NFL

Houston Texans vs New York Jets

Houston
Texans
9 - 4
New York
Jets
4 - 9
December 15, 2018, 4:30 PM EST
 | MetLife Stadium

Game Preview

Houston
Texans
9 - 4
New York
Jets
4 - 9
December 15, 2018, 4:30 PM EST
 | MetLife Stadium
  • Houston’s first loss since September 23 was pretty ugly as the Indianapolis defense locked down the Texans’ potent rush attack and harassed Deshaun Watson for 60 minutes. The 24-21 loss dropped Houston to 9-4 overall and 6-7 against the spread. The UNDER has hit in back-to-back Texans games.

    On the flip side, the Jets snapped a six-game slide after they outscored the Bills 14-3 in the fourth quarter. New York improved to 4-9 overall and 5-8 against the spread. The OVER has hit in three of the Jets’ past four games, but it’s worth noting the average point total in those games was 40.5.

    Houston opened as a 6.5-point road favorite for Saturday afternoon’s tilt, while the Jets moneyline opened at +255. The point total opened at 41.5, grew to 42.5 Sunday night, but reverted to 41.5 by Monday morning. The Texans are 3-3 against the spread on the road this season, while New York is 2-4 ATS at home and has failed to cover the past three.

    SHARK BITES
    • The total has gone OVER in four of the Jets’ last five games at home (avg. combined score: 54.2).
    • The Jets are 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
    • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Texans’ last seven games on the road (avg. combined score: 42.43).

    Texans vs Jets Game Center

    WHAT WE LEARNED: WEEK 14

    Texans – We learned that without a steady rush attack, the Texans are beatable. Heading into their game with Indianapolis, Houston had averaged 200-plus rushing yards per game over its previous three games. The Colts held Lamar Miller and company to 89 yards on just 3.6 yards per rush.

    With no offensive balance and the Texans facing down and distance, Indianapolis brought the rush and sacked Deshaun Watson five times with seven QB hits in all.

    Andrew Luck carved up the Texans secondary for 399 yards. That unit has allowed 347.7 pass yards per game over the past three contests.

    Jets – Gang Green’s defense sacked Josh Allen three times, picked up 10 QB hits and forced three Buffalo turnovers. To replicate that this week will be a challenge as Houston ranks fourth in turnover margin at +9. However, the Texans offensive line has allowed the second-most sacks this season, 46 in 13 games.

    Running back Isaiah Crowell left the game with a foot injury and his Week 15 status is questionable. Second-string back Elijah McGuire rushed 17 times for 60 yards.

    NEXT LEVEL TRENDS: SACK LUNCH HUNCH

    Indianapolis’ defense ranked outside the top 15 in sacks before taking Deshaun Watson down five times last Sunday. The New York pass rush isn’t great either, but Houston’s offensive line needs to do a better job protecting the quarterback. Since 2015, teams that have allowed five or more sacks in a game are 41-155-10 against the spread. Protect the quarterback, protect the SU, ATS win.

    EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY FORECAST

    Unseasonably mild for mid-December with temperatures around 50 degrees and 80 percent chance of rain showers. Winds will be 10-15 miles per hour.

    Houston’s Ka’imi Fairbairn did not attempt a field goal in the Texans’ loss to the Colts and remains 29-for-34 on field-goal attempts and 32 of 33 on extra-point tries. New York’s MVP, Jason Myers, made both field goals and all three extra points in the Jets’ win over Buffalo to improve to 30 of 32 and 24 of 25, respectively.

    MY LEAN

    This will be Houston’s first road game in four weeks. Considering the Texans play home games in a climate-controled stadium and now have to compete in what is forecasted to be wet and soggy conditions, I’m not overly eager to push all my -6.5 chips to the center of the table. With the total at 41.5, the UNDER may be the best angle.

    With that said, the best way for New York to win and/or cover against the Texans is via the pass and the weather conditions don’t appear to be favorable. On the contrary, the way Houston wins is by focusing on its rush attack and it just so happens that New York has allowed 173.7 rush yards per game over the past three weeks. This is a perfect opportunity for Lamar Miller and Alfred Blue to bounce back.

