NHL Free Agency Odds. Where will Patrick Kane play in 23-24?

NHL Free Agency Tracker & Odds: Would Patrick Kane Sign in Colorado?

Step one of the NHL offseason is the entry draft. And now step two is free agency. On Canada Day, the NHL opened the floodgate on the free agent market. All 32 teams can try to sign any player not signed to a contract.

This year's class of pending unrestricted free agents is...to put it lightly, awful. Here's a look at some of the top names available and where they might be going.

2023 Free Agency Odds

We'll keep track of where free agents end up going at the bottom of the copy. So follow along with our 2023 Free Agency Tracker.

Where Will Patrick Kane Play in 2023-24?

TeamOdds
Carolina Hurricanes+300
Colorado Avalanche+400
Toronto Maple Leafs+500
Dallas Stars+600
New Jersey Devils+700
Pittsburgh Penguins+750

 

I initially thought staying in New York made sense. But with the Rangers signing Nash, Wheeler and Bonino I don't think there's room for him anymore. Carolina also might be off the board. The Canes signed Bunting and Fast to fill out their forward depth. 

The options for Kane are dwindling to hook up with a contender. 

Colorado might be the best fit. They've got cap space with Gabriel Landeskog on LTIR and they have a need for depth on the right side of their middle six. With all due respect to Logan O'Connor, Patrick Kane, even at 34, is a big upgrade.

Where Will Vladimir Tarasenko Play in 2023-24?

TeamOdds
Carolina Hurricanes+250
Florida Panthers+300
Colorado Avalanche+400
Toronto Maple Leafs+500
Dallas Stars+600
Los Angeles Kings+750
New York Islanders+900

 

Tarasenko had a down year last season. With 18 goals between the Blues and the Rangers, the 2010 16th overall pick had his lowest goal production ever. I don't think the Rangers will pony up the money to pay him off of that season.

The Islanders need goals. The Isles 2.95 goals per game was 22nd last year. That 2.95 G/GP was the highest scoring rate on the Island since 2017-18. Lou Lamoriello's side has needed goals for a while.

But the Islanders seem locked in on acquiring Alex Debrincat from Ottawa. A secondary option might just be to stay in New York.

The Rangers have the space with ~$6.2 million in cap space. Keeping Tarasenko would push Blake Wheeler down to a third-line role and Barclay Goodrow to a fourth-line role. That's a better deployment for both of those guys.

If you can find Rangers odds as Tarasenko's next destination I have no doubt there's good value there.

Where Did Ryan O'Reilly Sign for 2023-24?

TeamOdds
Colorado Avalanche+135
Pittsburgh Penguins+300
St. Louis Blues+400
Toronto Maple Leafs+400
Columbus Blue Jackets+500
Vancouver Canucks+500

Odds from June 28

I thought O'Reilly would stay in Toronto. The fact that he left surprised me. Signing with Nashville surprises me even more. The Preds don't project to be contenders for a while. New GM Barry Trotz is clearly in rebuild mode. 

This was such a left-field play, that Nashville wasn't even on the board. But good for ROR to get the term and money he got to play in Smashville.

Confirmed NHL Free Agent Signings

As promised here's a list of all the free-agent signings so far in the NHL. Rather than give you a long list of names, we've broken it down by team by division. We're only looking at UFAs signed to standard NHL 1-way contracts.

Here's a quick way to look at all four NHL Divisions:

Atlantic Division

Atlantic Division 2023 Free Agent Signings
TeamPlayer (Years/AAV)
Boston BruinsKevin Shattenkirk (1/$1.05m)
Morgan Geekie (2/$2m)
Patrick Brown (2/$800,000)
James Van Riemsdyk (1/$1m)
Buffalo SabresConnor Clifton (3/$3.33m)
Tyson Jost (1/$2m)
Detroit Red WingsChristian Fischer (1/$1.125m)
Alex Lyon (2/$900,000)
Klim Kostin (2/$2m)
Justin Holl (3/$3.4m)
Shayne Gostisbehere (1/$4.125)
J.T. Compher (5/$5.1m)
Gustav Lindstrom (1/$950,000)
Florida PanthersEvan Rodrigues (4/$3m)
Kevin Stenlund (1/$1m)
Anthony Stolarz (1/$1.1m)
Oliver Ekman-Larsson (1/$2.25m)
Niko Mikkola (3/$2.5m)
Dmitry Kulikov (1/$1m)
Mike Reilly (1/$1m)
Montreal CanadiensN/A
Ottawa SenatorsJoonas Korpisalo (5/$4m)
Tampa Bay LightningCalvin de Haan (1/$775,000)
Luke Glendening (2/$800,000)
Jonas Johansson (2/$775,000)
Josh Archibald (2/$800,000)
Conor Sheary (3/$2m)
Toronto Maple LeafsMax Domi (1/$3m)
Tyler Bertuzzi (1/$5.5m)
John Klingberg (1/$4.15m)
Ryan Reaves (3/$1.35m)
Dylan Gambrell (1/$775,000)

