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Errol Spence (left) is favored in the Spence vs Ugas odds.

The No. 6 pound-for-pound boxer in the world, Errol Spence Jr., is returning to the squared circle this week in a welterweight title unification bout with Yordenis Ugas. The WBC and IBF welterweight straps will be on the line along with Ugas’ WBA (Super) welterweight belt.

Spence vs Ugas is taking place this Saturday, April 16, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, and can be seen on Showtime PPV. When it comes to the Spence vs Ugas odds, it is the WBC and IBF champ, Spence, who is the betting favorite.

You can see boxing odds and other betting markets at BetUS:

Spence vs Ugas Odds

Online sportsbook BetUS has set the Spence vs Ugas odds with Errol listed as the -600 chalk and Yordenis the +400 underdog option. This means you would need to lay $600 to profit $100 with a Spence victory while a winning bet on the underdog would net you $400.

Fighter Odds
Errol Spence -600
Yordenis Ugas +400

Odds as of April 14 at BetUS

We can evaluate the Spence vs Ugas betting line further with our sports betting calculator. There, we can see that Spence’s odds translate to an implied win probability of 85.71 percent while Ugas’ line represents an implied win probability of 20.00 percent.

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Errol Spence vs Yordenis Ugas Odds Analysis

Another Errol “The Truth” Spence appearance, another requirement of laying a lot of money to try to profit off the champ. While Spence has been around the -500 level in three of his last four fights, including this one, which is an easier pill to swallow, his previous fights often saw his betting line at -1000 or shorter.

Can Ugas Cash Again As An Underdog?

Yordenis “54 Milagros” Ugas is coming off the biggest win of his career, scoring a unanimous-decision victory last August over the legendary Manny Pacquiao. Not only did Ugas defend his strap in that bout, but he also walked to the ring as the +300 betting underdog. This will be the third time in his last six fights that he’s been the plus-money option.

Spence vs Ugas Betting Preview

Not only is Spence the No. 6 pound-for-pound boxer in the world, but he carries a perfect 27-0 record into the ring with 21 of those triumphs coming by way of knockout. However, he hasn’t earned a win in that manner since 2018.

The Truth has a stabbing jab from his southpaw stance that he throws early and often. He uses this weapon to maintain distance and set up his heavier left hand. Spence will throw that jab to the head and body, opening up more and more opportunities. Defensively, he is elite as well, with tremendous head movement in the pocket and the ability to punch his way out of danger.

Ugas Must Counter Effectively

The former Olympic bronze medalist from 2008 will likely have his hands full with the younger, faster opponent. 54 Milagros tends to slowly inch his way into striking range without a lot of movement, rather trying to bait his opponent into throwing a strike so that he can counter over the top.

With Spence’s jab being his go-to weapon, there should be ample opportunity to counter but with only 12 of his 27 pro wins coming by knockout, Ugas is going to have to be extremely efficient in his counters if he wants to output Spence.

Spence vs Ugas Pick

Both men rely a lot on their jabs, though Spence’s tends to come with a little more heat behind it and he does a great job at landing the jab, dodging the opposing shot and then landing heavy with the third punch of the exchange.

I could see Ugas getting picked apart in the early stages of this fight, forcing him to open up, which could result in him getting knocked out.

Prediction: Errol Spence (-600) via knockout (+210) in Rounds 9-12 (+550)