NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Minnesota
Timberwolves
19 - 21
Oklahoma City
Thunder
25 - 14
January 08, 2019, 8:00 PM EST
 | Paycom Center

Game Preview

Minnesota
Timberwolves
19 - 21
Oklahoma City
Thunder
25 - 14
January 08, 2019, 8:00 PM EST
 | Paycom Center
  • After a wonky home game that saw the Oklahoma City Thunder drop an ugly one to the Wizards, they’ll look to bounce back when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight. The Thunder are 1.5 games back of the Nuggets for the best record in the Western Conference but got upset by the T-Wolves when they hosted them just over two weeks ago. Minnesota may have a different look tonight with the firing of head coach Tom Thibodeau and has gone 15-12 SU in 27 games since the Jimmy Butler trade.

    SHARK BITES
    • The Thunder are 13-3 SU and 10-6 ATS in their last 16 games at home.
    • The Timberwolves are 5-15 SU in 20 road games this season.
    • The UNDER has hit in 5 of the Thunder’s last 6 games.

    Timberwolves vs Thunder Game Center

    Thunder Have Been A Top-Three Team Since November

    Since dropping the Sportsbook four games of the season, the Thunder have been on an absolute tear through NBA teams. OKC has gone 25-10 SU in 35 games since that dismal start and one of the main reasons has been the play of Paul George. PG-13 is gunning for First Team All-NBA given how he’s balling out as the eighth-year forward is averaging career highs across the board with 26.8 points, eight rebounds and four assists per game while shooting 38 percent from three-point range.

    Defensively, the Thunder are also among the best teams in the league as they rank fifth in points allowed per game, lead the league in forced turnovers and are tied for third in point differential (+5.8). That and how George is balling out have been the main factors for why the Thunder are 13-3 SU and 10-6 ATS in their last 16 games at home.

    I like the Thunder to come out firing and win by eight or more tonight because they’re 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS in eight home games this season when favored by that margin. That being said, they have failed to cover in the last five games in this matchup so I would understand why certain bettors may steer clear.

    New Head Coach Could Be Huge for T-Wolves

    The fact that I have heirlooms older than the new head coach of the Minnesota Timberwolves could either be a huge advantage for Minny or classify me as a hoarder. Either way, the T-Wolves are taking a gamble with the 32-year-old Ryan Saunders as the interim coach as he’s the youngest coach in the NBA and the son of the former coach, Flip Saunders.

    To be fair, I’m unsure what type of defensive mechanisms he’ll take from Thibodeau’s system but he has been gearing the offense for Minny since 2014. Speaking of 14, coincidentally the Timberwolves rank 14th in both points scored and points allowed per game and Saunders will need to get creative with Derrick Rose expected to be out tonight. Rose is scoring 18.9 points per game so Karl-Anthony Towns will need to step up and when he scores 25 points or more, the T-Wolves are 7-4 SU in 11 games since the Jimmy Butler trade.

    I do like the Timberwolves to cover tonight and expect them to play hard with a new coach on board while the “new coach” smell is still fresh. It’s also worth noting Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last six games when playing at Chesapeake Energy Arena.

    You Can't Spell Thunder Without UNDER

    The total opened at 226 (since moved to 227) and I like the UNDER to come through for totals bettors. The UNDER has hit in five of the Thunder’s last six games with an average combined score of 215.5. In the Thunder’s last 18 games, the final combined score has only gone over 227 points three times.

    My Pick Is…

    To take the UNDER. I think the Thunder’s defense will come to play and 227 points just seems like too many points to give based on their recent track record.

