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Odds to Win the 2018 American and National League Pennants

American and National League Champion Odds

Entering the 2018 MLB season, the odds to win the American League and National League indicate that each league has three standout contenders. In the AL it’s the Astros (+275), Yankees (+275) and Indians (+325) who are separating themselves from the pack, while the Dodgers (+225), Nationals (+350) and Cubs (+375) are the clear favorites in the NL.

While any of those six teams is worthy of a wager to win its respective pennant, there’s a few teams who might not be on your radar that are providing fantastic bang for your buck. 2017 was a super chalky season, but I think we could be in for a few surprises this season.

Here’s my favorite sleeper picks to win a league championship in 2018 along with one GIGANTIC ripoff that you shouldn’t waste your money on:

American League Sleeper Picks

Twins +1800

No respect for the Twinkies. Well, calling them the Twinkies probably isn’t very respectful either, but among 2017’s AL playoff teams, they easily have the worst odds to win the pennant this year. Thanks to the Tigers going into extreme rebuild mode and the Royals pinching pennies and not re-upping with their star free agents, the Central is easily the AL’s shallowest division, which should give the Twins another shot to make a run at a playoff spot.

They’re essentially returning the same roster as last season and the lineup features a few breakout-star candidates in Byron Buxton and Jose Berrios. Yes, this team lacks the sexiness of the Yankees and Astros, but make no mistake about it, they’re trending in the right direction.

Blue Jays +2000

Of course, you are most likely thinking that Toronto doesn’t stand a chance of competing with the Red Sox and Yankees in the AL East. There’s no doubt about it, both of those teams are better on paper, but let’s not forget the Blue Jays are just a year removed from back-to-back appearances in the ALCS.

They are coming off a disappointing season in which everything that could have gone wrong did — most notably getting just 36 innings out of Aaron Sanchez, along with Josh Donaldson missing a significant chunk of time in the first half. Presuming those two all-stars are in for the long haul in 2018, expect the Jays to get back to their winning ways of 2015 and 2016.

2018 American League Pennant Odds
TeamOdds
Houston Astros+275
New York Yankees+275
Cleveland Indians+325
Boston Red Sox+600
Los Angeles Angels+1400
Minnesota Twins+1800
Seattle Mariners+1800
Toronto Blue Jays+2000
Tampa Bay Rays+4000
Baltimore Orioles+4000
Texas Rangers+4500
Kansas City Royals+7500
Chicago White Sox+7500
Oakland Athletics+7500
Detroit Tigers+15000

Odds as of February 20 at Bovada

National League Sleeper and Ripoff Picks

Rockies +1800

Colorado is my favorite sleeper pick of 2018 and I expect the Rockies to look a lot more like the team that finished 13 games above .500 in 2017’s first half as opposed to the team that finished one game below .500 in the second half.

The National League’s best offense from last season shouldn’t miss a beat and it’s reasonable to expect the young starting rotation to show some progression. Pair those facts with a rebuilt bullpen and we have ourselves the makings of one of the most complete lineups in the game. Dethroning the defending NL champion Dodgers won’t be easy, but Colorado did have a winning record vs its divisional rival last season.

Giants +1000

No, San Francisco isn’t a sleeper, they’re the biggest scam in MLB betting entering the 2018 season. That might come off as a little harsh, but how does a team that finished tied for the most losses in baseball last season have the fifth-best odds to win the National League pennant?

Yes, the addition of Andrew McCutchen will help, but he’s hardly the MVP-caliber player that he was a few seasons ago. As for their other big offseason acquisition, Evan Longoria, he was 84th in WAR last season, ranking him among the likes of Matt Chapman and Yolmer Sanchez. Adding a full season from Madison Bumgarner should be enough to get the Giants out of the National League basement, but pump the brakes if you’re expecting them to improve by 25 wins and push for a playoff spot.

2018 National League Pennant Odds
TeamOdds
Los Angeles Dodgers+225
Washington Nationals+350
Chicago Cubs+375
St. Louis Cardinals+900
San Francisco Giants+1000
New York Mets+1200
Arizona Diamondbacks+1200
Milwaukee Brewers+1600
Colorado Rockies+1800
Pittsburgh Pirates+4000
Philadelphia Phillies+5000
Atlanta Braves+7500
San Diego Padres+7500
Cincinnati Reds+10000
Miami Marlins+25000

Odds as of February 20, 2018 at Bovada

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