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2021 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Odds: F1 Betting Favorites

Azerbaijan Grand Prix odds and F1 betting favorites

Max Verstappen overtook Lewis Hamilton in the drivers standings with a terrific win in Monaco, which was also his first podium at the circuit. After placing seventh in Monaco, Hamilton will be keen to return to the top of the standings with a win in Baku. How will the Azerbaijan Grand Prix pan out? We break down the F1 odds and betting markets for Sunday’s race below.

At BetOnline, the F1 odds continue to favor Hamilton (+120) to win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix. Next on the oddsboard are Verstappen (+125), Valtteri Bottas (+800), Sergio Perez (+850) and Lando Norris (+4000).

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F1 Odds to Win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix

2021 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Betting Odds
DriverOdds
Lewis Hamilton+120
Max Verstappen+125
Valtteri Bottas+800
Sergio Perez+850
Lando Norris+4000
Charles Leclerc+5000
Carlos Sainz+8000
Daniel Ricciardo+8000
Pierre Gasly+15000
Esteban Ocon+25000
Fernando Alonso+25000
Sebastian Vettel+25000
Lance Stroll+50000
Yuki Tsunoda+50000
Kimi Raikkonen+100000
Antonio Giovinazzi+150000
George Russell+150000
Nicholas Latifi+250000
Nikita Mazepin+400000
Mick Schumacher+400000

Odds as of June 1 at BetOnline

Previous Race

Most of the drama in Monaco took place before Sunday’s race even began. Charles Leclerc put in a sensational qualifying run to win the pole. He then crashed into the wall, which forced the stoppage of the session, disallowing Max Verstappen the opportunity to claim the pole as he finished at P2. However, Leclerc’s Ferrari suffered a driveshaft issue after his team approved of the gearbox’s condition on Sunday. Leclerc wasn’t able to start the race.

Verstappen, from P2, prevented Valtteri Bottas from overtaking in turn 1, and that was enough to stave off the rest of the chasing pack for the remaining 78 laps. Later in the race, Bottas was forced to retire after a wheel nut just wouldn’t budge in the pits.

Ferrari was given some respite as Carlos Sainz finished second and McLaren’s Lando Norris, who lapped his teammate Daniel Ricciardo, rounded out the podium spots. Lewis Hamilton finished seventh but claimed the fastest lap and an additional world championship point.

Verstappen Catching Up With Hamilton in F1 Odds

Lewis Hamilton (+120) was distraught with the execution of Mercedes’ pit-stop strategy, which saw him losing spots to Sebastian Vettel and Pierre Gasly. “How did this happen,” Hamilton was heard saying to his team after he was undercut.

P7 was a horrific result for Hamilton because that ensured he temporarily lost his lead in the drivers standings. However, Mercedes and Hamilton will always come back in this current car. There are other technical factors that will help Mercedes, including the length of the straights. These F1 odds have lengthened, which makes Hamilton a compelling option.

Max Verstappen (+125) has been stellar this season. He overtook Hamilton in the drivers standings with a flawless performance in Monaco on Sunday.

“You never know what’s going to happen but it was all about looking after your tires and finding a good stopgap,” Verstappen said after the race. “Of course, the others went earlier so that made it a bit easier for me. I was pretty much in control. You always want to win this Grand Prix.”

He will continue to win races, which is why his F1 odds have shortened. He is also in one of the fastest cars on the F1 circuit. It will, however, be extremely implausible to expect Mercedes to make errors in successive races.

Left-Field Predictions for Azerbaijan Grand Prix

Valtteri Bottas (+800) will be keen to beat his teammate at this circuit, like he did back in 2019. He has made public his chagrin in being forced to allow Hamilton to pass him on numerous occasions. He was clearly quicker in Monaco and was on course for the podium until a wheel nut stopped him.

