Jake Paul will box Tommy Fury on February 25

Paul vs Tyson Betting Preview: Should The Problem Child Be Favored?

Jake Paul will be a -170 favorite when he challenges former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson (+130) in a boxing match on July 20 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Netflix will broadcast the event. 

The early Paul vs Tyson odds are about what you'd expect, as Tyson is now 58 years old. We got news on April 29 that this will be a professional bout. That means eight two-minute rounds and 14-ounce gloves.

The co-main for the Paul vs Tyson event will feature a female super lightweight title fight between Amanda Serrano and Katie Taylor.

Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Odds

Jake Paul-170
Mike Tyson+130

Odds as of May 2

According to our sports betting calculator, Paul's -170 odds give him an 62.96% chance of winning, and a $100 bet on him nets $158.82. Tyson's +130 status gives him an implied 43.38% chance, with $100 paying out $230. 

Paul vs Tyson Preview: Who Will Win?

We've got the 27-year-old YouTuber-turned-boxer against one of the greatest the sport has ever seen. With Paul 30 years Tyson's junior, it makes sense the youngster is favored.

Here's our betting breakdown for the Paul vs Tyson odds.

Paul vs Tyson Odds: Betting Strategy

We last saw "Iron" Mike fight in 2020 during an eight-round exhibition match vs Roy Jones Jr. That bout ended in a draw, though we saw some vintage Tyson moments, albeit with less thud behind each shot. 

Tyson is short and stout (Paul will have a five-inch reach advantage), but he always uses his stature to his favor. The ex-champ loves to duck, get in close, and wing hooks to the body. You can bet he'll use that strategy against Paul.

"The Problem Child," on the other hand, is much more bouncy in the ring. He pumps his jab and follows up with lunging hooks and overhands. Tyson is smart, and might be hard to break through with that strategy. Still, my gut tells me Paul, the younger, fresher dude, can overwhelm his opponent with volume and cardio. 

Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Pick

This whole situation poses a very interesting dilemma: does a motivated Paul with Father Time on his side crush an aging Tyson? The odds seem to think so. 

Paul tends to clam up against more legitimate fighters (see Tommy Fury), and I doubt there will be much offense in this bout. For that reason, I'll be taking Tyson to win.

Iron Mike's IQ and fundamentals might just be enough to eke out a W.

Pick: Tyson (+130)

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