Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

The New York Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last eight games against the Boston Red Sox after defeating their AL East rivals 3-1 at home on Saturday night. The Yankees will try to pick up another win over the Red Sox in New York on Sunday Night Baseball.

New York is also 7-1 SU in its last eight home games against Boston. The Red Sox are just 2-6 SU after Saturday’s loss and have averaged only 2.38 runs per game during that eight-game slump. The UNDER is 6-2 in the Red Sox’ last eight games and 5-1 in the Yankees’ last six games.

Starting Pitcher Report: Red Sox

Brayan Bello pitched six innings and allowed six hits and three earned runs while striking out five batters in last Monday night’s 4-1 Red Sox loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Bello fell to 3-4 with the loss and will carry a 3.97 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP and 46 strikeouts in 45.1 innings pitched into Sunday night’s start.

Boston is 0-3 SU in Bello’s last three starts since going 5-0 SU in his previous five trips to the mound. Bello has pitched well in his three road starts this season with 17.2 innings pitched, a 3.57 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP.

Starting Pitcher Report: Yankees

Clarke Schmidt allowed six hits and three earned runs in six innings pitched in last Tuesday night’s 3-2 Yankees loss at home to the Chicago White Sox. Schmidt has struggled with consistency in his first season as a starter with a 2-6 record, a 4.96 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP and 66 strikeouts in 61.2 innings pitched across 13 starts.

In 57.2 innings pitched last season in 29 games including 26 bullpen appearances, Schmidt compiled a 3.12 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. New York is just 4-9 SU in the 13 games that Schmidt has started this season including a 2-6 SU record at home.

The Keys to Victory: Red Sox

Boston needs to start generating some offense. The Red Sox have scored two runs or fewer in five of their last eight games and are 0-5 SU in those games. For comparison, Boston is 4-1 SU in the last five games it has scored three or more runs in including a 3-2 upset win over the Yankees on Friday night.

Brayan Bello has allowed three earned runs or fewer in eight straight starts and two earned runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts. If Bello continues to pitch well, all of the pressure will be on Boston’s slumping offense to produce if the Red Sox hope to win this series.

The Keys to Victory: Yankees

While New York’s offense hasn’t been slumping as badly as Boston’s has, it hasn’t been producing to its usual standards this week either with Aaron Judge on the injured list. The Yankees are 2-3 SU over their last five games and have averaged only three runs per game during that run. New York was averaging 4.7 runs per game through its first 61 games prior to this recent skid.

Generally the Yankees don’t need much offense to win as their team ERA of 3.61 ranks fourth best in the majors. This trend should continue with Clarke Schmidt on the mound. Schmidt’s season-long numbers are weight down by his awful start to the season in April. Schmidt has a respectable 3.68 ERA over his last seven starts, and he should be able to keep the Yankees within striking distance in this one.