Stop me if you've heard this before, but Red Bull took two-thirds of the podium spots at the last F1 race. By winning the Belgian GP, Max Verstappen has now won his eighth straight time. The Belgian GP was Team Red Bulls' 12th win of the season.
Naturally, with that type of dominant performance, Verstappen is a run-away favorite to win the Dutch GP at -450. Teammate Sergio Perez is second at a distant +1000. Veteran and former World Champ Lewis Hamilton is third at +1200.
F1 Dutch Grand Prix Odds
Odds as of August 10
Why Is Max Verstappen Such A Heavy Favorite?
He's nearly a 1,500-point favorite for his home race. The Dutch GP has only been back on the F1 schedule sinde 2021 and Max has won it twice.
In 2021, Verstappen took the Dutch GP by massive 21 seconds over Lewis Hamilton. An insane lead at this level of racing. A year later in 2022, he took the race again but this time by a closer four-second lead.
Now add how good he's been this season, and there's no reason to think he'll lose this race. The only way that happens is if Max, unfortunately, gets into an accident or the car breaks down.
F1 Dutch GP Value Picks
Honestly, the F1 has been pretty boring this year. Red Bull has dominated the sport and there's no end to that domination. Finding a value pick is fun and all but it probably doesn't really matter.
Sergio Perez (+1000)
Every week I name Perez as the value bet. And why not? He's the only driver who's won this year and has finished on the podium another five times this season.
Perez drives that same powerful Red Bull car that Verstappen does. If Max can't finish the race Perez can and will likely win.
See what I mean by boring?
Lewis Hamilton (+1200)
No one has been able to take this race from Verstappen yet, but maybe Lewis can get it done.
He was second in 2021 at the Zandvoort and then finished fourth a year later. In the lead-up to this race in North Holland, Hamilton has finished no lower than fourth in six of his last seven races. He's also picked up the fastest lap twice.
So he's not winning races but he's making a go of it.
Again, this is assuming Max Verstappen is disqualified or just can't finish the race.