UFC 299 will pit Sean O'Malley against bantamweight contender Marlon "Chito" Vera March 9 in Miami.
The O'Malley vs Vera odds have shifted in the champ's favor, with O'Malley a -275 favorite over Vera, who comes back as the +225 underdog.
Vera and O'Malley have history, as the Ecquadorian handed "Suga" his first and only UFC loss in 2020. This should be a feisty bantamweight championship brawl.
Sean O'Malley vs Marlon Vera Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Sean O'Malley | -275 |
| Marlon Vera | +225 |
Odds as of Mar. 9
Per our odds calculator, a $100 bet on O'Malley's -275 odds (73.33% implied chance) pays out $136.36. The same $100 on Vera at +225 (30.77% implied chance) pays out $325.
O'Malley vs Vera Betting Preview: Show me the money
When this rematch goes down, there will be a few things worth watching and betting on.
How To Bet O'Malley
Suga Sean's been one hell of an underdog bet lately, cashing at +200 vs Aljamain Sterling and +230 vs Petr Yan. As such, he's revved up a massive fanbase that loves his high-flying style.
But Chito is quite good at neutralizing crazy offense. Since O'Malley knows Vera is an iron man, he'll need to manage distance with stance switches and then straight kicks. He found success with that strategy in their first bout at UFC 252.
Before O'Malley's right foot crumpled, he managed to piece Chito up, control the cage, and build some momentum. Since I'm convinced it is humanly impossible to knock Marlon out, I'd wager O'Malley by decision in this future title fight.
How To Bet Vera
Vera is a battering ram with his hard-hitting, sporadic offense, often taking abuse and loading up for big strikes. The 30-year-old often gets lured into low-volume duels (which is why I recommend O'Malley by decision), but he must break that streak to defeat the champ.
I don't dislike a bet on Vera to win straight-up, as it offers safe value, but I recommend considering a value bet on Vera by KO/TKO. Chito can chop O'Malley's legs down and corner him in the Octagon. That strategy worked last time.
O'Malley vs Vera Betting Pick
This rematch will be much closer than the first fight, but I'm confident in O'Malley's abilities. Suga Sean possesses far greater fight I.Q. than I originally gave him credit for, and Chito gets stuck in lulls where he throws no offense.
Given that criteria, I'll bet O'Malley by decision, and the OVERs on 3.5 and 4.5 rounds.
