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John Rahm is a heavy favorite in 2021 Fortinet Championship odds.

The PGA Tour begins its 2021-22 season this week in Napa, California, as players look to take advantage of the fall portion of the marathon that is the PGA Tour regular season. With football season now in full swing, this portion of the year tends to get overlooked, but as we have seen in the past, it can be vital for one’s FedExCup playoff hopes 11 months from now.

Jon Rahm, Phil Mickelson and Hideki Matsuyama headline this year’s event as three of the four major champions from last season are set to play at Silverado Resort and Spa. Collin Morikawa, the Open champion, is the lone major victor missing as he is at Whistling Straits preparing for next week’s Ryder Cup, a trip good friends Rahm and Mickelson will likely make together come Sunday evening, barring they both play their way into the weekend.

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This will be Mickelson’s seventh appearance at Silverado Resort and Spa as he possesses some of the best course history in the field. With a career scoring average of 69.65, Lefty has three top-20 finishes, one of which doubled for a top-10 and another that was good for a top-five. The pre-tournament favorite last season in the +2000 range, the PGA champion is listed at +6600 on Bovada this year in Napa. A $100 bet would profit you $6,600 as the Odds Shark odds calculator gives Mickelson a 1.49 percent chance to start his 2022 season with a bang.

2021 Fortinet Championship Betting Odds

2021 Fortinet Championship Odds
Golfer  Odds
Jon Rahm +450
Webb Simpson +1400
Hideki Matsuyama +2000
Kevin Na +2200
Will Zalatoris +2500
Cameron Tringale +3300
Cameron Champ +4000
Charley Hoffman +4000
Harold Varner III +4000
Marc Leishman +4000
Sebastian Munoz +4000
Si Woo Kim +4000
Emiliano Grillo +5000
Maverick McNealy +5000
Max Homa +5000
Brandt Snedeker +6600
Brendon Todd +6600
Chez Reavie +6600
Mito Pereira +6600
Phil Mickelson +6600
Roger Sloan +6600
Stephan Jaeger +6600
Talor Gooch +6600
Brendan Steele +8000
Charles Howell III +8000
Pat Perez +8000
Ryan Moore +8000
Sahith Theegala +8000
Taylor Moore +8000
Aaron Rai +10000
Adam Hadwin +10000
Adam Schenk +10000
Brian Stuard +10000
C.T. Pan +10000
Chad Ramey +10000
Doug Ghim +10000
Dylan Fritteli +10000
Greyson Sigg +10000
Hank Lebioda +10000
Harry Higgs +10000
JT Poston +10000
Joseph Bramlett +10000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +10000
Lanto Griffin +10000
Lucas Herbert +10000
Patton Kizzire +10000
Sepp Straka +10000
Taylor Pendrith +10000
Tom Hoge +10000
Alex Smalley +12500
Doc Redman +12500
Luke List +12500
Matt Kuchar +12500
Nick Taylor +12500
Russell Knox +12500
Ryan Armour +12500
Troy Merritt +12500
Adam Svensson +15000
Andrew Putnam +15000
Chesson Hadley +15000
Danny Willett +15000
Hayden Buckley +15000
Hudson Swafford +15000
Jason Dufner +15000

Odds as of September 13 at Bovada

Jon Rahm Rightfully The Heavy Favorite

To no one’s surprise, the world No. 1 is the prohibitive favorite for the 2021 Fortinet Championship. Likely playing because his management company is involved with the tournament in some capacity, Rahm will look to put his best foot forward this week. On the off chance Rahm does not have his best stuff, it is still hard to not love his prospects ahead of the Fortinet Championship.

The problem for us betting folks is Rahm’s B game – heck, even his C game – is more than good enough to win the Fortinet Championship against a field of this caliber. Clearly the class of the field and professional golf in a broader sense, Rahm was far and away the best player during the 2020-21 PGA Tour season. Unfortunately, we will likely have to forgo his Fortinet Championship betting odds as they are some of the lowest we have seen since a certain player named Tiger Woods played on a regular basis.

Looking to carry last season’s momentum into the new season, Rahm has a fantastic opportunity to match last season’s win total before the calendar flips to the winter months. At +450 on Bovada, the reigning U.S. Open champion has an implied probability of 18.18 percent to raise the coveted wine barrel trophy by week’s end.

Course And Analysis

The North Course at Silverado Resort and Spa will have the privilege of hosting the PGA Tour this week. Located in Napa, California, it was just last year that wildfires wreaked havoc on the surrounding area, delaying play Thursday morning as ominous skylines and smoke clouds flooded the golf course.

A par 72, the winning score can typically be found somewhere in the neighborhood of 20 under. With most of its 7,200-yard distance found in its four par 3s, players will face a nice mixture of long irons and scoring clubs as they look to take apart Silverado Resort and Spa.