Odds

Tuesday, January 8 Tue Jan 8


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+7.5
-110
+275
o226
-110
-7.5
-110
-400
u226
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+8
-103
+305
o228.5
-105
-8
-117
-365
u228.5
-115

Edge Finder

115.09
Points Scored
117.27
48.84
Field Goal %
46.43
36.49
Three Point %
35.47
75.81
Free Throw %
81.06
41.75
Total Rebounds
43.56
115.09
Points Scored
117.27
29.98
First Quarter
29.23
28.43
Second Quarter
29.52
28.79
Third Quarter
30.71
27.09
Fourth Quarter
26.90
48.84
Field Goal %
46.43
75.81
Free Throw %
81.06
36.49
Three Point %
35.47
33.31
Three's Attempts
34.20
12.16
Three's Made
12.13
9.04
Offensive
11.40
32.71
Defensive
32.15
41.75
Total Rebounds
43.56
26.03
Assists
24.36
21.54
Fouls
20.96
14.72
Turnovers
12.45
8.02
Steals
8.24

Head To Head

MIN
Stat Type OKC
6-4
Record
4-6
7-3
ATS
3-7
4-5-1
O/U
4-5-1
104.40
Points Scored
104.60
51.80
Half Time Score
56.20
46.65%
Field Goal Percentage
46.66%
39.10
Rebounds
43.60
76/208
3 Point Shots
73/244
9.10
Steals
7.50
MIN
Stat Type OKC
2-1
Record
1-2
3-0
ATS
0-3
2-1
O/U
2-1
108.33
Points Scored
103.67
51.33
Half Time Score
58.00
49.79%
Field Goal Percentage
46.77%
37.00
Rebounds
42.33
33/71
3 Point Shots
23/76
9.33
Steals
7.00
Dec 23/18 (1 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type OKC
Away
Home
114
Points Scored
112
+6.5
ATS
-6.5
221.5 o
O/U
221.5 u
53
Half Time Score
63
49.40%
Field Goal Percentage
47.80%
41
Rebounds
44
14/27
3 Point Shots
9/25
9
Steals
5
Jan 10/18 (2 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type OKC
Home
Away
104
Points Scored
88
-4.5
ATS
+4.5
213 o
O/U
213 u
47
Half Time Score
47
48.80%
Field Goal Percentage
40.50%
44
Rebounds
41
7/20
3 Point Shots
6/25
12
Steals
9
Dec 1/17 (3 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type OKC
Away
Home
107
Points Scored
111
+5.5
ATS
-5.5
208 o
O/U
208 u
54
Half Time Score
64
51.30%
Field Goal Percentage
51.90%
26
Rebounds
42
12/24
3 Point Shots
8/26
7
Steals
7
Oct 27/17 (4 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type OKC
Home
Away
119
Points Scored
116
+2
ATS
-2
218 o
O/U
218 u
59
Half Time Score
59
48.80%
Field Goal Percentage
50.00%
44
Rebounds
35
8/22
3 Point Shots
8/28
5
Steals
8
Oct 22/17 (5 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type OKC
Away
Home
115
Points Scored
113
+4
ATS
-4
210.5 o
O/U
210.5 u
61
Half Time Score
54
50.00%
Field Goal Percentage
47.90%
45
Rebounds
36
10/25
3 Point Shots
11/31
5
Steals
9
Apr 11/17 (6 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type OKC
Home
Away
98
Points Scored
100
-8
ATS
+8
208.5 o
O/U
208.5 u
43
Half Time Score
56
44.20%
Field Goal Percentage
43.00%
35
Rebounds
54
5/20
3 Point Shots
7/22
12
Steals
7
Jan 13/17 (7 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type OKC
Home
Away
96
Points Scored
86
+2
ATS
-2
208.5 o
O/U
208.5 u
45
Half Time Score
50
45.30%
Field Goal Percentage
38.80%
42
Rebounds
47
5/18
3 Point Shots
3/20
11
Steals
10
Dec 25/16 (8 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type OKC
Away
Home
100
Points Scored
112
+4
ATS
-4
212 o
O/U
212 u
53
Half Time Score
57
47.00%
Field Goal Percentage
51.20%
36
Rebounds
42
4/12
3 Point Shots
8/24
11
Steals
8
Nov 5/16 (9 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type OKC
Away
Home
92
Points Scored
112
+4.5
ATS
-4.5
210 o
O/U
210 u
53
Half Time Score
59
39.30%
Field Goal Percentage
52.30%
41
Rebounds
41
4/19
3 Point Shots
7/16
7
Steals
9
Mar 11/16 (10 of 10)
MIN
Stat Type OKC
Away
Home
99
Points Scored
96
+12
ATS
-12
223.5 o
O/U
223.5 u
50
Half Time Score
53
43.00%
Field Goal Percentage
42.90%
37
Rebounds
54
7/21
3 Point Shots
6/27
12
Steals
3

