NFL

Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons

Green Bay
Packers
12 - 6
Atlanta
Falcons
12 - 5
January 22, 2017, 3:05 PM EST
 | Georgia Dome

Game Preview

Green Bay
Packers
12 - 6
Atlanta
Falcons
12 - 5
January 22, 2017, 3:05 PM EST
 | Georgia Dome
  • Everyone and their mothers are expecting points in this NFC Championship Game – and with the total Sportsbook at 59.5, Sportsbooks are too. When Green Bay and Atlanta last met earlier this season, the Falcons squawked out a 33-32 win. Since then, the Packers have averaged 30.2 points per game, winning their last eight, while the Falcons have averaged 34.9 per game and won their last five. This one could really come down to which quarterback is the last one with the ball in his hands.

    SHARK BITES
    • The visiting team is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 matchups between these teams.
    • The Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road playoff games.
    • The Falcons are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as home favorites.

    Yikes! Those are some pretty ugly trends for the Falcons. Even before I looked into the numbers, I was leaning toward the Packers but the trends and stats have put me firmly in Camp Cheesehead. Although I believe the Falcons can – and may – win this game, it’s tough to picture Aaron Rodgers getting blown out after seeing what he, his offensive line and his receivers have done to their last eight opponents.

    When you combine all that with the fact that Rodgers has a career 118 passer rating in five career games against the Falcons, it makes things look a little grim for Dirty Bird backers. One consolation for Atlanta is that No. 12 has been awful in his two career conference championship games, going 36-64 with one touchdown, four interceptions and a passer rating of 55.6.

    For Atlanta, it’s going to be all about offensive efficiency. It kind of feels like the first team to punt or turn the ball over will lose this one, so the Falcons will have to continue the trend that’s seen them named the No. 1 most efficient offense in football. With that in mind, the pressure will be squarely on Matt Ryan’s capable shoulders and after his 26-37, three-touchdown performance against the Seahawks, you can throw out all the numbers that say he chokes in the playoffs.

    The total has the possibility of closing as the highest ever in the NFL but when you consider just how good both these offenses have been, it just doesn’t seem like an UNDER is in the cards. Green Bay and Atlanta are capable of scoring 40 points each and they might just do it.

    This is the final game at the Georgia Dome so if the motivation of booking a trip to the Super Bowl wasn’t enough for the Falcons, maybe putting their stadium out of its misery on a winning note will be.

    Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick

    The Green Bay Packers were listed as 5.5-point underdogs at sportsbooks such as Sportsbook, with the total listed at 59.5.

    Odds Shark computer NFL score prediction models picked a possible 36-18 win for the Falcons on Sunday. That score may change during the week, if injury or weather factors alter the numbers, so check the NFL picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

    Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons Matchup

    Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

    Atlanta bring a 12-5 record (11-6 ATS) to the Conference Playoff betting matchup against the 12-6 Green Bay Packers, who are 10-7-1 ATS against the spread. Over under betting has seen Atlanta go 15-2 so far and the Packers go 12-6. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Atlanta vs Green Bay injuries news.

    The Falcons - Packers odds would favor the Falcons if the betting lines were set according to power ranks. Atlanta is rated No. 2 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Packers sit at No. 11.

    Statistical Matchup

    Offensively, the game matches up the Atlanta Falcons No. 1-ranked offense (33.88 PPG) against a Green Bay Packers defense that ranks No. 19 at 24 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 296.94 yards per game, more than the Packers give up through the air (271.33 YPG on average).

    In comparing defenses, the Green Bay Packers own the league's No. 7-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 96.78 yards per game when on the road. Atlanta, on the other hand, rates No. 8 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

    Recent Outings Betting Recap

    Aaron Rodgers's 356-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as Green Bay earned a 34-31 win over Dallas on Sunday at AT&T Stadium.

    In their last game, the Falcons got 3 passing scores out of Matt Ryan en route to a 36-20 win over the Seahawks on Saturday at Georgia Dome.

