th Straight Divisional Title

AFC East Betting Odds August 29

There are three certainties in life. Death, taxes and the New England Patriots being favored to win the AFC East division. Online sportsbooks have released odds on which teams will win their respective divisions and as expected, the Patriots are an overwhelming -800 favorite to win their 10th divisional crown in a row.

Here is a breakdown of each AFC East team’s chances to top the division:

New England Patriots

Odds to win AFC East -800

The Pats have been the poster boys of consistency in modern professional sports. Winning the AFC East in 14 of the last 15 seasons, it’s hard to envision a letdown from the Massholes, even with the exodus of key players like Brandin Cooks, Dion Lewis and Nate Solder.

New England employs the “next man up” mentality better than any team in the NFL and used its free-agency period to address its defense, which got shredded for most of 2017 (including in Super Bowl 52). The value at -800 is awful, in my opinion, but it may be the safest bet in sports.

Miami Dolphins

Odds to win AFC East +1100

Finishing 6-10 and third in the AFC East last season, the Miami Dolphins may be in football purgatory due to their ongoing quarterback dilemma. Ryan Tannehill is back this season after missing last year with a knee injury and should have a better showing than anything Jay Cutler managed in a fill-in role.

The Fins let go of the inflated contracts of Ndamukong Suh and Mike Pouncey and used that money on Danny Amendola, Albert Wilson and Josh Sitton, so it remains to be seen how those roster changes play out. But Miami was ranked 27th in points allowed per game last season and while head coach Adam Gase may be able to manufacture points with his gimmick offense, the Dolphins may not have done enough to address their defensive deficiencies.

Buffalo Bills

Odds to win AFC East +1400

The Bills finally broke through last season and made the postseason for the first time since 1999. Although the 2017 stats paint a picture of an awful defense, the Bills have blue-chippers at each level of their defense and picked up DT Star Lotulelei and CB Vontae Davis in free agency along with drafting their MLB of the future, Tremaine Edmunds.

But where I expect them to be better is on offense after drafting quarterback Josh Allen. The Bills only managed 18.7 points per game under former QB Tyrod Taylor and Buffalo’s coaching staff has been raving about Allen’s progression and his ability to throw deep, which was not Taylor’s forte. It’s still a risk at +1400 but this team has a much better shot to dethrone the Patriots than the next team on the list.

New York Jets

Odds to Win AFC East +1500

After New York finished 5-11 and last in the division in 2017, oddsmakers are predicting the J-E-T-S to stay at the bottom with a 6 O/U win total. New York got its quarterback of the future by selecting Sam Darnold with the third pick in the 2018 NFL Draft but didn’t really improve anywhere else on the roster outside of that position.

The Jets defense was already a dumpster fire (22nd in points allowed last season) and they released Muhammad Wilkerson, who was their best defensive lineman. New York finished 2-4 SU within the division last season and with no notable improvements outside of a rookie quarterback, it’s hard to endorse New York to win anything, let alone the division.

Odds to Win 2018 AFC East Division
New England Patriots-800
Buffalo Bills+1100
Miami Dolphins+1400
New York Jets+1500

Odds as of September 5 at Bovada