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Who Will be La Liga Champions in 2020-21?

La Liga Championship Odds

The battle to find the best La Liga odds is as typically tough as the fight for domestic supremacy in Spain’s La Liga Primera division has always been. Last season’s triumphant Real Madrid side confounded the odds to win La Liga at the start of last season and, marshalled by the returning Zinedine Zidane, ushered in a new era at the Berbabeu, overcoming their archrivals Barcelona. 

With a strong Atletico Madrid and Sevilla also sure to be in the shakeup, who is favored to win La Liga at the end of May? Let’s look at finding some value in the La Liga betting odds.

2020-21 La Liga Odds
TeamOdds
Real Madrid-1400
Barcelona+2000
Atletico Madrid+2500
Sevilla+5000
Valencia+5000
Villareal+10000
Real Sociedad+10000
Athletic Bilbao+10000
Real Betis+25000
Valladolid+25000
Getafe+25000
Granada CF+25000
Celta Vigo+50000
Levante+50000
Osasuna+50000
Eibar+50000
Alaves+50000
Cadiz+50000
Huesca+75000

Odds as of August 28 at Bovada

The Top Two

Within just hours of Barcelona’s humiliating 8-2 defeat at the hands of Bayern Munich in the Champions League, manager Quique Setien was dismissed, to be replaced by a man who is Barcelona through and through. Ronald Koeman, who scored the winner in the 1992 European Cup final to earn Barcelona their first European Cup triumph, is back at the Nou Camp, having excelled as Holland manager after spells at Southampton and Everton. 

Koeman already looks to have a huge job on, with Lionel Messi having handed in a transfer request. Losing the Argentine would be one thing, but with players such as Gerard Pique, Arturo Vidal and Luis Suarez all 33 years old too, a major revolution is needed in Catalonia. That’s putting us off the +2000 odds for Barcelona to win La Liga. 

Real Madrid is currently hovering around -1400 to lift the La Liga trophy in May and, despite being a lot shorter, would be our pick. Zidane has got Los Blancos playing some good football, but more importantly it’s winning football. Overhauling Barcelona post-lockdown to win La Liga in 2019-20 was no mean feat, and if he can bring in a winger to replace Gareth Bale, while letting the former Spurs man go, it could be the perfect preparation for the former French World Cup winner Zidane. 

With Eden Hazard hoping to avoid injuries and promising young players like Vinicius Junior coming through, the 34-time La Liga champions look well positioned to make it 35.

The Cup Kings 

While the top two are being discussed as huge favourites due to their impressive recent record of winning 15 out of the last 16 La Liga titles, both Atletico Madrid (+2500) and Sevilla (+5000) will go into the 2020-21 season full of confidence. 

Atletico Madrid last won La Liga in 2013-14, a season which ranks right up there with one of the best achievements of any title winner in any country, especially considering that Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo were in their absolute pomp at the time in question. 

Since then, Atletico haven’t come that close and while we love them as a cup side, Diego Simeone needs to freshen up his options. They still haven’t quite recovered from Diego Godin swapping Spain for Italy when he left for Inter Milan and up top, another Diego in Costa, the former Chelsea man, clearly has his best years a considerable distance behind him. 

We prefer Sevilla at twice the odds of Atletico, and they would be out tips to win without the “big two” also. Having won the Europa League for the sixth time in the last 15 seasons, a phenomenal achievement, the balance of their squad looked terrific, with the perfect blend of youth and experience, pace and power. It’s only their inexperience in a bona fide title race that puts us off tipping them to win the title outright. 

An Outside Bet 

Of the chasing pack behind the big four in Spain, we think that Real Sociedad could force their way into that top four, or at least get very close. At odds of +800 to make the Champions League places, they could well be a team to back, then cash out on around January as squad deficiencies caused by the imbalanced ability of teams to recruit players in Spain – Barcelona and Real Madrid having a stranglehold over TV money that has forced other teams to strike in the past – that smaller teams cannot cope with. 

Sociedad have improved markedly since a fairly disastrous period where David Moyes was in charge and new manager Imanol Alguacil led them to a sixth-place finish in 2019-20, an improvement from 12th in 2018 and 16th in 2019. If they continue that improvement, then they’ll get close to the Promised Land. 

You can look up the latest odds on La Liga futures markets via Bovada.


How to Read La Liga Odds

When you check out any soccer sportsbook, you’ll see odds laid out like so:

Barcelona -180

Real Madrid +120

In a traditional bet, you’d see the front-runner represented by the minus sign. The favorite is the team with the lowest odds and the rest are considered underdogs. Barcelona would be the fave here at -180.

Let’s say you’re looking at Real Madrid and believe they’ve got what it takes to win it all. If you were to bet $100 on them, you’d get a payout of $220 – your original bet of $100 is returned along with your winnings of $120.

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the offered odds and amount wagered.

What is a La Liga Futures Bet?

Any bet that you make on an event that will happen in time is a futures bet. Now you’re probably saying, “But all bets are made before a game.” This is true; however, futures odds are released weeks or even months in advance.

When oddsmakers create the lines, they are not permanent and will shift as more games are played. If you see odds you like, it’s best to take them as soon as you can before the odds move so much they lose all value.