Odds Shark Top Sportsbooks
*Terms and Conditions apply to all bonus offers on this website. Visit operator for details.

Chestnut Favored To Chew Up Competition In 2020 Nathan’s Hot Dog Contest

The first Nathan’s Famous hot dog eating contest took place on July 4, 1916, and this Independence Day will celebrate the 104th challenge of scarfing down weenies. Joey “Jaws” Chestnut has won 13 Mustard Belts over the last 14 years and is the heavy favorite to swallow up his competition. On the women’s side, Miki Sudo attempts to be a seven-time champion.

Online sportsbook Bovada has a full list of prop betting odds for you to wager on. Most notably, Chestnut has odds of -1400 to win the Mustard Belt with the field having +650 odds, while for the women, Sudo is a also -1400 favorite with the rest of the field coming back at +650.

Why you NEED To Bet the OVER | Why you NEED To Bet The UNDER | Betting Calculator

Struggling with some of the betting terminology?

Check out our Sports Betting Glossary

 

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds - Men’s Championship - Head-to-Head Winner
WinnerOdds
Joey Chestnut-1400
Field+650

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds - Women’s Championship - Head-to-Head Winner
WinnerOdds
Miki Sudo-1400
Field+650

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

World Records May Be Gobbled Up

Bovada has listed the OVER/UNDER for the total number of hot dogs eaten by the winner at 73.5. The record, held by Chestnut, is 74 franks (with bun) and that could be in jeopardy. 

Men’s Championship - Total Hot Dogs Eaten By Winner
TotalOdds
OVER 73.5+120
UNDER 73.5-160

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Women’s Championship - Total Hot Dogs Eaten By Winner
TotalOdds
OVER 40.5-230
UNDER 40.5+160

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

This year’s Nathan’s Famous hot dog eating contest will look quite different from what we have been accustomed to in the past. Normally, a large stage would be set up on the Coney Island boardwalk with upwards of 40,000 onlookers. This year, the consumption of hundreds of dogs in just a 10-minute span will take place in a private indoor facility in the same area because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

This change in venue may be a beneficial one because the air-conditioning perhaps will provide a little more drive for the competitors who are typically dosed in sweat as their bodies battle the heat and the copious amounts of salt and “pork” ingested. A reversal of fortune (throwing up your food) could be in the cards for 2020.

Chestnut, Sudo Spread Bets Offer Better Value

Betting on either Chestnut or Sudo to be the outright winner isn’t a bet you will be sweating out for 10 minutes, with both being pegged as the large favorites. Barring any injuries, a missing plate or they simply run out of franks to chow down, those two should eat their way to victory once again.

However, the margin of victory bet can be a little more exciting and could get you a better bang for your buck in addition to your OVER/UNDER wager. At Bovada, Sudo is a 6.5-dog favorite over Michelle Lesco, while Chestnut is a whopping 15.5-weenie favorite over whoever finishes second.

Men’s Championship - Head-to-Head Spread
WinnerOdds
Joey Chestnut -15.5-600
2nd Place Winner +15.5+350

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Women’s Championship - Head-to-Head Spread
WinnerOdds
Miki Sudo -6.5-180
Michelle Lesco +6.5+140

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Last year, Miki Sudo downed 31 hot dogs, which was 4.5 more than runner-up Michelle Lesco, so barring a massive change year over year, Lesco at +6.5 could be a good wager.

For the men, it was a complete beatdown by Jaws, devouring 71 weiners with Darron Breeden putting away a measly 50. I think a spread of -15.5 in these more controlled conditions is a gift.

Nathans Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest Props

Will There be a Men’s recount?
WinnerOdds
Yes+650
No-1400

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Will There be a Women’s recount?
WinnerOdds
Yes+650
No-1400

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Will There be a Men’s Eat-off?
WinnerOdds
Yes+1000
No-5000

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Will There be a Women’s Eat-off?
WinnerOdds
Yes+1200
No-7500

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Will The Hot Dog Contest Feed Get Hacked By PETA?
WinnerOdds
Yes+3500
NoN/A

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Total Hot Dogs Eaten By Joey Chestnut
NumberOdds
75 or more+150
73-74+180
71-72+245
69-70+600
67-68+1000
65-66+1200
0-65+1800

