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Inoue vs Dipaen Odds & Prediction: Monster Favored To Defend Titles

Naoya Inoue (right) is favored in the Inoue vs Dipaen odds.

We have been treated to some great boxing in Q4 of 2021 with Canelo Alvarez fighting in early November, Terence Crawford in late November and now Naoya Inoue, the third-best pound-for-pound fighter in the world, is back in action. Inoue is set to take on Aran Dipaen for the WBA and IBF bantamweight titles.

Inoue vs Dipaen takes place on December 14 in Tokyo, Japan. When it comes to Inoue vs Dipaen odds, it is the champion, Inoue, who is the huge favorite.

Inoue vs Dipaen Odds

Online sportsbook Bovada has listed the Inoue vs Dipaen odds and set Naoya as the -2800 chalk and Aran as the +1100 underdog. This means that you would need to lay $2,800 to profit $100 with an Inoue victory while a $100 wager would land you a cool $1,100 with a Dipaen win.

FighterOdds
Naoya Inoue-2800
Aran Dipaen+1100

Odds as of December 8 at Bovada

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We can use our sports betting calculator to further evaluate the Inoue vs Dipaen betting odds. There you will see that Inoue’s odds translate to an implied win probability of 96.55 percent while Dipaen’s odds represent an implied win probability of 8.33 percent.

See our How to Bet Boxing guide if you’re ready to place a bet on Inoue vs Dipaen. Additionally, you can use our sportsbook review to assist you in choosing where to bet on boxing. Odds Shark has all your boxing betting news.

Naoya Inoue vs Aran Dipaen Betting Odds Analysis

This is the first time there have been betting odds available for Aran Dipaen since he fought Tommy Frank in September 2019. He was a +700 underdog vs Frank and lost a split decision. He also fought Zafar Parpiev in March 2019 as a +400 underdog and lost a unanimous decision.

Inoue’s Shortest Odds In Years

Naoya “The Monster” Inoue is a massive favorite facing his shortest odds since December 2017 against Yoan Boyeaux. Inoue won that fight in the third round to retain his WBO junior bantamweight strap. He did have shorter odds in two prior fights. Quite simply, you have to have a big bankroll to turn a profit betting on Inoue.

Inoue vs Dipaen Preview

The Thai fighter is relatively unknown, having just two fights on the world stage and losing both by decision. In fact, he’s never been stopped in 14 pro fights, which could be a nod to good conditioning and chin, or simply a lack of competition, which will surely be challenged in this fight.

Against Parpiev, he fought a lot of the bout on his back foot, looking to counter when backed against the ropes, but he lacked power in his strikes. He also has a tendency to drop his lead hand before he throws, which leaves him vulnerable to absorbing a heavy shot.

Inoue Should Make Short Work Of This

COVID-19 has really hurt Inoue’s progression after he beat Nonito Donaire in 2019 as a 26-year-old. The Monster’s next two fights were in the States as his popularity grew but he has only fought twice since November 2019.

He has outstanding punching power with 18 of his 21 pro wins ending in knockout and his bodywork is where it all starts. The Monster works the body early and often, having the ability to stop his opponents with those attacks, or head-hunt when the hands drop.

Inoue vs Dipaen Pick

Not much to say about this one other than Inoue just trying to kill time while the rest of the bantamweight division sorts itself out. I anticipate Inoue dragging this fight out a couple of rounds so that he can get some ring time before putting his foot down and ending the show.

Prediction: Naoya Inoue (-2800) via knockout (TBD) in Rounds 4-6 (TBD)