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Tampa Bay Lightning are expected to lead the NHL over/under team points totals

The 2021 NHL season is ready for puck drop and oddsmakers have released the OVER/UNDER season point totals for all 31 clubs in the upcoming 56-game campaign.

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Online sportsbook [ol-sportsbook-bp:48:Bovada:26:Bodog] has listed the Tampa Bay Lightning as the leader in NHL OVER/UNDER season point totals at 75.5. The Colorado Avalanche (74.5), Vegas Golden Knights (73.5), Boston Bruins (71.5), St. Louis Blues (70.5) and Carolina Hurricanes (70.5) round out the top teams on the oddsboard in NHL season point totals.

At the opposite end, the Detroit Red Wings (41.5), Ottawa Senators (45.5), Chicago Blackhawks (50.5), Los Angeles Kings (51.5) and New Jersey Devils (53.5) are the teams that are expected to finish at the bottom of the standings. The Red Wings’ 39-point output in 2019-20 was the worst in the league.

Canadiens Now Have The Pieces In Place

A few teams I like to go OVER their NHL regular-season projected point totals are the Montreal Canadiens (66.5) and Buffalo Sabres (54.5). The biggest reason I like the OVER in both cases is because of the improvements the teams made in the offseason.

Montreal squeaked into the qualifying round last year and proceeded to knock off the Pittsburgh Penguins before falling to Philadelphia in the next round. The Canadiens added some goaltender depth in Jake Allen to help take the pressure off Carey Price. They also added Joel Edmundson and rookie Alexander Romanov to bulk up the blue-line corps. It’s going to be tough for opposing offenses to get in front of Price and cause problems.

Up front, the Habs added four-time 20-goal scorer Tyler Toffoli and traded for speed and size in Josh Anderson. The Canadiens are also banking on the improvement and progress of young forwards Nick Suzuki and Jesperi Kotkaniemi.

Look Out For Buffalo

The Sabres finished with 68 points last season and just missed out on the qualifying round. Management went out and added veterans Eric Staal and Taylor Hall to improve the team’s offense around Jack Eichel. Eichel is one of the premier goal scorers in the league and has improved his goal tally each season, reaching a career-high 36 last year.

In a shortened season, that will be extremely tough to duplicate, but with players like Jeff Skinner and Hall around him, he should be one of the most productive forwards in the league this year.

The one concern for the Sabres is their goaltending situation. They will be relying on the duo of Carter Hutton and Linus Ullmark to help guide them to their first playoff appearance since the 2010-11 season.

Don’t Expect Florida and St. Louis To Reach Their Totals

Last year, the Florida Panthers gave goalie Sergei Bobrovsky a seven-year, $70-million deal. Unfortunately, Bobrovsky struggled, winning just 23 games with a 3.32 goals-against average. He is expected to miss some time right out of the gate with an undisclosed injury and that will put the Panthers behind the 8-ball.

They lost scoring forward Mike Hoffman, and veteran rearguard Keith Yandle has fallen out of favor with head coach Joel Quenneville. The Panthers will rely heavily on Jonathan Huberdeau, Aaron Ekblad and Aleksander Barkov. They did bring in Anthony Duclair, and young winger Owen Tippett should add some scoring punch.

The Panthers’ OVER/UNDER projected point total is 62.5, but they should struggle playing in the Central Division among the likes of the Lightning, Hurricanes, Stars and Predators.

Singing The Blues

The Blues are two years removed now from an improbable Stanley Cup victory. They took a huge hit this past offseason with captain Alex Pietrangelo’s move to Vegas as a free agent and the retirement of Jay Bouwmeester. They did add Torey Krug and Mike Hoffman to provide some depth.

Jordan Binnington was solid last year, picking up 30 wins, but he will be relied on heavily now that the defense has taken a step back. The Blues still have some solid players in Vladimir Tarasenko, Ryan O’Reilly and Brayden Schenn, but their OVER/UNDER team point total projection of 70.5 in a shortened season is too high for this team in a division with both the Avalanche and Golden Knights.

2021 NHL Regular-Season Point Projections

2021 NHL Regular-Season Point Totals
Team 2019-20 Season Points 2021 Projected Points OVER UNDER
Anaheim Ducks 67 53.5 -125 -105
Arizona Coyotes 74 58.5 -110 -120
Boston Bruins 100 71.5 +105 -135
Buffalo Sabres 68 54.5 -125 -105
Calgary Flames 79 63.5 -135 +105
Carolina Hurricanes 81 70.5 -115 -115
Chicago Blackhawks 72 50.5 -110 -120
Colorado Avalanche 92 74.5 -110 -120
Columbus Blue Jackets 81 63.5 -120 -110
Dallas Stars 82 65.5 -115 -110
Detroit Red Wings 39 41.5 -160 +120
Edmonton Oilers 83 65.5 EVEN -130
Florida Panthers 78 62.5 -105 -125
Los Angeles Kings 64 51.5 -125 -105
Minnesota Wild 77 60.5 -125 -105
Montreal Canadiens 71 66.5 -115 -115
Nashville Predators 78 64.5 -115 -115
New Jersey Devils 68 53.5 -115 -115
New York Islanders 80 64.5 +115 -150
New York Rangers 79 60.5 -115 -115
Ottawa Senators 64 45.5 -175 +120
Philadelphia Flyers 82 67.5 -105 -125
Pittsburgh Penguins 86 67.5 EVEN -130
San Jose Sharks 63 54.5 -130 EVEN
St. Louis Blues 94 70.5 -105 -125
Tampa Bay Lightning 92 75.5 +115 -150
Toronto Maple Leafs 81 69.5 -145 +110
Vancouver Canucks 78 63.5 -110 -120
Vegas Golden Knights 86 73.5 +120 -160
Washington Capitals 90 65.5 -125 -105
Winnipeg Jets 80 61.5 -115 -115

Odds as of January 13 at [ol-sportsbook-bp:48:Bovada:26:Bodog]