The AL East rivalry between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox has been dominated by pitchers and defense with the UNDER hitting in 11 of the past 14 meetings between the two clubs. In the first three games of this four-game set, the O’s and Sox have averaged a combined 6.7 runs per game. However, it may be hard to bank on the UNDER for the series finale Thursday.
- JJ Hardy is hitting .324 with 9 RBIs in his last 11 games at Boston.
- The favored team is 7-3 SU in the last 10 games between the Orioles and Red Sox.
- The Orioles are 17-7 against the runline in their last 24 games as road underdogs.
Who the Orioles will start is a question mark after Ubaldo Jimenez, Thursday’s scheduled starter, was forced into action Wednesday following the questionable ejection of Kevin Gausman. Manager Buck Showalter said he has a plan in place but we still may see Jimenez get the start after throwing just 55 pitches last night and 68 in his prior start.
We know that Kyle Kendrick will get the start for the Red Sox but he isn’t exactly a proven commodity this season. Kendrick will be replacing injured Steven Wright in the rotation and will be making his first MLB start since October 2015. In Triple-A Pawtucket this season, Kendrick has a 6.00 ERA and has surrendered seven home runs in four starts.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Baseball betting odds makers, including Sportsbook, opened the Boston Red Sox as -120 moneyline favorites in this matchup. Over under total bettors saw the number open at 10 at shops such as Sportsbook.
Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 6.0-3.0 victory for the Red Sox. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Boston Red Sox bring a 15-12 record to the battle against the 16-10 Orioles. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Boston vs Baltimore injuries news.
According to MLB Power Rankings here, it's the No. 15-ranked Boston Red Sox and the No. 19-rated Baltimore Orioles in this matchup.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits Boston Red Sox No. 25-rated offense, averaging 3.85 runs per game, against a Baltimore Orioles defense that ranks No. 12 at 4.27 in runs allowed per game. The Boston Red Sox have averaged 8.89 hits per game so far, more than Baltimore Orioles batters have averaged on the year (8.12 hits per game).
Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Boston has the No. 4-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Orioles own the No. 12 mark in runs allowed.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
- Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
- Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
- Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
- Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
- Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
- Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
- Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Baltimore home to Chicago, Friday, May 5th
Boston at Minnesota, Friday, May 5th