    Betting Trends
    • Green Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    • Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games
    • Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    • Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    • Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    • Atlanta is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home

    Next Betting Matchups

    Green Bay home to , Wednesday, December 31st
    Atlanta home to , Wednesday, December 31st

Odds

Sunday, January 22 Sun Jan 22


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+5.5
-105
+174
o59.5
-110
-5.5
-115
-196
u59.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+6.5
-110
+210
o59.5
-110
-6.5
-110
-250
u59.5
-110

Edge Finder

21.76
Points Scored
21.47
213.65
Passing Yards
158.76
124.29
Rushing Yards
159.88
31:54
Time on Field
30:02
61.82
Number of Plays
59.47
5.47
Yards Per Play
5.36
21.76
Points Scored
21.47
4.71
First Quarter
3.94
6.94
Second Quarter
6.29
4.41
Third Quarter
5.18
5.35
Fourth Quarter
5.88
213.65
Passing Yards
158.76
33.12
Pass Attempts
24.41
21.41
Pass Completions
15.12
1.88
Sacks
2.18
15.18
Sack Yards
13.41
9.98
Yards Per Pass
10.50
124.29
Rushing Yards
159.88
26.82
Rush Attempts
32.88
4.63
Yards Per Rush
4.86
0.71
Interceptions
0.53
1.47
Fumbles
1.24
0.59
Fumbles Lost
0.71
1.29
Total Turnovers
1.24
5.24
Penalties
4.00
43.94
Penalty Yards
34.94
31:54
Time on Field
30:02
61.82
Number of Plays
59.47
5.47
Yards Per Play
5.36
3.18
Punts
3.65
42.84
Punt Average
45.88
110.12
Return Yards
61.76

Head To Head

GB
Stat Type ATL
6-4
Record
4-6
4-6
ATS
6-4
6-4
O/U
6-4
28.80
Points Scored
25.90
110.70
Rush Yds
119.80
37.10
Pass Attempts
30.20
69.00
Completion %
65.56
287.80
Passing Yds
203.20
398.5
Total Yds
323
1.30
Turnovers
1.40
GB
Stat Type ATL
2-1
Record
1-2
1-2
ATS
2-1
2-1
O/U
2-1
32.33
Points Scored
30.33
133.00
Rush Yds
88.00
35.33
Pass Attempts
36.33
71.70
Completion %
66.06
256.00
Passing Yds
284.33
389
Total Yds
372.33
0.67
Turnovers
1.00
Oct 30/16 (1 of 10)
GB
Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
32
Points Scored
33
+3
ATS
-3
51 o
O/U
51 u
108
Rush Yds
90
38
Pass Attempts
35
73.68
Completion %
80.00
223
Passing Yds
277
331
Total Yds
367
0
Turnovers
0
Dec 8/14 (2 of 10)
GB
Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
43
Points Scored
37
-13.5
ATS
+13.5
54.5 o
O/U
54.5 u
179
Rush Yds
91
36
Pass Attempts
39
66.67
Completion %
61.54
323
Passing Yds
374
502
Total Yds
465
0
Turnovers
1
Dec 8/13 (3 of 10)
GB
Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
22
Points Scored
21
-3.5
ATS
+3.5
47.5 o
O/U
47.5 u
112
Rush Yds
83
32
Pass Attempts
35
75.00
Completion %
57.14
222
Passing Yds
202
334
Total Yds
285
2
Turnovers
2
Oct 9/11 (4 of 10)
GB
Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
25
Points Scored
14
-6
ATS
+6
54 o
O/U
54 u
57
Rush Yds
95
39
Pass Attempts
32
66.67
Completion %
56.25
369
Passing Yds
156
426
Total Yds
251
1
Turnovers
2
Jan 15/11 (5 of 10)
GB
Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
48
Points Scored
21
+1
ATS
-1
44 o
O/U
44 u
96
Rush Yds
45
36
Pass Attempts
29
86.11
Completion %
68.97
346
Passing Yds
149
442
Total Yds
194
1
Turnovers
4
Nov 28/10 (6 of 10)
GB
Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
17
Points Scored
20
+2
ATS
-2
48 o
O/U
48 u
77
Rush Yds
117
35
Pass Attempts
28
74.29
Completion %
85.71
341
Passing Yds
177
418
Total Yds
294
1
Turnovers
0
Oct 5/08 (7 of 10)
GB
Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
24
Points Scored
27
-5
ATS
+5
42.5 o
O/U
42.5 u
104
Rush Yds
176
37
Pass Attempts
26
67.57
Completion %
61.54
304
Passing Yds
194
408
Total Yds
370
1
Turnovers
1
Nov 13/05 (8 of 10)
GB
Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
33
Points Scored
25
+8.5
ATS
-8.5
43 o
O/U
43 u
107
Rush Yds
129
40
Pass Attempts
30
67.50
Completion %
66.67
244
Passing Yds
192
351
Total Yds
321
1
Turnovers
3
Jan 4/03 (9 of 10)
GB
Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
7
Points Scored
27
-7
ATS
+7
40 o
O/U
40 u
56
Rush Yds
192
42
Pass Attempts
25
47.62
Completion %
52.00
233
Passing Yds
117
289
Total Yds
309
5
Turnovers
0
Sep 8/02 (10 of 10)
GB
Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
37
Points Scored
34
-7
ATS
+7
42.5 o
O/U
42.5 u
211
Rush Yds
180
36
Pass Attempts
23
69.44
Completion %
65.22
273
Passing Yds
194
484
Total Yds
374
1
Turnovers
1

