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Sens Can Regain 1st in the Atlantic in Rubber Match With the Habs Tonight

A battle between the Senators and Canadiens on Hockey Night in Canada will see first place in the Atlantic go up for grabs and decide the winner of the Sens-Habs season series. If Montreal were to lose tonight, Ottawa would take over the lead at the top of the division for the second time this month.

  • The favored team is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games in this matchup.
  • The Canadiens are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games against teams with winning records.
  • The total has gone OVER in 3 of the Senators' last 4 games against the Canadiens.

At the beginning of March, when the Sens became the first team to pass the Canadiens in the Atlantic all season, it looked like Ottawa would run away with the division on the back of a six-game winning streak. What they did, however, was the complete opposite. Erik Karlsson and the Sens went on to lose their next five games in a skid that was capped off by a pair of losses to the team they had worked so hard to chase down in the standings.

With so much on the line, expect both teams to play things pretty close to the chest at the Bell Centre tonight in a game that soccer fans would probably call a “cagey affair”.  Ottawa is coming off a 2-1 win against the Penguins in which netminder Craig Anderson stopped 34 of Pittsburgh’s 35 shots and Marc Methot sacrificed the tip of his pinky finger.

Carey Price will start opposite Anderson tonight and with the former Hart and Vezina Trophy winner now playing like he’s capable of (6-2-0, .934 save percentage in March), don’t expect the goal light to get burned out tonight. I’ll be on the UNDER 5 in a game I see ending with a score line of something like 2-1.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Montreal Canadiens as -158 favorites earlier today. The over under opened at 5 at BetOnline for betting fans hoping to turn a profit on totals.

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 3.1-2.4 victory for the Canadiens. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Montreal Canadiens currently sport a record of 41-24-9. The Ottawa Senators are 41-24-8. Betting totals have seen the Canadiens post a 27-32-15 OVER/UNDER record this season, while the Senators have gone 28-42-3 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Montreal vs Ottawa injuries news.

The NHL Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Montreal Canadiens rated this week at No. 26 and the Ottawa Senators sitting at No. 7.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Montreal Canadiens No. 17-ranked offense (2.72 goals per game) against a Ottawa Senators defense that ranks No. 9 at 2.58 goals per game allowed. The Canadiens powerplay has clicked at a 19.72% rate while the Senators have a 81.66% rate on the penalty kill.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last action, Ottawa was a 2-1 winner at home against the Penguins. Bettors on Ottawa at +127 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (3) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.

The Canadiens were a 4-1 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Hurricanes. That made winners of bettors who got Carolina at +160 on the moneyline, while the total score (5) was good news for OVER bettors.

Betting Trends
  • Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Ottawa is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
  • Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Ottawa's last 22 games
  • Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Montreal is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
  • Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • Montreal is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Ottawa at Philadelphia, Tuesday, March 28th
Montreal home to Dallas, Tuesday, March 28th