Sergio Perez (+850) is a force in the Red Bull. He was mighty impressive for Force India and then Racing Point. He hasn’t quite overachieved in this Red Bull car yet, which will not please Christian Horner and the rest of the management. In a race where neither Mercedes car made the podium, Perez still finished fourth. There could be a breakout race soon.

The field thins out after Mercedes and Red Bull. Lando Norris (+4000) claimed a terrific podium finish in Monaco but winning a race in McLaren isn’t an easy task at this stage of the constructor’s journey.

The Scuderia Ferrari drivers are next on the oddsboard, with Charles Leclerc at +5000 and Carlos Sainz at +8000. Leclerc has already won several races. If Ferrari can improve its pace along the straights, then Leclerc and Sainz will continue to power that car with aplomb.

Daniel Ricciardo, who has won the Azerbaijan Grand Prix previously, is next on the F1 odds list at +8000.

History of the Azerbaijan Grand Prix

The F1 calendar moves from one street race to another. The first F1 race in Baku was held in 2016 and called the European Grand Prix. In 2017, the nomenclature changed to the Azerbaijan Grand Prix. That race was won by Daniel Ricciardo.

The lap record at this circuit was recorded back in 2019 by Charles Leclerc with a time of 1:43.009. Bottas won the previous race at this circuit, back in 2019, after claiming the pole. This race was not held in 2020 due to the spread of the coronavirus.

Race Technicals

The total length per lap in Baku is a little over six kilometers. The total race distance will be 306.049 kilometers, split up into 51 laps. Considering this is a street race, there are long straights along the first and second sectors. There are 20 turns in all with two DRS detection zones – the first between turns 1 and 2 and the second along turn 20. There is also a speed trap on the straight along the first turn.

This race will be crucial from a technical standpoint because there are a series of tricky turns between 7 and 12. Overtaking will be extremely hard at that stage of the race. However, considering the length of the straights, drivers will have to be wary of ensuring they don’t tow other cars, allowing for a quicker speed along those parts of the circuit.

Unlike Monaco, there will be overtaking in Baku. There will be a few cars in the wall if there is even a semblance of complacency. Also unlike Monaco, qualifying isn’t as important because of the nature of the circuit. This could be a race determined by the strength and speed of the cars. It’s therefore quite natural for Mercedes and Red Bull to be heavily favored across the weekend.

Forecasted Weather Conditions

The conditions for the race weekend are expected to be clear with sunny intervals through the day. Rain is not expected at any point of the weekend, which should lend a helping hand to the faster cars.

However, wind could be a key factor. It is expected to be hovering over 30 kilometers per hour during the race, the highest during the day. Again, towing will be a key factor with the length of the straights and the speed of the wind.

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Betting Strategy for Azerbaijan Grand Prix

The technicals of this race are imperative to your betting decisions. It also helps that Mercedes has gotten a terrible day – a race described as a “catastrophic failure” by team principal Toto Wolff – out of the way early in the season.

Mercedes is the fastest car on the F1 circuit currently. This circuit will allow drivers to push the cars to their limits, particularly along the straight periods of the race. That should ensure that Lewis Hamilton has a distinct advantage through it.

If this was Monaco, my suggestion would be to wait for qualifying and make your race winner prediction after Saturday. However, if Hamilton wins the pole in Baku, there is almost no chance for any driver other than Verstappen to challenge him, which will see his F1 odds shorten.

As a result, I’d back Hamilton to win if he can put in a decent practice session on Friday. F1 betting can often come down to the timing of the bet to maximize your return. I’d be backing Hamilton to win on Friday evening.

The fastest lap market could be reliant on whether there is a front-row lockout by Mercedes. If Verstappen builds a lead of around 25 to 30 seconds on the subsequent driver, then he will switch to the softer tires and could win that extra point for the fastest lap. This market is best decided on the day of the race. So wait, look at how the drivers stack up and make your decision early in the race.

We’ll return after the Azerbaijan Grand Prix to provide you with a fresh betting perspective for the Canadian Grand Prix.