MLB

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Baltimore
Orioles
89 - 73
Chris Tillman (16-6) ERA: 3.78
Toronto
Blue Jays
89 - 73
Marcus Stroman (9-10) ERA: 4.33
October 04, 2016, 8:08 PM EDT
 | Rogers Centre

Game Preview

Baltimore
Orioles
89 - 73
Chris Tillman (16-6) ERA: 3.78
Toronto
Blue Jays
89 - 73
Marcus Stroman (9-10) ERA: 4.33
October 04, 2016, 8:08 PM EDT
 | Rogers Centre
  • The Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles have fought for 162 games to get into the postseason, and it’s all going to come down to a do-or-die showdown in the American League wild-card game north of the border tonight.

    Shark Bites
    • The Orioles are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games on the road against the Blue Jays.
    • The Blue Jays are 5-0 SU in their last five games at home after consecutive losses at home.
    • The Orioles are 0-4 SU in their last four playoff games.

    Chris Tillman and Marcus Stroman will get the start for the O’s and Jays, respectively. Tillman (16-6, 3.77 ERA) is the undisputed ace of the Orioles’ staff but is winless in his last three outings while failing to complete six innings in any of those appearances. The hurler is 5-10 with a 5.44 ERA in 24 career starts against the Blue Jays.

    Stroman (9-10, 4.37) went 1-0 with a 4.19 ERA in the playoffs last season and finished the 2016 campaign by allowing three or fewer earned runs in five of his last six starts. He has struggled against Baltimore this year, amassing a 1-2 record with a 7.04 ERA in four starts versus the divisional rivals.

    UNDER bettors will want to pay attention to this game. The UNDER is a perfect 7-0 in the last seven matchups between the clubs. Oddsmakers opened the total for the game at 8.5.

    Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick

    Those going with the Toronto Blue Jays in this one found them listed on the odds board as moneyline favorites of -151 at Sportsbook for Tuesday's contest. The betting total was hovering near 8.5 at Sportsbook.

    Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 4.2-3.4 win for the Orioles. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

    Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Matchup

    Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

    The Toronto Blue Jays bring a 89-73 record to the battle against the 89-73 Orioles. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Baltimore injuries news.

    The Odds Shark MLB Power Rankings have the Toronto Blue Jays at No. 11 and the Baltimore Orioles at No. 18 heading into this contest.

    Statistical Matchup

    At the plate, Toronto owns the No. 24 ranking for hits at 8.38 per game. By contrast, the Baltimore Orioles are rated No. 13 in the same category at 8.73 per game.

    Baltimore brings the No. 16-rated defense to this matchup, facing the Blue Jays's No. 6-ranked defense.

    Recent Outings Betting Recap

    Baltimore got the job done in their last match in a 5-2 victory over New York on Sunday at Yankee Stadium behind starter K Gausman.

    Toronto looks to continue its winning ways following a victory last time out against the Red Sox, a 2-1 final on Sunday in support of A Sanchez at Fenway Park.

    Betting Trends
    • Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    • Baltimore is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
    • Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Baltimore's last 15 games
    • Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
    • Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games at home
Power Ranking
Baltimore 10
Toronto 18
Smart Chart
  • BAL
  • 2.99
  • 2.94
  • 0.00
  • 5.61
  • 1.98
  • 6.06
  • 1.88
  •  
  • Offense
  • Defense
  • Team ERA
  • Offensive Hits
  • Offensive Walks
  • Defensive Hits
  • Defensive Walks
  • TOR
  • 3.31
  • 2.95
  • 0.00
  • 6.27
  • 2.03
  • 5.81
  • 1.85
Recent Form

No data available.

Betting Odds Preview

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles have fought for 162 games to get into the postseason, and it’s all going to come down to a do-or-die showdown in the American League wild-card game north of the border tonight.

