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Odds to Win La Liga: Two-Team Race Between Barcelona and Real Madrid

La Liga Betting Odds May 27 2020 Leo Messi

Soccer leagues across the world are slowly returning to the pitch and La Liga just completed its first set of fixtures since reopening. Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, it had been a two-horse race for the Spanish league championship with FC Barcelona holding a slight odds edge over its rival, Real Madrid, and it remains that way.

The best soccer betting sites feel there are only two true contenders to take the Spanish title, with Barcelona listed at -180 to win it all and Real Madrid down to +120.

Barcelona leads La Liga standings with 61 points through 28 games while Real Madrid has 59 points through 28 fixtures.

If you’re not familiar with La Liga or need a refresher on soccer in general, Odds Shark has a handy How To Bet On Soccer guide that will walk you through your options.

Here are the betting odds on which team will win La Liga championship:

Odds to win the 2019-20 La Liga Championship
TeamOdds
FC Barcelona-180
Real Madrid+120

Odds as of June 15 at Bovada

The Return of Domestic Soccer

After the return of Bundesliga action was considered to be a roaring success, it was only a matter of time before other domestic leagues followed suit with La Liga back on the field and the English Premier League expected to follow suit this week.

Serie A in Italy is also expected back this week while MLS is in talks about a bubble-style return-to-play environment in July, similar to the NBA. Not all domestic leagues across the world opted to return, with France’s Ligue 1 and Holland’s Eredivisie cancelling their seasons.

Barcelona News and Remaining Schedule

Although FC Barcelona only has a two-point advantage over Real Madrid in the standings, they look to be in the driver’s seat for their remaining fixtures. In their first game back, Barca looked like they hadn’t missed a beat, scoring in the opening two minutes while Leo Messi notched a goal in the 93rd minute.

It’s hard to make a case against Barca because four of their remaining six “road” games are against squads that rank 13th or worse in the standings, with only one game against a top-five team (Sevilla).

Here are the post-shutdown fixtures expected for FC Barcelona:

Scoring hasn’t been an issue for Barca this season as they now have a +36 goal differential and superstar striker Luis Suarez is back in the lineup.

Real Madrid News and Remaining Schedule

Real Madrid took care of business in their first game back vs Eibar with the 3-1 result. Madrid scored all three goals in the first half but conceded in the 60th minute to lose the clean sheet.

Two points isn’t a huge deficit for the Zinedine Zidane-led club but Real Madrid knows they need to play perfect football for the remainder of the season to surpass Barca in the standings. In two meetings with Barca this season, they posted a 2-0 victory and played to a 0-0 draw but with those games over, Madrid can’t bank on El Clasico to vault past their hated rival. 

Despite having the fewest losses in La Liga with three, Real Madrid has a much harder schedule than Barca does. Real Sociedad, Getafe and Villarreal all are in the top 10 in the standings, which means Madrid will likely need Barca to falter along the way.

Here are the remaining fixtures expected for Real Madrid: 

While fielding top-level talent has never been an issue for Real Madrid, fitting those players in following their transfer to the club has not been a seamless endeavor. The best example is Eden Hazard, who after a wonderful stint with Chelsea in the Premiership has lacked form since moving to La Liga.

He returned to the lineup following an injury before the season stoppage but in 11 appearances in the Spanish league, he has only one goal and one assist. Madrid will need the winger to be at top form to close the gap on Barca. 


How to Read La Liga Odds

When you check out any soccer sportsbook, you’ll see odds laid out like so:

Barcelona -180

Real Madrid +120

In a traditional bet, you’d see the front-runner represented by the minus sign. The favorite is the team with the lowest odds and the rest are considered underdogs. Barcelona would be the fave here at -180.

Let’s say you’re looking at Real Madrid and believe they’ve got what it takes to win it all. If you were to bet $100 on them, you’d get a payout of $220 – your original bet of $100 is returned along with your winnings of $120.

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the offered odds and amount wagered.

What is a La Liga Futures Bet?

Any bet that you make on an event that will happen in time is a futures bet. Now you’re probably saying, “But all bets are made before a game.” This is true; however, futures odds are released weeks or even months in advance.

When oddsmakers create the lines, they are not permanent and will shift as more games are played. If you see odds you like, it’s best to take them as soon as you can before the odds move so much they lose all value.