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Will Vegas continue to surprise vs Leafs?

The Vegas Golden Knights continue their trek across Ontario when they roll into Toronto to play the Leafs tonight. The Leafs have endured some recent struggles after opening last week as co-favorites to win the Stanley Cup, having gone 2-6 SU and ATS in their last eight games. The Buds opened as -210 favorites to get the W.

SHARK BITES
  • The Maple Leafs are 5-1 SU in their last six games on a Monday.
  • Vegas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
  • Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home.

Being an expansion team was supposed to give Vegas a wealth of depth, after plucking talent from all teams in the NHL. Now, the Knights are finding out how deep the talent pool goes as they’re on their fourth goaltender due to injuries. And despite this, they’re still somehow a great puckline wager for bettors. Vegas is 10-3 ATS this season and continues to keep games close on the road. The Knights’ puckline record away from T-Mobile Arena is 4-2. Their +1.5 puckline has decent value, opening at -130.

Toronto, on the other hand, is starting to feel the pressure of the hockey world to succeed. And it shows in their play. The Leafs went 1-3 SU and ATS on their four-game West Coast trip after getting hyped by sportsbooks to win the Cup. They’ve also been mediocre at Air Canada Centre this season, going 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS. Bettors should steer clear of the Leafs puckline or moneyline for the time being until they show they’re ready to put this slide behind them.

The total opened at a whopping 6.5 in this matchup and although that is a very high total in an NHL game, bettors should seriously consider an OVER. Both teams rank in the top five in scoring this season, averaging 3.80 (Toronto) and 3.62 (Vegas) goals per game respectively. The ACC is a barn where the total gets demolished as the OVER has hit in five of seven Toronto home games this year. The total has also gone OVER in five of Vegas’s last six games. Taking an OVER when the total is 6.5 may make you sweat but the average goals per game is 6.19 this season. There have been three games this season where the total opened at 6.5 and the OVER has hit twice. With the way these two teams have been scoring, the OVER may be secure before the end of the second period.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

On the opening NHL betting line for this matchup, Toronto sat as -230 favorites over at BetOnline. The total was set at 6 at Bovada but may move closer to puck drop.

OddsShark computer prediction formulas pick a 3.7-1.9 win for the Golden Knights on Monday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Maple Leafs sit at 8-7-0 on the season; in comparison, the Vegas Golden Knights are currently 9-4-0. Looking to wager on the totals? Toronto is 10-4-1 OU, and Vegas is 8-5 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Vegas injuries news.

The Golden Knights-Maple Leafs odds would favor the Golden Knights if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Toronto is rated No. 14 in the current OddsShark poll, while Vegas is at No. 10.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Toronto's No. 3-ranked offense, averaging 3.8 goals per game, against a Golden Knights defense that ranks No. 11 at 2.85 goals allowed. The Maple Leafs power play is averaging 24% while the Golden Knights defense kills off 78.57% of their penalties.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Vegas won its last outing, a 5-4 result against the Senators on November 4. Bettors who backed the Golden Knights at +171 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (9) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

 

Betting Trends
  • Vegas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Vegas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games
  • Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 15 games
  • Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Vegas at Montreal, Tuesday, November 7
Toronto home to Minnesota, Wednesday, November 8

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