Tai Tuivasa is a +195 underdog vs Alexander Volkov at UFC 293

Tuivasa vs Tybura Odds & Picks: Another Wacky Main Event

We've got more UFC Fight Night action on March 16, as heavyweights Tai Tuivasa and Marcin Tybura slug it out in a bout destined to end inside five rounds.

The Tuivasa vs Tybura odds are tight. Tuivasa is a narrow -125 favorite over Tybura (+100).

Tuivasa vs Tybura Odds

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs Tybura Odds
FighterOdds
Tai Tuivasa-125
Marcin Tybura+100

Odds as of Mar. 13

Our odds calculator suggests Tuivasa's -125 odds equate to an implied win probability of 55.56%, meaning a $100 bet on him pays out $180. Tybura's +100 underdog odds imply a 50% chance to win, and a $100 bet on him pays out $200. 

Tuivasa vs Tybura Betting Predictions

A goofy heavyweight fight like this? Let's see if we can extract some cash from this excuse of a main event.

How To Bet Tuivasa vs Tybura

Tuivasa is coming off three straight inside-the-distance losses, while Tybura is staring down one recent KO loss to current champ Tom Aspinall. Both guys need a bounceback in a big way.

"Bam Bam" has more punching power and ability to pop off for a quick KO, and Tybura is no iron-chinned fighter (four KO losses), which is why this bout is favored to end UNDER 2.5 rounds (-230). But after the UFC's last heavyweight headliner (Rozenstruik vs Gaziev), I'm shaking up my strategy.

Let's bet where the value lies. Tuiavasa induces early finishes, but Tybura has seen 10 of his 18 UFC fights go the distance.

Tuivasa vs Tybura Picks

I'll take Tuivasa (-125) to win, but I'll count on him doing it in OVER 1.5 rounds (-130). 

Pick: Tuivasa (-125); OVER 1.5 Rounds (-130)

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