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PGA Tour Expert Picks: the Northern Trust

Patrick Cantlay of the United States reacts after finishing on the 18th green during the third round of the Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands on June 22, 2019 in Cromwell, Connecticut.

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the first FedExCup playoffs event: the Northern Trust.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My Favorite Pick: Patrick Cantlay +2200

Since the inception of the FedExCup playoffs 12 years ago, the opening tournament has been won by a player inside the top 25 of the world rankings on 10 of 12 occasions. Sitting at No. 10, Cantlay fits that mold ahead of the Northern Trust.

One of the biggest stats to finding success at Liberty National is strokes gained: tee to green, and Cantlay ranks third on the PGA Tour in that regard. I believe the 27-year-old is a future major champion and could be the breakout performer of the 2018-19 FedExCup playoffs, similar to Bryson DeChambeau’s coming-out party a year ago.

My Favorite Pick: Billy Horschel +5000

Horschel is known as one of the streakiest players on the PGA Tour, and he’s on a major hot streak right now when it comes to posting high finishes. Horschel, who notched a T-6 at last week’s Wyndham Championship, has back-to-back top-10s to close the season and five top-20s in his previous seven starts.

The American has proven he has what it takes to show up in the playoffs after winning the 2014 FedExCup and has shown major improvement in ball striking and with his putter in recent weeks.

My Third Favorite Pick: Matt Kuchar +5000

Kuchar ranks third in the FedExCup standings, yet he’s not getting much attention with the postseason getting underway. That’s because Kuch’s best finish in the last two months is a fourth-place showing at the RBC Canadian Open.

I think Liberty National will set the stage for a bounce-back performance by the veteran. Kuchar posted a T-28 in 2009 and a T-19 in 2013 at the track and could easily once again find his groove in Jersey.