Team Record
Baltimore Orioles
All Last 10 vs Div vs AL vs NL
Record89-737-340-3675-6714-6
Home50-313-121-1743-287-3
Away39-424-219-1932-397-3
Fave54-294-116-1143-2611-3
Dog34-433-223-2531-403-3
O/U66-91-52-826-47-358-79-58-12
vs LHP23-232-114-1120-213-2
vs RHP66-505-226-2555-4611-4
Team Record
Toronto Blue Jays
All Last 10 vs Div vs AL vs NL
Record89-736-440-3676-6613-7
Home46-354-321-1741-305-5
Away43-382-119-1935-368-2
Fave74-525-331-2461-4713-5
Dog15-201-19-1115-180-2
O/U63-93-61-930-45-154-83-59-10-1
vs LHP24-203-013-721-173-3
vs RHP65-533-427-2955-4910-4
Pitchers Last 3 Starts
Baltimore Orioles
Chris Tillman (16-6) ERA: 3.78
Date OPP SU Score O/U IP Money
Sep 28, 2016TORW3-2U5.2138
Sep 22, 2016BOSL3-5P1.2-100
Sep 17, 2016TBL2-5U5.2-100
Toronto Blue Jays
Marcus Stroman (9-10) ERA: 4.33 View Pitcher Log
Date OPP SU Score O/U IP Money
Sep 29, 2016BALL0-4U7-100
Sep 24, 2016NYYW3-0U752
Sep 18, 2016LAAL0-4U6-100
Pitcher Recent Starts vs Opponent
Baltimore Orioles
Chris Tillman (16-6) ERA: 3.78
Date Score Winner IP Hits Runs Earned Runs Walks Strikeouts Decision
Sep 28, 20163-2BAL5.262132No Decision
Jul 31, 20166-2BAL5.252236No Decision
Jun 19, 201611-6BAL554404Win
Apr 21, 20163-2BAL642234No Decision
Sep 28, 20154-3TOR7.152213No Decision
Toronto Blue Jays
Marcus Stroman (9-10) ERA: 4.33
Date Score Winner IP Hits Runs Earned Runs Walks Strikeouts Decision
Sep 29, 20164-0BAL794423Loss
Jun 19, 201611-6BAL3.2107704Loss
Jun 9, 20166-5BAL5.184412No Decision
Apr 19, 20164-3TOR763313Win
Sep 30, 201515-2TOR851128Win
Head to Head Detail
Search MLB DatabaseTeamsScoreLineTotalO/UPitcher
Sep 29, 2016BAL4-1958.5UnderUbaldo Jimenez (R)
TOR0Marcus Stroman (R)
Sep 28, 2016BAL3-1489UnderChris Tillman (R)
TOR2Francisco Liriano (L)
Sep 27, 2016BAL1-1278.5UnderKevin Gausman (R)
TOR5Aaron Sanchez (R)
Aug 31, 2016TOR51439.5UnderAaron Sanchez (R)
BAL3Yovani Gallardo (R)
Aug 30, 2016TOR313710UnderJ.A. Happ (L)
BAL5Ubaldo Jimenez (R)
Aug 29, 2016TOR513010.5UnderMarco Estrada (R)
BAL1Wade Miley (L)
Jul 31, 2016BAL6-1719UnderChris Tillman (R)
TOR2Aaron Sanchez (R)
Jul 30, 2016BAL1-1769OverYovani Gallardo (R)
TOR9J.A. Happ (L)
Jul 29, 2016BAL5-1409OverKevin Gausman (R)
TOR6Marco Estrada (R)
Jun 19, 2016TOR61009OverMarcus Stroman (R)
BAL11Chris Tillman (R)
Betting Odds Trends
Betting Odds Trends
Injuries
Baltimore Orioles
  • Cedric Mullins CF 10-day IL (05/30), Groin
  • John Means RP 60-day IL (03/30), Elbow
  • Dillon Tate SP 60-day IL (03/27), Undisclosed
  • Ramon Urias SS Is not in the starting lineup Sunday vs San Francisco Giants, Rest
Injuries
Toronto Blue Jays
  • Hyun-Jin Ryu SP 60-day IL (03/31), Elbow
  • Danny Jansen C 10-day IL (05/25), Groin
  • Santiago Espinal SS 10-day IL (05/21), Hamstring
  • Mitchell White SP 60-day IL (03/23), Elbow
  • Zach Pop RP 15-day IL (05/05), Undisclosed
Last 5 Games
Baltimore Orioles
Date OPP Score SU Line Total Starter IP Location Opp. Starter
Oct 2, 2016NYY5-2W-1428.5Kevin Gausman7.1ALuis Cessa
Oct 1, 2016NYY3-7L-1238.5Wade Miley6ALuis Severino
Sep 30, 2016NYY8-1W+1448Yovani Gallardo6AMichael Pineda
Sep 29, 2016TOR4-0W+1848.5Ubaldo Jimenez6.2AMarcus Stroman
Sep 28, 2016TOR3-2W+1389Chris Tillman5.2AFrancisco Liriano
Toronto Blue Jays
Date OPP Score SU Line Total Starter IP Location Opp. Starter
Oct 2, 2016BOS2-1W+1078.5Aaron Sanchez7ADavid Price
Oct 1, 2016BOS4-3W-1189.5J.A. Happ6.1AEduardo Rodriguez
Sep 30, 2016BOS3-5L+1368.5Marco Estrada5ARick Porcello
Sep 29, 2016BAL0-4L-1958.5Marcus Stroman7HUbaldo Jimenez
Sep 28, 2016BAL2-3L-1489Francisco Liriano6.1HChris Tillman
Stats Comparison
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays

Runs Scored

2.99 3.31

Runs Allowed

2.94 2.95

Team ERA

0.00 0.00

Runs Scored Road vs. Home

3.14 3.27

Runs Allowed Road vs. Home

3.38 3.21

Starter ERA

3.78 4.33
Stats Comparison
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays

Offensive Hits

5.61 6.27

Hits Allowed

6.06 5.81

Bullpen Innings Pitched Last 3

6.2 7.2

Offensive Walks

1.98 2.03

Defensive Walks

1.88 1.85

Wins Last 10 Games

7 6
Supergrid
Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense2.99172.9516
Away Team Away Scoring vs Home Team Home Defense3.14133.2120
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense3.3162.9415
Home Team Home Scoring vs Away Team Road Defense3.27103.3822