Team Records

MIN
Record OKC
19-21
All
25-14
14-6
Home
13-5
5-15
Away
12-9
13-8
As Fav
20-10
6-13
As Dog
5-4
21-19
ATS
22-17
13-7
ATS Home
10-8
8-12
ATS Away
12-9
20-20
O/U
15-22-2
11-9
O/U Home
10-7-1
9-11
O/U Away
5-15-1
MIN
Record OKC
5-5
All
6-4
2-2
Home
1-2
3-3
Away
5-2
3-2
As Fav
4-4
2-3
As Dog
2-0
5-5
ATS
6-4
2-2
ATS Home
1-2
3-3
ATS Away
5-2
9-1
O/U
2-6-2
3-1
O/U Home
1-1-1
6-0
O/U Away
1-5-1
MIN
Record OKC
3-3
All
3-3
2-1
Home
1-2
1-2
Away
2-1
1-1
As Fav
1-3
2-2
As Dog
2-0
3-3
ATS
3-3
2-1
ATS Home
1-2
1-2
ATS Away
2-1
2-4
O/U
2-4
1-2
O/U Home
2-1
1-2
O/U Away
0-3
MIN
Record OKC
10-6
All
10-3
6-4
Home
5-2
4-2
Away
5-1
9-3
As Fav
8-2
1-3
As Dog
2-1
10-6
ATS
8-5
5-5
ATS Home
4-3
5-1
ATS Away
4-2
10-6
O/U
6-7
7-3
O/U Home
3-4
3-3
O/U Away
3-3
MIN
Record OKC
9-15
All
15-11
8-2
Home
8-3
1-13
Away
7-8
4-5
As Fav
12-8
5-10
As Dog
3-3
11-13
ATS
14-12
8-2
ATS Home
6-5
3-11
ATS Away
8-7
10-14
O/U
9-15-2
4-6
O/U Home
7-3-1
6-8
O/U Away
2-12-1

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Kyle AndersonSFIs "?" Sunday vs LA Clippers, Hamstring
Anthony EdwardsSGLeft last game, is "?" Sunday vs LA Clippers, Ankle
Jaylen ClarkSFIs out indefinitely, Achilles
Name Position Inj Desc
Jaylin WilliamsCIs downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Phoenix, Knee

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Jan 6, 2019LAL108-86W-8224.50W/U46.0771.4311
Jan 4, 2019ORL120-103W-4214W/O51.6573.919
Jan 2, 2019BOS102-115L+6.5214.50L/O48.1971.437
Dec 31, 2018NOP114-123L+5.5226.50L/O46.2482.619
Dec 30, 2018MIA113-104W+4207W/O40.4380.568
Dec 28, 2018ATL120-123L-9.5229.50L/O44.9055.2611
Dec 26, 2018CHI119-94W-4210.50W/O49.4684.2111
Dec 23, 2018OKC114-112W+6.5221.50W/O49.4066.6714
Dec 21, 2018SAN98-124L+4219.50L/O39.7683.876
Dec 19, 2018DET123-129L-5.5216.50L/O43.6982.769
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Jan 6, 2019WAS98-116L-10227.50L/U43.1863.1610
Jan 4, 2019POR111-109W+1223.50W/U42.5588.468
Jan 2, 2019LAL107-100W-5229.50W/U38.1064.527
Dec 31, 2018DAL122-102W-7.5224W/P44.6668.576
Dec 30, 2018DAL103-105L-2.5226L/U43.0166.679
Dec 28, 2018PHO118-102W-4.5226W/U53.6869.237
Dec 25, 2018HOU109-113L-1222L/P43.8866.679
Dec 23, 2018MIN112-114L-6.5221.50L/O47.7877.279
Dec 22, 2018UTA107-106W+2219.50W/U47.1963.649
Dec 19, 2018SAC132-113W-4.5232W/O50.0062.9613
View Game Logs
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