NFL

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs

Cincinnati
Bengals
4 - 2
Kansas City
Chiefs
5 - 1
October 21, 2018, 8:20 PM EDT
 | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Game Preview

Cincinnati
Bengals
4 - 2
Kansas City
Chiefs
5 - 1
October 21, 2018, 8:20 PM EDT
 | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
  • You know what’s fun? Watching the Kansas City Chiefs play football. You know what’s also fun? Watching the Cincinnati Bengals play football. I also find laying on the couch uninterrupted for several hours on Sunday nights to be fun, so it looks like we’ve got a threesome of fun lined up on Sunday night when the Bengals go to Kansas City hoping to hand the Chiefs their first ATS loss of the season. KC opened as a 6-point favorite and the game features the highest total of the week at 58.5 points.

    Shark Bites
    • Kansas City games have had an average combined score of 64.5 points per game this season.
    • Cincinnati leads the NFL in red-zone TD scoring percentage.
    • The Chiefs are 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games at night.

    Spread Analysis

    If you’re thinking the 6-point spread favors Kansas City, you might be on to something. The Chiefs’ five wins this season have come by an average of 9.2 points and they’ve won their two home games by an average of 13.5 points. Their offense is hard to keep up with for numerous reasons, but perhaps flying under the radar is that they’ve only committed five turnovers, which ties them for the second-fewest in the league.

    As for the Bengals, there are some red flags that they might be crashing back to earth after a hot start. Over their last three games, they rank 30th in net yards per play. They’re 2-1 SU during this stretch, but the wins weren’t exactly convincing (a shootout that could have gone either way vs the banged-up Falcons, and benefiting from two defensive touchdowns in the fourth quarter vs Miami).

    To Cincinnati’s credit, however, it has the top red-zone offense in the league, ranking first in red-zone TD scoring efficiency at 75 percent. Kansas City isn’t far off at 69.23 percent. While the offenses are clicking in the red zone, the defenses are crumbling, as they both rank in the bottom 10 in the league in opponents’ TD scoring percentage in the red zone, which leads us to…

    Can’t-Stop Offenses vs Can’t-Stop-Anything Defenses

    After the Chiefs combined with the Patriots to score 83 points last Sunday night, all signs point to another high-scoring affair this Sunday vs the Bengals. The teams are a combined 8-4 OVER/UNDER on the season and, as a result, the game has the distinction of having the highest total on the Week 7 board. In New England last week, the total was set at 59.5, which is the highest total of the season thus far.

    If the high number is scaring you off, maybe you should reconsider. Kansas City games this season have had an average combined score of 64.5 — the highest of any team this season. Cincinnati, meanwhile, isn’t very far off at 55.33 combined points per game, which ranks sixth.

    The offense for each team is obviously what stands out, but neither defense could stop a nosebleed, or even a runny nose or any other type of nose-related inconvenience. Perhaps it’s because their opponent is always playing catch-up, but the Chiefs rank 30th in opponents’ yards per play, while they’ve also allowed the most passing plays of 20-plus yards with 31. As a result, they’re allowing the most yards per game in the league and Cincy isn’t far behind, ranking fourth-worst.

    All of the above considered, betting the OVER would be my recommendation if you’re looking to make a totals bet.

    Bengals are Brutal in Night Games

    Cincinnati has won just two of its last 10 night games and Andy Dalton has a history of shrinking under the bright lights. Dalton has led the Bengals to a 6-13 SU record in prime-time games in his career while posting an 81.1 QB rating, which is easily his worst of any time slot.

    Kansas City has been the opposite, thriving in the spotlight by posting a 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS record in its last 12 night games. Andy Reid-led teams have been a good team to back in prime time, as they’ve gone 44-31 ATS (58.6 percent) during his career as a head coach.

    My best bet for Bengals vs Chiefs

    I’m on Kansas City to cover the spread. I’ve mentioned other teams’ inability to keep up with the Chiefs this season, and I think this will be the case again on Sunday night. Given the Bengals’ history of underperforming in night games and the Chiefs’ ability to protect the ball combined with their dynamic offense, I feel very comfortable taking them to cover the 6 points.

