NFL

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

Philadelphia
Eagles
9 - 7
Chicago
Bears
12 - 4
January 06, 2019, 4:40 PM EST
 | Soldier Field

Game Preview

Philadelphia
Eagles
9 - 7
Chicago
Bears
12 - 4
January 06, 2019, 4:40 PM EST
 | Soldier Field
  • Eagles quarterback Nick Foles is continuing to live up to his reputation as an unassuming assassin by leading Philadelphia to three straight wins (two of which were vs other playoff teams) and resurrecting the Eagles’ season as they attempt to defend their crown in the NFL playoffs. The stakes and the competition will be accelerated on Sunday in Chicago vs a Bears team that’s on an incredible 9-1 SU and ATS run, allowing just 14.9 points per game over that stretch.

    The Bears opened the week as a -5.5 favorite and the game has a total of 41.

    Shark Bites
    • The Bears are 8-1 ATS on the first-half spread in their last nine games.
    • The Eagles have a league-best 44.64% opponents’ red-zone TD scoring percentage.
    • The Bears are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games at home (avg. winning margin: 9.4).

    Eagles vs Bears Game Center

    Eagles peaking at the right time

    It’s all about getting hot and being hot at the right time in the NFL playoffs and the Eagles will enter the playoffs on an absolute roll with wins over two division winners and a 24-0 smackdown of the Redskins in Week 17. The offense has been revitalized since Nick Foles took over three weeks ago as they’ve averaged 28.7 points and 420 yards per game during the three-game win streak. This is a far cry from Weeks 1-14 when they averaged 21.62 points and 352.7 yards per game.

    The defense has also seen improvement during the three-game stretch, allowing just 4.8 yards per play to rate fifth-best in the NFL during that span. Over the course of the season, they’ve been excellent at limiting opponents to field-goal attempts while in the end zone, as they have a league-best 44.64 percent opponents’ red-zone TD scoring percentage. They’ve also allowed just two passing touchdowns over their last three games.

    The balanced attack, which also includes a league-best time of possession over the last three weeks, makes the defending champs an excellent sleeper candidate to go back to back and although I don’t think they’ll win this game, I can’t fault anyone for taking a risk on them at +3500 to go all the way.

    Bears are the best bet in the NFL

    Speaking of peaking at the right time, the Bears have been peaking since late October and are 7-1 SU and ATS at home. They finished out the regular season at 12-4 SU and ATS and have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games. They allowed the fewest points per game during the regular season and were a serious problem for opposing offenses, ranking first in interceptions and third in sacks.

    Specific to playing at home, they rank first overall in net yards per play at home and six of their seven wins at Soldier Field were by seven points or more. The benefit of being in Chicago should give second-year QB Mitch Trubisky a nice boost as his QB rating is 14.5 points higher in his career at home.

    It is worth noting, however, that Trubisky had one of the worst starts of his young career vs the Eagles last season when he posted a stat line of zero touchdowns and two interceptions with a 51.52 completion percentage, leading the Bears to just three points. He did take some steps forward this season, but it can’t be denied that his play can be quite erratic at times. If he can protect the ball and control the nerves of playing in his first playoff game, the Bears’ run of wins and covering the spread will continue.

    Is the total too low?

    At 41 points, this is the lowest total for Wild Card Weekend and is also perhaps the most difficult totals bet to pull the trigger on. Both teams played above that number this season, with Bears home games having an average combined score of 45.63 and Eagles road games having an average combined score of 46.25, but more recent scoring trends point to a lower number.

    The Bears’ last four games have had a minuscule average combined score of 29.75. Combining that with the Eagles’ ability to keep opponents out of the end zone on red-zone visits makes UNDER the side I’d lean to.

    My best bet

    Bears -3 first-half spread.

    If you’ve followed my NFL coverage on Twitter this season, you know that this has been one of my favorite bets during the second half. It’s hit in eight of the last nine weeks and I’m not just chasing a trend — I like it because the stats back it up. The Bears led the league in first-half point differential at +8 and finished the season at 11-5 ATS in the first half. The Eagles tied for the second-worst first-half spread record at 6-10 ATS.

    For the record, I also expect the Bears to cover the full-game spread, but I feel more confident in the first-half wager due to Chicago’s defensive drop-offs in the second half of games. In the first half, the Bears allow a league-low six points per game but allowed 11.3 in the second half.

    The whole Nick Foles thing is a fun story, but against this defense and on the road, the Eagles will be grounded. I bet you’ve never heard that expression about the Eagles or any other bird teams before. If I was picking against the Bears, I would have gone with something along the lines of, “Eagles will put the Bears into hibernation,” but maybe I’ll save that one for the divisional round. We’ll see.

