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Boxing: Inoue vs Donaire Betting Odds and Prediction

Inoue vs Donaire Betting Odds

The World Boxing Super Series bantamweight final is set to take place November 7 at the Super Arena in Japan. Undefeated IBF and The Ring bantamweight champion Naoya “The Monster” Inoue is a sizable -600 favorite while WBA (Super) bantamweight champ Nonito “The Filipino Flash” Donaire is coming back at +400.

Event Information
  • World Boxing Super Series bantamweight final: Inoue vs Donaire
  • Date/Time: November 7, 5:15 a.m. ET
  • TV Coverage: DAZN

Odds Analysis

Inoue has been a huge favorite in all of his bouts, with his tightest odds coming when he closed as a -588 favorite against Jamie McDonnell in May 2018 – The Monster ended that fight in the first round. In fact, Inoue hasn’t had a fight go longer than six rounds since he went 10 rounds with Petchbarngborn Kokietgym in 2016, which ended with a 10th-round stoppage.

Conversely, Donaire has been a dog in two of his last three fights and he split those two, falling by unanimous decision to Carl Frampton while beating Ryan Burnett in the World Boxing Super Series quarterfinal – Burnett didn’t come out for the fifth round due to a back injury. However, in between those underdog bouts, The Filipino Flash was a large favorite in the World Boxing Super Series semifinal against Stephon Young, a fight he won by sixth-round knockout.

Inoue vs Donaire Fight Analysis

Donaire is a forward-pressure fighter who backs his opponents down and lands his powerful strikes. He does a good job working the body as well as setting up his right hand behind his fast jab. One of The Filipino Flash’s faults is that when he’s walking his foes down, he doesn’t throw a lot of feints nor does he have a lot of head movement, which results in him absorbing quite a bit of punishment on his entries. He is most effective when he doubles or triples up on his jab.

Inoue is the No. 4 pound-for-pound fighter in the world and brings into the ring a perfect 18-0 record with 16 wins coming by knockout. The Monster has lightning-fast hands and really good head movement, but in exchanges sometimes doesn’t bring his trail hand back to his chin and is susceptible to counters. That being said, the 26-year-old is just fine with absorbing a little bit of damage if he gets his opportunity to fire back with his heavy hands. The Japan native works the body early and often, which opens up the head, and when he connects, he shuts the lights off.

This looks like a perfect matchup for The Monster as the Filipino Flash likes to move forward and doesn’t have a ton of head movement. Inoue will have the faster hands and better movements and when he smells blood in the water, he goes on the all-out attack.

Prediction: Naoya Inoue (-600) via knockout (-500) and in rounds 4-6 (+200)

Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire Betting Odds
BoxerOdds
Naoya Inoue-600
Nonito Donaire+425

Odds as of November 6 at BetOnline