Odds

Sunday, October 21 Sun Oct 21


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+6
-110
+199
o58.5
-107
-6
-110
-238
u58.5
-107
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+6.5
-107
+245
o56
-109
-6.5
-113
-290
u56
-111

Edge Finder

25.74
Points Scored
29.20
257.95
Passing Yards
288.85
95.89
Rushing Yards
115.70
31:49
Time on Field
30:21
65.32
Number of Plays
64.00
5.42
Yards Per Play
6.32
25.74
Points Scored
29.20
5.84
First Quarter
5.50
8.11
Second Quarter
9.95
5.63
Third Quarter
6.35
6.16
Fourth Quarter
6.95
257.95
Passing Yards
288.85
37.84
Pass Attempts
37.90
25.79
Pass Completions
25.60
2.84
Sacks
1.45
17.89
Sack Yards
9.95
10.00
Yards Per Pass
11.28
95.89
Rushing Yards
115.70
24.63
Rush Attempts
24.65
3.89
Yards Per Rush
4.69
0.74
Interceptions
0.60
0.68
Fumbles
1.20
0.37
Fumbles Lost
0.60
1.11
Total Turnovers
1.20
5.21
Penalties
4.85
39.21
Penalty Yards
46.85
31:49
Time on Field
30:21
65.32
Number of Plays
64.00
5.42
Yards Per Play
6.32
3.58
Punts
3.15
45.39
Punt Average
49.60
64.58
Return Yards
68.45

Head To Head

CIN
Stat Type KC
6-2
Record
2-6
5-3
ATS
3-5
2-6
O/U
2-6
20.88
Points Scored
17.00
136.50
Rush Yds
110.38
29.25
Pass Attempts
36.12
62.39
Completion %
65.05
194.62
Passing Yds
241.00
331.12
Total Yds
351.38
0.88
Turnovers
1.38
CIN
Stat Type KC
3-0
Record
0-3
2-1
ATS
1-2
1-2
O/U
1-2
27.00
Points Scored
12.33
152.33
Rush Yds
116.33
26.00
Pass Attempts
37.33
66.67
Completion %
62.50
223.67
Passing Yds
230.33
376
Total Yds
346.67
0.33
Turnovers
1.33
Oct 4/15 (1 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
36
Points Scored
21
-3.5
ATS
+3.5
45.5 o
O/U
45.5 u
124
Rush Yds
113
24
Pass Attempts
45
70.83
Completion %
68.89
321
Passing Yds
348
445
Total Yds
461
0
Turnovers
1
Nov 18/12 (2 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
28
Points Scored
6
-3
ATS
+3
43 o
O/U
43 u
189
Rush Yds
113
29
Pass Attempts
30
62.07
Completion %
56.67
220
Passing Yds
171
409
Total Yds
284
0
Turnovers
1
Dec 27/09 (3 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
17
Points Scored
10
-13
ATS
+13
39.5 o
O/U
39.5 u
144
Rush Yds
123
25
Pass Attempts
37
68.00
Completion %
59.46
130
Passing Yds
172
274
Total Yds
295
1
Turnovers
2
Dec 28/08 (4 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
16
Points Scored
6
-1.5
ATS
+1.5
40 o
O/U
40 u
204
Rush Yds
31
30
Pass Attempts
36
60.00
Completion %
52.78
125
Passing Yds
189
329
Total Yds
220
0
Turnovers
1
Oct 14/07 (5 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
20
Points Scored
27
-2.5
ATS
+2.5
44 o
O/U
44 u
78
Rush Yds
121
43
Pass Attempts
35
60.47
Completion %
71.43
295
Passing Yds
233
373
Total Yds
354
3
Turnovers
2
Sep 10/06 (6 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
23
Points Scored
10
-1.5
ATS
+1.5
48.5 o
O/U
48.5 u
116
Rush Yds
113
19
Pass Attempts
35
68.42
Completion %
65.71
120
Passing Yds
176
236
Total Yds
289
1
Turnovers
3
Jan 1/06 (7 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
3
Points Scored
37
+10
ATS
-10
48.5 o
O/U
48.5 u
37
Rush Yds
202
32
Pass Attempts
29
56.25
Completion %
79.31
124
Passing Yds
335
161
Total Yds
537
2
Turnovers
1
Nov 16/03 (8 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
24
Points Scored
19
+6.5
ATS
-6.5
46.5 o
O/U
46.5 u
200
Rush Yds
67
32
Pass Attempts
42
59.38
Completion %
66.67
222
Passing Yds
304
422
Total Yds
371
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 10/93 (9 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
15
Points Scored
17
+13.5
ATS
-13.5
34.5 o
O/U
34.5 u
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
66.67
Completion %
66.67
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 1/89 (10 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
21
Points Scored
17
-4.5
ATS
+4.5
43.5 o
O/U
43.5 u
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
66.67
Completion %
66.67
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0