Odds

Sunday, January 6 Sun Jan 6


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+5.5
-103
+190
o42
-103
-5.5
-108
-240
u42
-108
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+6.5
-107
+240
o42
-115
-6.5
-113
-285
u42
-105

Edge Finder

24.16
Total Score
18.29
202.78
Passing Yards
188.65
156.00
Rushing Yards
118.71
29:45
Time on Field
30:20
63.17
Number of Plays
63.24
5.68
Yards Per Play
4.86
24.16
Total Score
18.29
4.68
First Quarter
2.76
5.47
Second Quarter
6.88
5.89
Third Quarter
3.35
8.11
Fourth Quarter
5.29
202.78
Passing Yards
188.65
29.83
Pass Attempts
31.88
18.33
Pass Completions
19.53
1.68
Sacks
3.41
10.16
Sack Yards
25.18
11.06
Yards Per Pass
9.66
156.00
Rushing Yards
118.71
31.56
Rush Attempts
27.94
4.94
Yards Per Rush
4.25
0.63
Interceptions
1.18
1.32
Fumbles
1.41
0.37
Fumbles Lost
0.53
1.00
Total Turnovers
1.71
5.84
Penalties
6.24
46.68
Penalty Yards
53.76
29:45
Time on Field
30:20
63.17
Number of Plays
63.24
5.68
Yards Per Play
4.86
3.21
Punts
3.65
43.74
Punt Average
46.22
58.05
Return Yards
97.24

Head To Head

PHI
Stat Type CHI
6-4
Record
4-6
5-5
ATS
5-5
4-5-1
O/U
4-5-1
26.20
Score
17.40
144.40
Rush Yds
80.80
36.00
Pass Attempts
35.20
63.89
Completion %
58.52
223.10
Passing Yds
200.40
367.5
Total Yds
281.2
1.40
Turnovers
1.60
PHI
Stat Type CHI
3-0
Record
0-3
3-0
ATS
0-3
1-1-1
O/U
1-1-1
38.00
Score
9.33
188.33
Rush Yds
43.67
32.67
Pass Attempts
33.67
69.39
Completion %
59.41
216.33
Passing Yds
183.33
404.67
Total Yds
227
1.33
Turnovers
2.33
Nov 26/17 (1 of 10)
PHI
Stat Type CHI
Home
Away
31
Score
3
-14
ATS
+14
43.5 o
O/U
43.5 u
176
Rush Yds
6
39
Pass Attempts
33
66.67
Completion %
51.52
244
Passing Yds
134
420
Total Yds
140
3
Turnovers
2
Sep 19/16 (2 of 10)
PHI
Stat Type CHI
Away
Home
29
Score
14
+3
ATS
-3
43 o
O/U
43 u
100
Rush Yds
64
34
Pass Attempts
29
61.76
Completion %
72.41
180
Passing Yds
220
280
Total Yds
284
0
Turnovers
3
Dec 22/13 (3 of 10)
PHI
Stat Type CHI
Home
Away
54
Score
11
-3
ATS
+3
54 o
O/U
54 u
289
Rush Yds
61
25
Pass Attempts
39
84.00
Completion %
56.41
225
Passing Yds
196
514
Total Yds
257
1
Turnovers
2
Nov 7/11 (4 of 10)
PHI
Stat Type CHI
Home
Away
24
Score
30
-7.5
ATS
+7.5
47.5 o
O/U
47.5 u
119
Rush Yds
164
39
Pass Attempts
32
53.85
Completion %
56.25
211
Passing Yds
208
330
Total Yds
372
2
Turnovers
2
Nov 28/10 (5 of 10)
PHI
Stat Type CHI
Away
Home
26
Score
31
-3.5
ATS
+3.5
42.5 o
O/U
42.5 u
105
Rush Yds
131
44
Pass Attempts
21
65.91
Completion %
66.67
293
Passing Yds
218
398
Total Yds
349
1
Turnovers
0
Nov 22/09 (6 of 10)
PHI
Stat Type CHI
Away
Home
24
Score
20
-3.5
ATS
+3.5
47 o
O/U
47 u
157
Rush Yds
126
33
Pass Attempts
43
72.73
Completion %
55.81
220
Passing Yds
158
377
Total Yds
284
3
Turnovers
1
Sep 28/08 (7 of 10)
PHI
Stat Type CHI
Away
Home
20
Score
24
-3
ATS
+3
40 o
O/U
40 u
103
Rush Yds
78
41
Pass Attempts
34
60.98
Completion %
52.94
237
Passing Yds
178
340
Total Yds
256
2
Turnovers
4
Oct 21/07 (8 of 10)
PHI
Stat Type CHI
Home
Away
16
Score
19
-5.5
ATS
+5.5
43 o
O/U
43 u
123
Rush Yds
72
34
Pass Attempts
41
61.76
Completion %
65.85
211
Passing Yds
314
334
Total Yds
386
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 3/04 (9 of 10)
PHI
Stat Type CHI
Away
Home
19
Score
9
-9.5
ATS
+9.5
40 o
O/U
40 u
158
Rush Yds
32
38
Pass Attempts
43
63.16
Completion %
60.47
218
Passing Yds
192
376
Total Yds
224
1
Turnovers
1
Nov 3/02 (10 of 10)
PHI
Stat Type CHI
Away
Home
19
Score
13
-6.5
ATS
+6.5
38.5 o
O/U
38.5 u
114
Rush Yds
74
33
Pass Attempts
37
54.55
Completion %
51.35
192
Passing Yds
186
306
Total Yds
260
1
Turnovers
1

