The Boston Red Sox have won six straight games and may be turning the tide. They took down the AL-leading Minnesota Twins last night and will try to take another one with David Price on the mound.
Standout Stats
- David Price gets the nod for the Red Sox and he’s been fairly solid when pitching on the road. He owns a 3.86 ERA in seven starts and when he pitched at Target Field last season, he went seven innings but gave up two home runs. In three starts this month, he’s allowed nine earned runs and he lasted only 1.1 innings vs the Rangers in his most recent start.
- Michael Pineda will be on the mound for the Twins and although he had a decent outing vs the Mariners in his last start, he does give up his share of runs. He’s allowed three or more earned runs in 10 of his 13 starts and sports a 5.20 ERA in seven home starts.
- Boston has been on a nice run since the start of June and looks to be turning the corner. The BoSox have won six straight games and 11 of 16 this month. They’ve also proven to be worthy on the road with a respectable eight-game win streak in away games.
- The Twins offense can be found at the top of the leaderboard for most offensive categories. They’ve also done well vs left-handed pitching over the last 30 days as they rank in the top three in MLB in batting average, runs and home runs in that spot. They’ll look to bounce back after being shut out yesterday for the first time since the end of April.
- A lot of criticism was directed at the Red Sox relievers coming into the season but over the last two weeks, they’ve been stellar. The bullpen owns a 3.49 ERA in that span while holding teams to a .243 batting average.
- Twins games have been one of the better OVER bets lately as the OVER has hit in six of their last nine outings, eight of their last 12 and in six of the last nine games in this matchup when played at Target Field.
- The Twins haven’t been a home underdog very often this season (seven games) but they’ve been slightly profitable in that spot. They’re 4-3 SU and ATS with wins over Cleveland, Houston (two) and Brewers.
My Best Bet for Red Sox vs Twins
Twins moneyline (+110)
I think I’ve seen enough of David Price to not be worried about betting against him on the road. The man is a great pitcher but has these hiccups that make you wonder why he can’t put it all together consistently. Well, he’s going into the lion’s den at Target Field and the Twins offense is no joke, especially against left-handers. The Twins have the best run differential in MLB and while I think the Red Sox are a formidable opponent, Boston will fall short today.
The Twins are 4-3 SU in 7 games as a home underdog this season.home Boston has won 11 of its last 16 games.away The OVER has hit in 8 of the Twins’ last 12 games.home
