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Chestnut a Massive Favorite to win 2018 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

UPDATE: Joey Chestnut has won the Mustard Belt again in 2018 with a final tally of 74 hot dogs, which is World Record. Miki Sudo won on the women's side finished with a total of 37 hot dogs.

Joey Chestnut is the Bill Russell of competitive eating. That may seem like an over-the-top comparison to liken a competitive eater to a basketball player but when you have won the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest in 10 of the last 11 years, your name can start to become synonymous with some of the greatest athletes to ever live.

This is why “Jaws” Chestnut is the large favorite to continue devouring the competition at the 102nd Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest with online sportsbook Bovada having his odds to take his 11th competitive eating title at -550. While online shops are expecting Chestnut to swallow up the competition, they’ve set the OVER/UNDER line at 72.5 hot dogs for the winner to engulf with the OVER at +155.

Will Chestnut continue this mouthy behavior? Let’s dive into the odds and see what value bettors can chew on.

HOT DOG!! WE HAVE A WIENER!!

To the average person, 72 hot dogs (with bun) could feed a person for upwards of 30 days at 2.4 weenies per day. But within 10 minutes, Joey Chestnut can inhale that amount of salt, preservatives and “pork” that would make even the most gluttonous person queasy. Chestnut engorged 72 dogs in a winning effort at last year’s event and reportedly matched that feat at a Six Flags in California on June 16 as a warm-up to Independence Day.

With the O/U line set at 72.5, I expect Jaws to surpass this total as he has stated that he has started a new regimen that can stretch his stomach by strategic fasting and an intake of milk, water and protein supplements. The value is decent at +155 and it’s worth noting that Chestnut has broken the world record for hot dogs eaten in a 10-minute span in three of the last four Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contests.

CAN ANYONE TAKE THE MUSTARD OFF THE HOT DOG?

Chick Hearn quotes aside, does anyone stand a legitimate chance of dethroning Chestnut? The last time Chestnut lost a competition was in 2015 when Matt “Megatoad” Stonie pulled off the upset (stomach) and topped Chestnut’s 60 franks with 62. Since then, Stonie has been a shell of himself, falling way short of expectations and unable to open his throat to engulf 60 dogs in a competition, with 53 in 2016 and 48 in 2017. The sports world hasn’t seen this kind of regression since Jeremy Lin’s rise and subsequent fall with the Knicks in 2012.

Other competitors like Carmen Cincotti or potentially a return from Major League Eating Hall of Famer (and fan favorite) Takeru Kobayashi could make things interesting but considering neither of those two have ever topped 70 hot dogs in a competition, they’re just there as condiments to Chestnut’s hot dog.

DON’T SLEEP ON SUDO TO INHALE 42 FRANKS

If Chestnut is Bill Russell, then Miki Sudo is Diana Taurasi. The New York native has gobbled up the women’s field over the last four years by winning the Mustard Belt at the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest from 2014 to 2017. What’s been most impressive for her is that since her reign at the top of Major League Eating, she has surpassed her winning total each year from 34 in 2014 to 41 in 2017. With the hot dog line set at 41.5, I expect Sudo to not only exceed that mark but to beat her competition by 10 franks or more.

Here is the full list of odds from Bovada for the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest with more props expected to be added as we get closer to July 4.

Odds To Win The Men’s 2018 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • Joey Chestnut -550
  • Field +325
Men’s winner of Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest - OVER/UNDER

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • OVER 72.5 +155
  • UNDER 72.5 -220
Odds To Win The Women’s 2018 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • Miki Sudo -550
  • Field +400
Women’s winner of Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest - OVER/UNDER

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • OVER 41.5 -120
  • UNDER 41.5 -120
Women’s Championship - Head-To-Head Winner

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • Miki Sudo -500
  • Sonya Thomas +300
Will A Contestant be Interrupted by PETA During the Contest 

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • Yes +750
  • No -2000
Total Hot Dogs Eaten by Joey Chestnut at the 5 min Mark

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • OVER 46 +140
  • UNDER 46 -180
Men’s Championship - Head-to-Head Winner

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • Carmen Cincotti -800
  • Geoffrey Esper +425
Total Hot Dogs Eaten by Carmen Cincotti

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • OVER 59.5 -220
  • UNDER 59.5 +155
Total Hot Dogs Eaten by Mark Stonie at the 5 min Mark

Odds as of June 29 at Bovada

  • OVER 36.5 -150
  • UNDER 36.5 +110
Total Hot Dogs Eaten by Joey Chestnut In the first Min

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • OVER 12.5 -130
  • UNDER 12.5 -110
Will There Be An Eat-Off?

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • Yes +750
  • No -2000
Total Hot Dogs Eaten by Matt Stonie in First Min

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • OVER 9 -165
  • UNDER 9 +125
Men’s Championship - Head-to-Head Winner

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • Joey Chestnut -600
  • Matt Stonie +350
Total Hot Dogs Eaten by Winner 

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • OVER 68.5 -500
  • UNDER 68.5 +300
Total Hot Dogs Eaten by Winner

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

  • OVER 66.5  -750
  • UNDER 66.5 +415

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