    My lean is the Texans cover -6.5 and more so the UNDER if the weather forecast remains the same.

Odds

Saturday, December 15 Sat Dec 15


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-6.5
-110
-312
o41.5
-110
+6.5
-110
+255
u41.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
-7
-102
-305
o44.5
-110
+7
-118
+255
u44.5
-110

Edge Finder

17.00
Points Scored
17.41
196.71
Passing Yards
218.88
86.82
Rushing Yards
99.18
28:50
Time on Field
28:44
59.71
Number of Plays
63.18
4.75
Yards Per Play
5.03
17.00
Points Scored
17.41
3.18
First Quarter
2.53
5.00
Second Quarter
5.47
4.59
Third Quarter
3.00
4.24
Fourth Quarter
6.41
196.71
Passing Yards
218.88
34.06
Pass Attempts
36.88
20.71
Pass Completions
21.00
2.24
Sacks
2.47
17.53
Sack Yards
18.65
9.50
Yards Per Pass
10.42
86.82
Rushing Yards
99.18
23.41
Rush Attempts
23.82
3.71
Yards Per Rush
4.16
1.12
Interceptions
0.82
1.29
Fumbles
1.24
0.53
Fumbles Lost
0.53
1.65
Total Turnovers
1.35
5.18
Penalties
5.35
38.12
Penalty Yards
50.94
28:50
Time on Field
28:44
59.71
Number of Plays
63.18
4.75
Yards Per Play
5.03
5.18
Punts
4.88
48.07
Punt Average
46.87
66.35
Return Yards
57.71

Head To Head

HOU
Stat Type NYJ
2-5
Record
5-2
2-5
ATS
5-2
2-4-1
O/U
2-4-1
16.14
Points Scored
23.14
100.57
Rush Yds
115.00
33.00
Pass Attempts
32.57
58.01
Completion %
57.89
207.57
Passing Yds
224.43
308.14
Total Yds
339.43
1.14
Turnovers
1.14
HOU
Stat Type NYJ
2-1
Record
1-2
2-1
ATS
1-2
2-0-1
O/U
2-0-1
24.67
Points Scored
21.33
129.67
Rush Yds
80.67
32.00
Pass Attempts
36.33
52.08
Completion %
50.46
232.00
Passing Yds
237.33
361.67
Total Yds
318
1.00
Turnovers
2.00
Nov 22/15 (1 of 7)
HOU
Stat Type NYJ
Home
Away
24
Points Scored
17
+4
ATS
-4
40 o
O/U
40 u
123
Rush Yds
70
35
Pass Attempts
39
48.57
Completion %
48.72
241
Passing Yds
197
364
Total Yds
267
1
Turnovers
2
Oct 8/12 (2 of 7)
HOU
Stat Type NYJ
Away
Home
23
Points Scored
17
-9.5
ATS
+9.5
40 o
O/U
40 u
169
Rush Yds
69
28
Pass Attempts
32
50.00
Completion %
43.75
209
Passing Yds
217
378
Total Yds
286
1
Turnovers
2
Nov 21/10 (3 of 7)
HOU
Stat Type NYJ
Away
Home
27
Points Scored
30
+6.5
ATS
-6.5
46 o
O/U
46 u
97
Rush Yds
103
33
Pass Attempts
38
57.58
Completion %
57.89
246
Passing Yds
298
343
Total Yds
401
1
Turnovers
2
Sep 13/09 (4 of 7)
HOU
Stat Type NYJ
Home
Away
7
Points Scored
24
-4.5
ATS
+4.5
45 o
O/U
45 u
38
Rush Yds
190
33
Pass Attempts
31
54.55
Completion %
58.06
145
Passing Yds
272
183
Total Yds
462
2
Turnovers
1
Nov 26/06 (5 of 7)
HOU
Stat Type NYJ
Away
Home
11
Points Scored
26
+4.5
ATS
-4.5
40.5 o
O/U
40.5 u
25
Rush Yds
27
54
Pass Attempts
32
72.22
Completion %
75.00
309
Passing Yds
277
334
Total Yds
304
1
Turnovers
0
Dec 5/04 (6 of 7)
HOU
Stat Type NYJ
Away
Home
7
Points Scored
29
+7
ATS
-7
41.5 o
O/U
41.5 u
83
Rush Yds
210
25
Pass Attempts
27
48.00
Completion %
74.07
147
Passing Yds
150
230
Total Yds
360
2
Turnovers
1
Oct 19/03 (7 of 7)
HOU
Stat Type NYJ
Home
Away
14
Points Scored
19
+3.5
ATS
-3.5
37.5 o
O/U
37.5 u
169
Rush Yds
136
23
Pass Attempts
29
65.22
Completion %
51.72
156
Passing Yds
160
325
Total Yds
296
0
Turnovers
0

