The PGA Tour heads north to the Monterey Peninsula as the California swing continues at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Some 156 players and amateurs will take to the three-course rotation of Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass Hills and the Shore Course at Monterey Peninsula Country Club, a regular stop for many years.
While Torrey Pines and the Farmers Insurance Open tend to favor the world’s top golfers, the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am has been more hit-or-miss. Favorites such as Daniel Berger, Jordan Spieth, Phil Mickelson and Dustin Johnson have come through, but there have always been players like Nick Taylor, Ted Potter, Jr. and Vaughn Taylor to claim victory on the coast of California.
Similar to Torrey Pines in that it is a U.S. Open host, unfortunately there will not be a vast number of major champions teeing it up this week. An event that began with the biggest names in the game attending has since dwindled in significance as the Saudi International has attracted the best in the world this week on the Asian Tour.
With the nature we have seen from this tournament the past decade or so, there is a good chance someone from the top of the oddsboard will be victorious by week’s end. World No. 4 Patrick Cantlay leads the way at Bovada at +800. He was in the same group as Daniel Berger in the final round last year and opened with a torrid round. Known to love California golf, the Cali kid is always worthy of consideration in the Golden State as our odds calculator gives him an 11.11 percent chance to win.
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What Happened in Last Year’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?
Last year’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am mirrored The American Express in that the amateurs were left on the sidelines due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Not only that, but the three-course rotation was whittled down to two in order to limit the tournament footprint.
Because of this, not only was the 54-hole cut moved to 36 holes, but Pebble Beach was played a total of three times instead of its traditional two times. With Dustin Johnson originally in the field, the odds were ripe for the picking as the then world No. 1 withdrew before the beginning of the tournament. As such we saw favorites such as Paul Casey, Jordan Spieth and Cantlay in contention come Sunday.
However, they were all left in the dust by Berger. After finishing inside the top 10 in his two prior AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am appearances, the Floridian utilized a balanced approach en route to his fourth career PGA Tour title. Punctuated by an eagle-3 on the par-5 18th, the Ryder Cupper won by two strokes over Californian Maverick McNealy.
Who Is Favored To Win In AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Odds?
|Min Woo Lee||+8000|
Odds as of February 2 at Bovada
Course and Analysis:
While three separate golf courses will be played this week, all three possess plenty of similarities. Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula all measure about 7,000 yards. Monterey is the lone property to play to a par 71 as the other two will feature four par 5s and play to a par 72.
With little wind in the forecast as of now, each golf course will be extremely gettable as the winning AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am score typically comes out in the neighborhood of 20 under. Possessing little length and yielding plenty of birdies, accuracy off the tee and precise wedge play are often the two most important aspects of the week.
While Pebble Beach will have two rounds featured on it, it does boast a unique contrast of wide fairways and small greens. While the fairways are large, the angles that players take into the smallest greens on the tour will be crucial. Combine the ball-striking metrics mentioned above with a strong ability to scramble on poa annua and that should be our angle into the 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Expert Selections:
Kevin Streelman (+4000 to win)
Throughout the last half decade, there have been few if any players better at Pebble Beach than Kevin Streelman. Connecting on six consecutive top-20 finishes at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, the Duke product may have found something in his game last week at the Farmers Insurance Open, giving me enough confidence in yet another title run.
A venue where short hitters have struggled compared to the bombers, Torrey Pines is never the course on which Streelman should thrive, yet he did. He finished in a tie for 39th, ranking inside the top 30 in the following statistical categories: SG: Tee-to-Green, SG: Off-the-Tee, SG: Approach, SG: Around-the-Green, driving accuracy, greens in regulation, and scrambling.
While he was let down by his play with the putter in hand, Streelman should take solace in not only the small greens of Pebble Beach, but also his wedge play. In the top five in the field in proximity from 100 to 125 yards over the last 24 rounds, the 43-year-old should once again have a great opportunity to capture his first victory since 2014.
Lanto Griffin (+4000 to win)
For a man who hails from Virginia and went to college in Richmond, it is a bit surprising to see Griffin take to California golf so consistently. Polishing off last week’s Farmers Insurance Open with a final round of 7-under 65, the Virginia Commonwealth standout not only posted the round of the day but played himself inside the top 30.
