MLB Post All-Star Break Betting Trends

MLB Post All-Star Break Betting Trends: UNDERs Are Hot

The MLB all-star break is a time to reset. Just over halfway through the season, it’s a much-needed respite for many players and a time to celebrate first-half success for others. 

But while baseball teams recharge and set their sights on the World Series, the MLB all-star break is also the perfect time for us baseball bettors to take stock and load up for the second half. Even if you’ve had a down few weeks on the baseball moneylines, let’s start off hot out of the break. One way to do that is by breaking down the historical trends out of the all-star break, and see how we can take advantage.

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MLB Post All-Star Break Betting Trends

You can live and die by your usual MLB betting trends, but the MLB All-Star Game can certainly change the factors you should be weighing in your next few days of MLB betting. Here are a few betting trends from the last five years (2016-2021, though there was no ASG in 2020) in the first series coming out of the break:

Bet UNDERs Out Of The Break

Best UNDER Teams Out of The All-Star Break (2016-2021)
TeamUNDER RecordAverage Total
White Sox10-4-17.4
Red Sox11-56.62

Overall, UNDERs are 230-216-14 in the first series back from the MLB all-star break over the last five years, hitting at a 51.6 percent rate. While it may not be enough to blindly bet every game to be a low-scoring affair, there’s certainly something there.

Why Are UNDERs The Post-ASG Play?

The most obvious reason for the low-scoring games out of the break is that teams have rested aces on the mound. With a few days off, most teams use the all-star festivities to rejig their rotation, setting up the top hurlers to come out of the break first to maximize starts down the stretch. With a skipped turn around the rotation, these aces are normally extra rested too, and can post even better numbers than usual.

Hitters often suffer the opposite effect out of the all-star break, setting the bats down for a few days and then working off the rust in their first few games back.

Another interesting note is the UNDERs hitting for four of the biggest market teams in baseball. Maybe squads like the Yankees and Red Sox are more likely to have a bunch of players heading to the all-star game, so they don’t get rested and they start the second half sluggishly?

Which Teams Are Ready To Win After All-Star Weekend?

Straight-Up Records Out of The All-Star Break (2016-2021)
TeamWin/Loss Record

While there are a few factors that can push games UNDER out of the all-star break, justifying the trend that we see in the numbers, it’s a little harder to see why some teams are regularly winning in those first few post-ASG contests.

However, despite not being among the best teams in baseball over the last five years, both the Cubs and Athletics have been strong out of the break. These teams have struggled so far in 2022 and should be big underdogs out of All-Star Week, so maybe you can nab some great underdog value when the A’s take on the Tigers and the Cubs visit the Phillies.

Where To Bet On Post All-Star Game Betting Trends

If you’re looking to bet on some of these betting trends out of the 2022 MLB all-star break or any baseball futures, head over to one of our top baseball betting sites.

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Our top sites like Sportsbook will have moneylines, runlines and run totals for the games starting on Thursday and through the weekend. You can also find updated MLB futures and if you’re looking for other MLB betting resources, check out our How To Bet On MLB page to get started or our MLB odds for daily scores and lines.

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