Wild Have Not Cracked Under Pressure of Being Favored

If moneyline betting value is what you’re after, this is not the game for you. The Wild opened as -240 home moneyline favorites for their matinee with the Red Wings today and they’re barely getting plus money on the -1.5 puckline. With how the Wild have played since December, these lines are tough to argue. They are second only to the Capitals in goal differential per game this season while the Wings have been outscored 31-20 over the course of their last 10 games.

SHARK BITES
  • The Wild are 10-4 as favorites against teams from the Eastern Conference this season.
  • The Red Wings are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games and 1-6 in their last 7 as an underdog.
  • The Wild have posted just 3 UNDERs in their last 23 games.

With a 28-10-2 record as a favorite, Minny has been getting it done as the chalk all season. A red flag, though? Two of those losses as the fave came when the Wild were assigned a moneyline of -200 of more. Betting on a road underdog, especially one as bad the Red Wings, can be frustrating but when there’s this much value on the table – it’s worth the headache.

I’ve written several times about how scoring is well up in the NHL since the all-star break and the Wild have been a microcosm of that. The new scoring swagger brought in by Bruce Boudreau has led to the Wild being one of the best OVER teams in the NHL. Since the turn of the calendar, the Wild and their opponents have combined for a total of 6.44 goals per game.

It’s going to be tough to extract much value out of this game unless you’re backing the Wings, so you might be better off following that OVER trend.

Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick

The Detroit Red Wings were listed as 214 underdogs on the NHL hockey moneyline earlier at Sportsbook. The over under total was set at 5.5 before betting started earlier on Sunday at Sportsbook.

Odds Shark score prediction models pick a 3-2.5 result in favor of the Wild today. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Detroit Red Wings vs Minnesota Wild Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Minnesota Wild are 36-12-6 so far on the season. The Detroit Red Wings, meanwhile, are 22-23-10. OVER/UNDER betting fans have seen Minnesota go 27-19-8 and the Red Wings go 25-24-6 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Minnesota vs Detroit injuries news.

This game puts the Minnesota Wild, most recently No. 4 in the Odds Shark NHL Power Rankings, up against the Detroit Red Wings, who rate a No. 29 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Minnesota Wild No. 4-ranked offense (3.35 goals per game) against a Detroit Red Wings defense that ranks No. 24 at 2.96 goals per game allowed. The Wild Sportsbook has clicked at a 20.55% rate while the Red Wings have a 81.13% rate on the penalty kill.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last action, Detroit was a 2-1 loser on the road against the Blue Jackets. Bettors on Columbus at -163 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (3) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.

In their last action, Minnesota was a 2-1 Sportsbook at home against the Lightning. Bettors on Minnesota at -167 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (3) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.

Betting Trends
  • Detroit is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
  • Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
  • Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
  • Minnesota is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games
  • Minnesota is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
  • Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Detroit home to St. Louis, Wednesday, February 15th
Minnesota home to Anaheim, Tuesday, February 14th

The Wild are 10-4 as favorites against teams from the Eastern Conference this season.home The Red Wings are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games and 1-6 in their last 7 as an underdog.away The Wild have posted just 3 UNDERs in their last 23 games.home
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