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Haney vs Diaz Jr. Odds & Prediction: Lightweight Title Fight

Devin Haney (left) is favored in the Haney vs Diaz odds.

The WBC lightweight title is back up for grabs when Devin Haney makes his fourth title defense against Joseph Diaz Jr., who is the current WBC interim lightweight champion.

Haney vs Diaz takes place on December 4 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, and can be seen on DAZN. When it comes to Haney vs Diaz odds, it is the current champ, Haney, who is the betting favorite.

Haney vs Diaz Odds

Online sportsbook Bovada has listed the Devin Haney vs Joseph Diaz Jr. odds with Haney set as the -700 chalk and Diaz the +425 underdog option. This means you would have to lay $700 to profit $100 with a winning wager on Haney while a $100 winning bet on Diaz would net you $425.

FighterOdds
Devin Haney-700
Joseph Diaz Jr.+425

Odds as of December 3 at Bovada

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The Haney vs Diaz betting odds can be translated to implied win probabilities by using our sports betting calculator. There you will see Haney’s betting line of -700 represents an implied win probability of 87.50 percent while Diaz’s odds translate to an implied win probability of 19.05 percent.

You can check out our How to Bet Boxing guide if you want to bet on Haney vs Diaz. Our sportsbook review page can also assist you in choosing where to bet on Haney vs Diaz. We have more boxing betting news here at Odds Shark.

Devin Haney vs Joseph Diaz Jr. Odds Analysis

While Devin “The Dream” Haney’s odds may seem chalky at -700, these in fact match the tightest odds he’s had. His previous longest odds of -700 came when he fought Mason Menard for the IBF-USBA lightweight strap in May 2011, a bout Haney won via ninth-round stoppage.

Value On Diaz?

A similar story can be written for Joseph “JoJo” Diaz Jr., who has never been this much of an underdog. That isn’t to say that he’s never been the plus-money option. This is actually the third time in his pro career that he has been the betting underdog.

Diaz was a +230 underdog when he fought Gary Russell Jr. for the WBC featherweight title, losing by unanimous decision. He was the +190 option vs Tevin Farmer for the IBF super featherweight gold, which he won by unanimous decision.

Haney vs Diaz Betting Preview

It feels almost cliché now to refer to a new, up-and-coming boxer as having a Floyd Mayweather style but having been nicknamed “Mini-Mayweather,” I guess it’s fair to describe Haney in this manner. The 23-year-old holds a perfect 26-0 record with 15 wins by knockout, which is how he beat Zaur Abdullaev to win the vacant WBC interim title in 2019.

The Dream is a smart fighter with a stiff jab and solid defense. He’s long for the division as well with a 71-inch reach, seven inches longer than that of his opponent, which should play a major factor in this bout. He keeps his arms low and tight to the body, using his upper torso to avoid shots without a lot of footwork or head movement.

Volume & Counters Will Be Key For Diaz

As mentioned above, Diaz has one defeat on his record, back in 2018 to Gary Russell. His record stands at 32-1-1 with 15 victories coming by way of knockout, though he has only one win in that fashion over his last eight fights.

JoJo typically has a high guard, walking forward and getting into a phone booth to brawl. Walking down Haney will be tough given his crisp, accurate jab and reach advantage. At times, Diaz loads up on big strikes from long distance and then will flurry. I think he will need to double and triple up his jab while walking forward to try to get Haney into a dogfight. These one-off strikes will not work for him.

Haney vs Diaz Jr. Pick

Diaz will have his moments, I’m sure, when he will get aggressive and maybe a little wild and work his way on the inside where he can do some damage. That said, I believe the majority of this bout will take place in Haney’s range as he batters JoJo with that jab over and over again before delivering some of those heavier shots as the fight progresses, perhaps getting a late-round stoppage.

Prediction: Devin Haney (-700) via knockout (+375) in Rounds 10-12 (+1200)