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PGA Tour Expert Picks: BMW Championship

Louis Oosthuizen of South Africa looks on after a shot on the tenth hole during the first round of The Northern Trust at Liberty National Golf Club on August 08, 2019 in Jersey City, New Jersey.

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the second FedExCup playoffs event: the BMW Championship.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My Favorite Pick: Justin Rose +1600

Rose, the 2018 FedExCup champion, has proven to be amazingly consistent when it comes to showing up in the playoffs, and I’m expecting another strong performance from the Englishman in the second postseason event. Rose’s form is tough to ignore, as he has four top-15s and a T-20 in his last five starts.

Getting the job done with the flat stick is going to be imperative to posting a high score on Sunday at Medinah, and Rose ranks second on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: putting. Take the 39-year-old at +1600 and run.

My Second Favorite Pick: Louis Oosthuizen +3300

Oosthuizen has been a standout golfer on the tour for a long time, yet the South African is far from a household name. Despite the immense talent in the field, I like Oosthuizen’s chances at the 2019 BMW Championship.

Oosthuizen notched a pair of T-20s to finish off the regular season and delivered a T-6 at Liberty National, where he was third in greens in regulation, seventh in proximity and first in scrambling. Those stats indicate to me that Oosthuizen is on the verge of doing something big, so give me him at +3300 odds all day.

My Third Favorite Pick: Billy Horschel +5000

Horschel has a tendency to seemingly come out of nowhere and raise eyebrows on any given tournament, but he also has a habit of disappearing completely. He has fared well in non-majors, though, collecting four top-25s in non-major events entering this week.

Horschel did well to come back from an opening 72 at the Northern Trust and finish tied for 21st place while leading the field in strokes gained: putting. Don’t be surprised if the American continues that pace in the BMW Championship.