The WBC middleweight strap will be up for grabs when Jermall Charlo defends against Juan Macias Montiel this Saturday, June 19, at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. As far as the Charlo vs Montiel odds go, it is the champ who is heavily favored to make his fifth title defense.
Online sportsbook [ol-sportsbook-bp:48:Bovada:26:Bodog] has released Jermall Charlo vs Juan Macias Montiel odds and has Charlo as the sizable -3300 favorite with Montiel coming back at +1200. This means you would have to wager $3,300 to profit $100 on a Charlo victory, while a $100 bet on a Montiel win would profit you $1,200.
Jermall Charlo vs Juan Macias Montiel Odds
|Juan Macias Montiel||+1200|
Odds as of June 19 at [ol-sportsbook-bp:48:Bovada:26:Bodog]
Looking at the Charlo vs Montiel odds with our sports betting calculator, Jermall’s odds of -3300 represent an implied win probability of 97.06 percent while Juan’s odds of +1200 have an implied win probability of 7.69 percent.
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Charlo vs Montiel Odds Analysis
The unbeaten champion has been the betting chalk in each fight for which a betting market was available. However, “Hitman” hasn’t been favored this much since he fought Hugo Centeno Jr. to win the vacant WBC interim middleweight title back in 2018 – he was a -5000 favorite in that bout.
Montiel a Dog Again
This is the second time in three fights that the challenger will be walking to the ring as the betting underdog. “Juanito” was a +275 option when he fought the aforementioned Centeno in December 2019; the bout finished in a split draw, though he hurt Centeno in that fight. He was the slight favorite in his last fight with James Kirkland, closing as a -120 favorite and winning via first-round knockout.
Charlo vs Montiel Preview
Following back-to-back losses, including his one and only knockout loss, Montiel is undefeated over his last four, going 3-0-1. Overall, Juanito carries a 22-4-2 record with each of his victories coming by way of knockout.
Montiel is an aggressive fighter, typically marching forward and relentless in his attack. When he lets his hands fly, he primarily sticks to his hooks, which have good power behind them. He does have a tendency to follow his opponents rather than corner them in the ring. That can lead to him falling into traps or swinging at flies as he misses his foes.
Charlo Looks to Remain Perfect
With an unblemished 31-0 record, including 22 knockout victories, Charlo is set to make his fifth title defense and perhaps open up the conversation to unify some of these middleweight straps with a Gennadiy Golovkin or Demetrius Andrade.
While Montiel likes to use his hooks as his main weapon, Charlo has a more diverse skill set and mostly everything comes off of his snappy jab. That straighter punch should find the target more often than Montiel’s hooks and his step-back right uppercut could be the finishing blow if his opponent walks into it.
Charlo vs Montiel Pick
I think I touched on how I anticipate this fight going in the last paragraph. Surely, Charlo will have to mind his P’s and Q’s and not get overzealous looking for the knockout as Montiel has good punching power. That said, the challenger should be the slower of the two and if Hitman can get Juanito to follow him, he can likely lead him into that devastating right uppercut.
Prediction: Jermall Charlo (-3300) via knockout (-500) in Rounds 4-6 (+200)
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