On the basis of ranking 12th in SG: Approach, Griffin continued a prolonged stretch of strong play as he has now connected on seven of eight cuts in the 2021-22 PGA Tour season. After his podium finish at the American Express and top-10 finishes at the Shriners Children’s Open and the Zozo Championship, I fancy Griffin’s ability to continue this type of play at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Finishing in a tie for ninth in 2020, Griffin’s ball-striking and precision with his wedges makes him a threat even more so at a venue like Pebble Beach. A proven winner and having just played well in a 54-hole cut pro-am event, the 33-year-old makes for our second selection in AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am picks.
Matt Kuchar (+6000 to win)
Very quietly, Matt Kuchar has put together one of the more consistent starts to the 2021-22 PGA Tour season. Connecting on weekend appearances in five of five starts to begin his campaign, this week at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am presents one of the few opportunities each year where he has a serious chance to contend.
Having done some of his best work at the likes of TPC Sawgrass, Harbour Town Golf Links and El Cameleon Golf Course, the short nature of the three courses this week in Monterey should play right into his strengths.
Extremely accurate off the tee and deadly with his wedges whether from the fairway or from around the green, Kuchar has been known to get the job done when in the thick of things, finishing in a tie for seventh at the Sony Open just a few weeks ago. If his iron play can rise to the occasion, his temperament and his game are well-suited to be one of the best bets in AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds.
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Joel Dahmen (+6600 to win)
We have been barking up the Joel Dahmen tree for quite some time and while the beginning of 2022 has not been kind to him, Pebble Beach is filled with potential. After missing the cut at the Sony Open and the Farmers Insurance Open, the 34-year-old has very much had a mixed bag to begin the year, but I have seen enough good to be enticed.
Dahmen is 4-for-4 making the weekend in his AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am career and has gotten around the Monterey Peninsula without the support of his short game. With his ball-striking in tune in his first two full-field events of 2022, I expect him to eventually return to his long-term baseline from around the green.
He is arguably one of the best fairway finders on the PGA Tour in addition to being a world-class wedge player, two areas of the game that have proven to be vital at Pebble Beach. If he can find some touch on the greens and convert his birdie opportunities at a more efficient clip, he should be a factor in AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am predictions.
Chez Reavie (+10000 to win)
Chez Reavie fits the profile of Streelman, Kuchar and Dahmen as he is extremely accurate off the tee and precise with his scoring clubs. Another plus is his competency with his irons. Sixth in SG: Approach over the last 24 rounds, the former Arizona State Sun Devil has found success at Pebble Beach before.
As a runner-up in 2018 and a podium finisher at the 2019 U.S. Open, the lack of length provides Reavie a chance to contend. He has not found much form on paper in 2022, missing the cut at the American Express and finishing in a tie for 70th at the Farmers Insurance Open, but a deeper dive shows Reavie is much closer than it appears.
Third in driving accuracy and third in scrambling last week at Torrey Pines, this week presents an opportunity for him to marry some short-term metrics with his long-term baselines. If able to marry the scrambling abilities from seven days ago to his approach figures, Reavie will be in line for yet another quality showing at Pebble Beach.
James Hahn (+25000 to win)
Winning is an art that is rarely forgotten and James Hahn has notched two rather large victories on the PGA Tour. With triumphs at the Genesis Invitational and the Wells Fargo Championship, Hahn has proven to have what it takes when he is in contention. With one of those victories occurring in the state of California, the 40-year-old’s affinity for golf on the West Coast is extremely apparent.
Playing in three California tournaments this year, Hahn has posted exquisite tee-to-green numbers in each. While the results at Pebble Beach have yet to stack up, his game is tailor-made for this week’s test and he should have a solid showing despite the lack of previous success.
Golf is unique for many reasons, but one of them is the significant number of betting props available at weekly tournaments. The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is no different.
Sportsbooks are offering odds on things like whether there will be a hole-in-one, OVER/UNDERs on the winning score for the eventual champion and odds on which players from specific countries will have the lowest score, to name a few.
Like other sports, betting on props is a fun and unique way to enhance your golf gambling experience.
Live Betting is arguably one of the most exciting ways to bet on golf. If the player you placed a pre-tournament bet on is out of the running at any point during the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, you can bet on another golfer as the days go by and have another stake in the game.
If there are only a few men in the hunt on the final day, the odds likely won’t be significantly high, but your chances of winning are. We’ve seen this happen multiple times in the PGA Tour’s Return to Golf, as multiple tournaments have gone to a playoff.
These helpful pages will assist you in handicapping your golf wagers:
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Odds Shark Staff Thu, Aug 18, 10:00am