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The winner of last year’s tournament, with a different title sponsor in Safeway, was Stewart Cink. Displaying his new-found distance from off the tee, Cink played great from tee to green, specifically over the weekend. Finishing at 21 under, the two-time winner in the 2020-21 PGA Tour season carded a two-round total of 14-under 130 over the weekend at Silverado Resort and Spa.

With past champions such as Cink, Cameron Champ, Kevin Tway and Brendan Steele, strong drivers of the golf ball appear to fare well in wine country. Yet they aren’t alone as short hitters such as Chez Reavie and Harold Varner III also possess a nice history at Silverado.

So that really leads us down one of two avenues, with that being either fairway-finders or big hitters. You’ll likely find me looking somewhere in the middle, combined with strong approach play, birdie-making and bogey-avoiding metrics, in addition to competent par-4 play.

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2021 Fortinet Championship Expert Picks

Mito Pereira (+6600 to win)

Some may be inclined to take a risk on some Korn Ferry Tour graduates given it’s a season opener and the field is lacking some pop outside of Rahm. However, I’ll take the wait-and-see approach, much like we have done with Pereira, who is primed for a great Fortinet Championship.

Playing on the PGA Tour during the back half of last season, Pereira made his way to the big state courtesy of a three-win promotion on the Korn Ferry Tour. He carried this momentum into quality start after quality start.

A top-five finish at the Barbasol Championship was followed up with a top-six finish at the 3M Open. From there, the Chilean traveled to Tokyo to compete alongside his fellow countryman, Joaquin Niemann, in the Olympic Games. A part of the massive playoff for the bronze medal, Pereira fell just short, but once again proved his best can stack up against the world’s best.

Making his first Fortinet Championship appearance, I am very comfortable with his Fortinet Championship betting odds. If the tee-to-green prowess from July can reappear in Napa, Pereira is a steal at such a number.

Charles Howell III (+8000 to win)

Always the bridesmaid and never the bride could be the title of Howell’s biography one day. A top-10 machine throughout his career, he has made the unfortunate habit of continually coming up short. Yet I believe this spot at the Fortinet Championship is one of the rare opportunities where winning is a very real possibility.

Making his seventh appearance at Silverado Resort and Spa, Howell has three top-20 finishes to his credit, including a top-five finish in his last start in 2019. Arriving this season off a strong finish to his summer, Howell’s tee-to-green play should be on full display in Napa.

Not only has he had a decent go of things here in California, but I also look to his play at Waialae Country Club. When players such as Brendan Steele, Kevin Na, Patton Kizzire, Justin Thomas and so on have decent history at Silverado Resort and Spa, the Sony Open appears to be a tournament that tends to play out in a similar manner.

The second event of the new year is an event the former Oklahoma State Cowboy has done everything but win. With multiple runner-up finishes, podium finishes and top-10 outings in Hawaii, if said hypothesis proves to be correct, the North Course may fit his eye just as well.

Nick Taylor (+12500 to win)

A tournament and course that requires precise iron play should always point one in the direction of Taylor. The winner of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am a couple years back, the same skill set that led him to success off the Monterey Peninsula has the possibility of doing the same in Napa.

Mickelson, Reavie and others have found success at both of those venues and Taylor could add his name to such a list. Finishing his 2021 season in style, the Canadian captured a top-10 finish at the Wyndham Championship, marking his fourth consecutive made cut in a stroke-play event.

Making his seventh appearance in Napa, Taylor had gotten off to a rough start in his career in wine country. However, he has turned the corner in recent years as he appears to have become more acclimated to the North Course at Silverado Resort and Spa. With a career scoring average of 71.22, Taylor has made the cut in his last three outings here, two of which have gone for top-10 finishes.

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Hudson Swafford (+15000 to win)

Over the last two months, the player who leads this field in greens in regulation is not Rahm, but Swafford. Needing a strong finish to his season, Swafford turned it on at the ideal time, nearly playing his way into the Tour Championship before a disappointing final round at the BMW Championship.

With back-to-back top-20 finishes in his two postseason events, the former Georgia Bulldog is in the midst of some of the best golf of his career, at least from a statistical standpoint. His irons are in a fantastic place, posting +2.2, +5.4 and +6.1 Strokes Gained: Approach in his last three tournaments. Combining that with his reliability from off the tee, this almost feels like highway robbery.

Making his seventh appearance at Silverado Resort and Spa, Swafford is 5-for-6 connecting on weekend tee times. With two of those finishes coming as top-20s, one of which doubled for a top-10, Swafford arrives this year in a much better spot. A proven winner, he’s shown before that he can get the job done when thrown into the mix, and given his current form, he’s worth a sprinkle at his Fortinet Championship betting odds.