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Men’s Championship - Will there Be a Reversal Of Fortune?
WinnerOdds
Yes+650
No-1400

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Women’s Championship - Will there Be a Reversal Of fortune?
OptionOdds
Yes+575
No-1100

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Men’s Championship - Total hot dogs eaten by Joey Chestnut at the halfway mark (5 min.)
WinnerOdds
OVER 45.5-105
UNDER 45.5-135

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

Men’s Championship - Total Hot dogs eaten by Joey Chestnut in the first minute
WinnerOdds
OVER 9.5-450
UNDER 9.5+275

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

OVER Analysis


Gilles Gallant

Once ate 10 hot dogs in a single sitting and then threw up. Thinks chicken wieners are a perfect pairing with a bottle of pinot grigio.

Total Hot Dogs Eaten By Winner: OVER 73.5 (Men’s)

By now, if you doubt Joey Chestnut’s ability to scarf down hot dogs, you haven’t been paying attention. Chestnut recently said in an interview with TMZ that downing 77 hot dogs is doable and being in an air-conditioned facility should aid his quest to break his world record of 74.

Another reason the OVER is a lock is fewer competitors in 2020. Unlike previous years, where 15 competitive eaters flocked to Coney Island, this time it will be only five. Chestnut contends that this will aid in the taste of the weenies, which in turn makes them more consumable. Considering he’s won 12 of 13 Nathan’s contests and has topped 70 in four straight years, this is not the year to doubt the Bill Russell of competitive eating.

If you agree with Gilles, bet this prop now at:

Total Hot Dogs Eaten By Winner: OVER 40.5 (Women’s)

Taking the OVER on how many hot dogs get eaten in the Nathan’s hot dog eating contest is an annual tradition and on the women’s side, Miki Sudo is more than capable of devouring 41 hot dogs. Last year’s outing may have thrown some bettors off the scent when she ate only 31 dogs but that was because of her lack of competition.

This time, she’s facing only four other women, who all have the intent of knocking Sudo off her throne. That’s why I think the OVER is a lock in 2020 for this prop because being in an air-conditioned facility with fewer competitors cannot be overlooked. Also, if you look at Sudo’s past outings, she’s swallowed 38 in 2015, 38.5 in 2016, 41 in 2017, 38 in 2017 and 31 last year. Some would see that as a downward trend but I look at it as value and a perfect time for bettors to cash in on a rebound.

If you agree with Gilles, bet this prop now at:

UNDER Analysis 


Scott Hastings

Despises hot dogs but loves sausages. Wore a hot dog costume to his friend’s bachelor party. Favorite phrase is “Hot Dog! We have a wiener!”

Total Hot Dogs Eaten By Winner: UNDER 73.5 (Men’s)

Now, I’ll start this off by saying nobody likes to bet on the UNDER for the Nathan’s Famous hot dog eating contest, though it may be the better bet. Sure, Joey Chestnut is doing interviews in which he claims he may break the world record because he’s going to be in an air-conditioned room and the dogs may taste better because of fewer competitors.

I think he’s trying to psych himself up for an event with no crowd. He has been doing some online eating challenges recently and some of his performances have been lackluster. Is he going to demolish the field? Yes. Will he devour 73 dogs? I’m not sure. He’s only topped that mark once, in 2018, which may have been his peak. He had three fewer dogs last year and before 2016 he was consistently in the 60s. I think he’s going to plow 71 weenies into him on July 4.

If you agree with Scott, bet this prop now at:

Total Hot Dogs Eaten By Winner: UNDER 40.5 (Women’s)

It truly is a 50/50 shot on whether Miki Sudo will cross the 38-wiener threshold as she has reached that mark in half of her six Nathan’s Famous hot dog eating contests. However, her last two years were UNDER that mark, including last year when she had a career-worst 31 franks. That’s three fewer than in her first appearance in 2014 when she put away 34 dogs, and 10 off her career-high of 41 in 2017. 

She claims the heat impacted her performance last year, but I think she’s in her head and her best days are behind her. I’m on the UNDER!

If you agree with Scott, bet this prop now at:

See how much you could win betting Nathan’s hot dog eating contest with our odds calculator:

Odds Calculator

e.g. -110

e.g. 2.0

e.g. 1/1

e.g. 50%

e.g. 100