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New York Looks to Heat Back up Hosting Atlanta

New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99) makes contact with a pitch during the MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays.

The New York Yankees have gone 1-4 over their last five games since opening the season with a 9-2 record through their first 11. The Yankees will try to get things back on track over a nine-game homestand that starts Tuesday night with the opener of a two-game series against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees
  • Date/Time: August 11, 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium
  • TV Coverage: YES, Fox Sports South
  • Opening Odds: Yankees -165 | O/U 10 (Line History)
  • Braves vs Yankees Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

Early action has come in on the Atlanta Braves, driving the Yankees down to -152 favorites at home and the Braves to +142 underdogs on the road. The total has remained steady at 10 runs in this battle between two of the majors’ top offenses.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

Touki Toussaint’s 2020 season got off to a disastrous start when the 24-year-old allowed six earned runs in 2.2 innings of relief work against the Tampa Bay Rays last month. But in two spot starts in August, Toussaint sports a 2.53 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP with 14 strikeouts in 10.2 innings pitched.

Jordan Montgomery got tagged for six hits and five earned runs in his last start against the Philadelphia Phillies, bringing his season totals up to a 5.59 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Montgomery has made only 10 starts since his 2017 rookie season, so some inconsistency early in the season should be expected.

Atlanta News & Notes

The Atlanta Braves put up eight runs in each of their last two games against the Philadelphia Phillies, earning an 8-0 win on Sunday and losing 13-8 on Monday. With those 16 runs, the Braves now have the most runs per game in the major leagues, averaging 5.28 runs a game. Ronald Acuna Jr., Freddie Freeman, Marcell Ozuna and Dansby Swanson have all played in every game this season and are enjoying strong 2020 campaigns.

Atlanta’s bullpen was a weakness last year, but this season Braves relievers are 8-1 with a 2.85 ERA. The main reason Atlanta isn’t doing better than its 11-7 record is the starting rotation, which owns an ugly 5.29 ERA through the team’s first 18 games.

New York News & Notes

New York averaged 6.11 runs per game over an 8-1 run before producing only 3.6 runs per game over its current 1-4 slump. Giancarlo Stanton was limited to just 18 games last season due to injuries, and he’s back on the shelf this season with another hamstring injury. The Yankees have plenty of firepower without Stanton, but his loss is still a significant one.

In 2019, the Yankees were 57-24 at home and 46-35 on the road. So far this season they are 6-5 away from Yankee Stadium and 4-1 in the Bronx. This homestand should be a good indicator of how important home field is to the Yankees, even without fans in attendance.

Betting Pick: Braves +142

Touissaint is pitching well. The Yankees are in a bit of a slump. It’s never fun to try to fade this hard-hitting lineup, but the price is right on the Braves in this one.

Shark Bites
  • Atlanta is 9-4 in its last 13 games.
  • New York is 5-1 in its last 6 games against Atlanta.
  • The UNDER is 4-2 in Atlanta’s last 6 games.