The Toronto Maple Leafs will look to start the final leg of the season on a winning note vs the New York Islanders tonight. The Leafs have struggled at the ACC recently, going 1-4 SU in their last five home games. They’ll try to reverse that trend vs the high-scoring Islanders.
- Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last five games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in six of the Islanders’ last eight games on the road vs teams with winning records.
- John Tavares is fifth in NHL scoring with 57 points.
Toronto went into the break winning three of its last four games but had mixed results in January at 5-5 SU. The up-and-down month has dropped the Leafs to third in the Atlantic Division but help could be on the way on the blue line. Defenseman Nikita Zaitsev has been skating with the team and he will be a game-time decision tonight. The Leafs will be desperate to have him back as they’ve been sputtering without him and have gone 7-11 SU in his absence.
New York, on the other hand, will be on short rest in Toronto after playing last night vs Florida and losing 4-1. Playing consecutive games doesn’t bode well for the Islanders, who are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games in the second game of a back-to-back. If the Islanders want any shot to knock off the Leafs, they’ll need to tighten up defensively as they allowed 3.75 goals per game in January, the worst in the NHL.
The real action in this matchup is with the total, which opened at 6.5. Both of these teams have been a fan’s delight this season with their goal scoring. These franchises both rank in the top six in scoring in the league and when they meet, the OVER is the lock as it’s hit in five straight games in this matchup and in 15 of the last 17 contests.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
On the Sportsbook NHL betting line for this matchup, Toronto sat as -180 favorites over at Sportsbook. The total was set at 6.5 at Sportsbook but may move closer to puck drop.
OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 3.4-2.2 victory for the Maple Leafs. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.
New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The New York Islanders will try to spoil the party on Wednesday; they are 25-21-5 this season, while the Maple Leafs are 28-18-5. New York is 32-16-3 on the totals; Toronto is 22-24-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs New York injuries news.
This game puts the Maple Leafs, most recently No. 12 in the OddsShark NHL Power Rankings, up against the Islanders, who rate a No. 27 in the latest survey.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits Toronto's No. 7-ranked offense, averaging 3.18 goals per game, against an Islanders defense that ranks No. 31 at 3.61 goals allowed. The Maple Leafs power play is averaging 20.83% while the Islanders defense kills off 73.51% of their penalties.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
New York was a 4-1 loser in its last match at home against the Panthers. They lost as favorites, while the total score of 5 made Sportsbooks of UNDER bettors.
The Maple Leafs were a 4-1 Sportsbook in their most recent outing on the road against the Stars. That made Sportsbooks of bettors who got Toronto at +165 on the moneyline, while the total score (5) was good news for UNDER bettors.
- New York is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games
- New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
- New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- Toronto is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games
- Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
- Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
New York home to Columbus, Saturday, February 3