Team Records

CIN
Record KC
4-2
All
5-1
2-1
Home
2-0
2-1
Away
3-1
4-2
ATS
6-0
2-1
ATS Home
2-0
2-1
ATS Away
4-0
4-2
O/U
4-2
1-2
O/U Home
1-1
3-0
O/U Away
3-1
CIN
Record KC
3-1
All
4-1
2-1
Home
1-0
1-0
Away
3-1
3-1
ATS
5-0
2-1
ATS Home
1-0
1-0
ATS Away
4-0
2-2
O/U
3-2
1-2
O/U Home
0-1
1-0
O/U Away
3-1
CIN
Record KC
1-1
All
2-0
1-1
Home
0-0
0-0
Away
2-0
1-1
ATS
2-0
1-1
ATS Home
0-0
0-0
ATS Away
2-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
CIN
Record KC
4-2
All
5-1
2-1
Home
2-0
2-1
Away
3-1
4-2
ATS
6-0
2-1
ATS Home
2-0
2-1
ATS Away
4-0
4-2
O/U
4-2
1-2
O/U Home
1-1
3-0
O/U Away
3-1

Gametime Weather

Weather
7:00 pm EDT Clear
14ºC / 57ºF
47% Humidity
0% Precipitation
3% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 11
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report
Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 14, 2018PIT21-28L-1.5/49.5L/U622132751123694810
Oct 7, 2018MIA27-17W-6/48W/U103229332128169297-2
Sep 30, 2018ATL37-36W+3.5/52.5W/O99308407924034951
Sep 23, 2018CAR21-31L+3/44L/O663303962301473774
Sep 13, 2018BAL34-23W+1/43W/O10826537366359425-3
Sep 9, 2018IND34-23W-1/47.5W/O101229330753053800
Dec 31, 2017BAL31-27W+8/39.5W/O1462133591181943120
Dec 24, 2017DET26-17W+3/43W/P142222364871892760
Dec 17, 2017MIN7-34L+12.5/42L/U461151611242223461
Dec 10, 2017CHI7-33L-6/40L/P701642342322504822
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 14, 2018NE40-43L+3.5/59.5W/O943524461733275001
Oct 7, 2018JAC30-14W-3/48W/U126298424101401502-3
Oct 1, 2018DEN27-23W-3.5/53.5W/U142304446159226385-1
Sep 23, 2018SF38-27W-6/53.5W/O773073841782284060
Sep 16, 2018PIT42-37W+4/52.5W/O127322449334424751
Sep 9, 2018LAC38-28W+3/48.5W/O106256362123418541-2
Jan 6, 2018TEN21-22L-8.5/44.5L/U69256325202195397-2
Dec 31, 2017DEN27-24W+3/37.5W/O110269379110226336-1
Dec 24, 2017MIA29-13W-11/43.5W/U10330140459286345-2
Dec 16, 2017LAC30-13W-1/47W/U17422339798209307-4
View Game Logs
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