Team Records

HOU
Record NYJ
9-4
All
4-9
5-2
Home
2-4
4-2
Away
2-5
6-7
ATS
5-8
3-4
ATS Home
2-4
3-3
ATS Away
3-4
5-8
O/U
8-5
3-4
O/U Home
4-2
2-4
O/U Away
4-3
HOU
Record NYJ
7-3
All
3-7
4-1
Home
2-3
3-2
Away
1-4
6-4
ATS
4-6
3-2
ATS Home
2-3
3-2
ATS Away
2-3
3-7
O/U
6-4
2-3
O/U Home
3-2
1-4
O/U Away
3-2
HOU
Record NYJ
3-2
All
1-4
1-1
Home
0-3
2-1
Away
1-1
3-2
ATS
1-4
1-1
ATS Home
0-3
2-1
ATS Away
1-1
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
HOU
Record NYJ
9-1
All
3-7
5-1
Home
2-3
4-0
Away
1-4
6-4
ATS
4-6
3-3
ATS Home
2-3
3-1
ATS Away
2-3
4-6
O/U
7-3
2-4
O/U Home
4-1
2-2
O/U Away
3-2

Gametime Weather

Weather
4:00 pm EST Overcast
9ºC / 49ºF
68% Humidity
4% Precipitation
83% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 8
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report
Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 9, 2018IND21-24L-4/49L/U8922631550386436-1
Dec 2, 2018CLE29-13W-5.5/47.5W/U18719738431397428-4
Nov 26, 2018TEN34-17W-3.5/42.5W/O281181462105260365-1
Nov 18, 2018WAS23-21W-3/40.5L/O1391813201241542781
Nov 4, 2018DEN19-17W+1/46.5W/U9819229075273348-1
Oct 25, 2018MIA42-23W-7.5/45W/O188239427116254370-1
Oct 21, 2018JAC20-7W+3.5/43W/U14113127270189259-3
Oct 14, 2018BUF20-13W-10/40.5L/U741422161001292290
Oct 7, 2018DAL19-16W-3.5/45.5L/U88374462981942920
Sep 30, 2018IND37-34W-1/48.5W/O11934746641437478-1
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 9, 2018BUF27-23W+4.5/37W/O78170248176192368-1
Dec 2, 2018TEN22-26L+10/40.5W/O1561242801302734030
Nov 25, 2018NE13-27L+13/47L/U742643382152834981
Nov 11, 2018BUF10-41L-7/37.5L/O831161992122394512
Nov 4, 2018MIA6-13L+3/43L/U80202282641041684
Oct 28, 2018CHI10-24L+8.5/42L/U571502071792163950
Oct 21, 2018MIN17-37L+3.5/45L/O71192263882283164
Oct 14, 2018IND42-34W-2.5/47.5W/O107267374127301428-2
Oct 7, 2018DEN34-16W+1/42.5W/O323189512923444361
Sep 30, 2018JAC12-31L+7.5/40.5L/O34144178126377503-3
View Game Logs
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