Team Records

GB
Record ATL
12-6
All
12-5
7-2
Home
6-3
5-4
Away
6-2
10-7-1
ATS
11-6
6-2-1
ATS Home
4-5
4-5
ATS Away
7-1
12-6
O/U
15-2
5-4
O/U Home
9-0
7-2
O/U Away
6-2
GB
Record ATL
10-4
All
10-3
6-1
Home
6-1
4-3
Away
4-2
9-4-1
ATS
9-4
5-1-1
ATS Home
4-3
4-3
ATS Away
5-1
9-5
O/U
12-1
4-3
O/U Home
7-0
5-2
O/U Away
5-1
GB
Record ATL
5-1
All
5-1
3-0
Home
2-1
2-1
Away
3-0
4-2
ATS
4-2
3-0
ATS Home
1-2
1-2
ATS Away
3-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
GB
Record ATL
8-2
All
8-2
4-0
Home
5-1
4-2
Away
3-1
7-3
ATS
6-4
4-0
ATS Home
3-3
3-3
ATS Away
3-1
8-2
O/U
9-1
3-1
O/U Home
6-0
5-1
O/U Away
3-1

Gametime Weather

Weather
3:00 pm EST Thunderstorm
18ºC / 64ºF
77% Humidity
89% Precipitation
98% Cloud Cover
Stadium Type Indoor
Field Image

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report
Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Jan 15, 2017DAL34-31W+5/52.5W/O873274141382914290
Jan 8, 2017NYG38-13W-5/46.5W/O7533140670295365-2
Jan 1, 2017DET31-24W-3.5/50W/O15329544876332408-1
Dec 24, 2016MIN38-25W-6.5/44.5W/O4030834893353446-2
Dec 18, 2016CHI30-27W-4.5/40L/O22622545195354449-4
Dec 11, 2016SEA38-10W+3/47W/O93237330136218354-6
Dec 4, 2016HOU21-13W-7/44.5W/U1092003091231843070
Nov 28, 2016PHI27-13W+4/47.5W/U7431338781211292-1
Nov 20, 2016WAS24-42L+3/48L/O843404241513645152
Nov 13, 2016TEN25-47L-3/48.5L/O693334021622844463
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Jan 14, 2017SEA36-20W-6.5/51W/O99323422101208309-2
Jan 1, 2017NO38-32W-7.5/58.5L/O142323465132341473-1
Dec 24, 2016CAR33-16W-3/48.5W/O152256408119183302-2
Dec 18, 2016SF41-13W-13.5/51.5W/O2483025501071652720
Dec 11, 2016LAR42-14W-5/43.5W/O66220286104208312-5
Dec 4, 2016KC28-29L-4.5/50L/O1282904181232663890
Nov 27, 2016ARI38-19W-4/48.5W/O116244360582743320
Nov 13, 2016PHI15-24L+1/48.5L/U482553032072214280
Nov 3, 2016TB43-28W-4.5/49W/O13632546173323396-1
Oct 30, 2016GB33-32W-3/51L/O902773671082233310
View Game Logs
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