Team Records

PHI
Record CHI
9-7
All
12-4
5-3
Home
7-1
4-4
Away
5-3
6-9-1
ATS
12-4
2-5-1
ATS Home
7-1
4-4
ATS Away
5-3
6-9-1
O/U
8-8
2-6
O/U Home
4-4
4-3-1
O/U Away
4-4
PHI
Record CHI
6-6
All
10-2
3-3
Home
6-0
3-3
Away
4-2
5-7
ATS
10-2
2-4
ATS Home
6-0
3-3
ATS Away
4-2
4-7-1
O/U
5-7
1-5
O/U Home
3-3
3-2-1
O/U Away
2-4
PHI
Record CHI
4-2
All
5-1
2-1
Home
3-0
2-1
Away
2-1
3-3
ATS
6-0
1-2
ATS Home
3-0
2-1
ATS Away
3-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
PHI
Record CHI
6-4
All
9-1
3-2
Home
5-0
3-2
Away
4-1
4-5-1
ATS
9-1
1-3-1
ATS Home
5-0
3-2
ATS Away
4-1
3-6-1
O/U
4-6
2-3
O/U Home
2-3
1-3-1
O/U Away
2-3

Gametime Weather

Weather
3:00pm Overcast
3ºC / 38ºF
71% Humidity
3% Precipitation
90% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 12
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
Robert QuinnDEIR, Knee
Derek BarnettDEIs out for season, ACL
Greg WardWRIR, Undisclosed
Chauncey Gardner-JohnsonSIR, Ribs
Arryn SipossPIs probable Sunday vs Kansas City, Leg
Josh SillsGIs doubtful Sunday vs Kansas City, Legal problems
NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Dec 30, 2018WAS24-0W-6/42.5W/U1292313602168890
Dec 23, 2018HOU32-30W-2/47P/O57462519623093712
Dec 16, 2018LAR30-23W+13.5/53W/P11127038182331413-2
Dec 9, 2018DAL23-29L+3.5/45.5L/O34222256142434576-2
Dec 3, 2018WAS28-13W-5.5/45W/U1303064361041312350
Nov 25, 2018NYG25-22W-5/49.5L/U127214341126276402-1
Nov 18, 2018NO7-48L+7/56.5L/U581381961733735463
Nov 11, 2018DAL20-27L-7.5/45.5L/O713504211712394101
Oct 28, 2018JAC24-18W-4/44.5W/U133262395702653351
Oct 21, 2018CAR17-21L-5/45L/U582843421212503711
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Dec 30, 2018MIN24-10W+6/40W/U169163332631011640
Dec 23, 2018SF14-9W-3.5/44W/U90235325472322791
Dec 16, 2018GB24-17W-5.5/46.5W/U97232329882353230
Dec 9, 2018LAR15-6W+3/51W/U19410029452162214-1
Dec 2, 2018NYG27-30L-3.5/43.5L/O1182583761411973382
Nov 22, 2018DET23-16W-3/42.5W/U38226264111222333-1
Nov 18, 2018MIN25-20W-2.5/44W/O148160308222462680
Nov 11, 2018DET34-22W-7/44.5W/O5434840276229305-3
Nov 4, 2018BUF41-9W-10/38W/O6412619097167264-3
Oct 28, 2018NYJ24-10W-8.5/42W/U179216395571502070
View Game Logs