 

Metropolitan Divison

Metropolitan Division 2023 Free Agent Signings
TeamPlayer (Years/AAV)
Carolina HurricanesMichael Bunting (3/$4.5m)
Frederik Andersen (2/$3.4m)
Antti Raanta (1/$1.5m)
Dmitry Orlov (2/$7.75m)
Jesper Fast (2/$2.4m)
Columbus Blue JacketsN/A
New Jersey DevilsMichael McLeod (1/$1.4m)
Nathan Bastian (2/$1.35m)
New York IslandersScott Mayfield (7/$3.5m)
Pierre Engvall (7/$3m)
Semyon Varlamov (4/$2.75m)
New York RangersRiley Nash (2/$775,000)
Erik Gustafsson (1/$825,000)
Tyler Pitlick (1/$787,500)
Jonathan Quick (1/$825,000)
Blake Wheeler (1/$800,000)
Nick Bonino (1/$800,000)
Philadelphia FlyersGarnet Hathaway (2/$2.375m)
Ryan Poehling (1/$1.4m)
Mark Staal (1/$1.1m)
Pittsburgh PenguinsRyan Shea (1/$775,000)
Lars Eller (2/$2.45m)
Noel Acciari (3/$2m)
Ryan Graves (6/$4.5m)
Tristan Jarry (5/$5.375m)
Alex Nedeljkovic (1/$1.5m)
Matt Nieto (2/$900,000)
Washington CapitalsMatthew Phillips (1$775,000)
Max Pacioretty (1/$2m)

 

Central Division

Central Division 2023 Free Agent Signings
TeamPlayer (Years/AAV)
Arizona CoyotesNick Bjugstad (2/$2.1m)
Alexander Kerfoot (2/$3.5m)
Jason Zucker (1/$5.3m)
Troy Stecher (1/$1.1)
Chicago BlackhawksRyan Donato (2/$2m)
Colorado AvalancheJonathan Drouin (1/$825,000)
Miles Wood (6/$2.5m)
Jack Johnson (1/$775,000)
Andrew Cogliano (1/$825,000)
Dallas StarsGavin Bayreuther (1/$775,000)
Sam Steel (1/$850,000)
Craig Smith (1/$1m)
Joel Hanley (2/$787,500)
Matt Duchene (1/$3m)
Minnesota WildN/A
Nashville PredatorsLuke Schenn (3/$2.75m)
Gustav Nyquist (2/$3.185)
Ryan O'Reilly (4/$4.5m)
St. Louis BluesMackenzie MacEachern (2/$775,000)
Winnipeg JetsJeffery Viel (1/$775,000)
Laurent Brossoit (1/$1.75m)
Vladislav Namestnikov (2/$2m)
Collin Delia (1/$775,000)

 

Pacific Division

Central Division 2023 Free Agent Signings
TeamPlayer (Years/AAV)
Anaheim DucksRadko Gudas (3/$4m)
Alex Killorn (4/$6.25m)
Calgary FlamesJordan Oesterle (1/$925,000)
Edmonton OilersLane Pederson (2/$775,000)
Connor Brown (1/$775,000)
Los Angeles KingsDavid Rittich (1/$875,000)
Jaret Anderson-Dolan (1/$775,000)
Andreas Englund (2/$1m)
Trevor Lewis (1/$775,000)
Cam Talbot (1/$1m)
San Jose SharksKyle Burroughs (3/$1.1m)
Givani Smith (2/$800,000)
Mackenzie Blackwood (2/$2.35m)
Seattle KrakenKailer Yamamoto (1/$1.5m)
Brian Dumoulin (2/$3.15m)
Vancouver CanucksIan Cole (1/$3m)
Carson Soucy (3/$3.25m)
Teddy Blueger (1/$1.9m)
Vegas Golden KnightsN/A

 

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