MLB

Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers

Miami
Marlins
65 - 91
Sandy Alcantara (14-9) ERA: 2.28
Milwaukee
Brewers
83 - 73
Corbin Burnes (12-8) ERA: 3.12
September 30, 2022, 8:10 PM EDT
 | American Family Field

Game Preview

Miami
Marlins
65 - 91
Sandy Alcantara (14-9) ERA: 2.28
Milwaukee
Brewers
83 - 73
Corbin Burnes (12-8) ERA: 3.12
September 30, 2022, 8:10 PM EDT
 | American Family Field
  • The Milwaukee Brewers (83-73) have gone UNDER the posted total in seven of their last eight games including Thursday's game against the Miami Marlins (65-91). The Brewers will try to earn a win as a Marlins vs Brewers prediction in what could be another low-scoring game this Friday night in Milwaukee.

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    Marlins vs Brewers Betting Preview

    Marlins vs Brewers Sportsbook Odds

    Sportsbook Odds

    The Brewers opened as -161 favorites at home before betting action on them drove the Marlins vs Brewers odds up to Milwaukee -180. The total in this one is extremely low at six runs, and was even lower when it opened at 5.5 runs. The OVER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between Milwaukee and Miami.

    Starting Pitchers

     

    Sandy Alcantara pitched eight innings and allowed only three hits and one earned runs while striking out 11 batters in another dominant outing last Saturday in a 4-1 Marlins win over the Washington Nationals. Alcantara has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season with a 14-8 record, a 2.32 ERA, a 0.99 WHIP and 199 strikeouts in 220.2 innings pitched.

    Corbin Burnes allowed four hits and two earned runs while striking out eight batters across 6.1 innings in a 10-2 Brewers win over the Cincinnai Reds last Saturday. Burnes has also been among the game's elite in 2022 with an 11-8 record, a 3.11 ERA, a 1.00 WHIP and 231 strikeouts in 191 innings pitched. 

    Get the best Marlins vs Brewers odds and lines available from our recommended sportsbooks for your favorite picks of the night

    • Best Spread
      MIA
      MIL
    • Best Moneyline
      MIA
      MIL
    • Best Total
      Over
      Under

    Miami Playing Well Down The Stretch

    The Marlins picked up a 4-2 win over the Brewers on Thursday night as +145 underdogs. With the win, Miami improved to 6-4 SU over its last 10 games including a 4-2 SU run over its last six games. This 10-game stretch was preceded by a 5-16 SU run over the Marlins' previous 21 games.

    Avisail Garcia was the hero on Thursday, hitting a grand slam in the top of the eighth inning to give the Marlins a 4-2 lead. Garcia had only one home run in his previous 109 at-bats prior to the grand slam.

    Milwaukee Still Fighting For A Wild Card Spot

    The Brewers fell to 1-3 SU over their last four games with Thursday's loss after having gone 4-0 SU in the four games prior to this slump. Milwaukee averaged 6.5 runs per game over its four-game winning streak and just 2.5 runs per game during this 1-3 SU skid.

    Milwaukee enters Friday's action with an 83-73 SU record, a half-game behind the Philadelphia Phillies at 83-72 SU. This race for the final National League wild-card spot could go right down to the wire with only one week left in the regular season.

    Sportsbook

    Marlins Player Prop: Sandy Alcantara OVER 6.5 strikeouts (-103)

    Sandy Alcantara has struck out seven batters or more in five of his last eight starts. And the Brewers strike out a lot with the fifth highest strikeout total in the majors at 1,402 strikeouts in 156 games. Getting to seven strikeouts in this game seems quite achievable for Alcantara.

    Brewers Player Prop: Corbin Burnes UNDER 8.5 strikeouts (-127)

    This prop is going against the grain as Burnes is an elite strikeout pitcher facing a fairly week lineup. It's worth noting however that Burnes has had seven strikeouts or less in seven of his last nine starts. It wouldn't be surprising to see him go over this total, but there's value in the UNDER here.

    Marlins vs Brewers Picks & Insights

    Marlins: Keys To Victory

    Miami ranks 28th in the majors in run production with only 3.60 runs per game scored this season. As is always the case when he takes the mound, it will be up to Sandy Alcantara to pitch at an elite level to give Miami a shot to cash in as a Marlins vs Brewers prediction in a low-scoring game.

    Brewers: Keys To Victory

    Corbin Burnes shouldn't have much trouble on Friday facing one of the worst offenses in baseball. But Milwaukee will only get the job done as a Marlins vs Brewers pick if their lineup can snap out of its recent slump and score a few runs, which will be no easy task facing Alcantara.

    MLB Computer Picks: Brewers ML -180

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    Shark Bites
    • Miami is 4-9 SU over its last 13 road games.
    • Milwaukee is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games vs Miami.
    • The UNDER is 4-1 in Milwaukee's last 5 home games.

Odds

Friday, September 30 Fri Sep 30


Opening
Current

Runline
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+1.5
-227
+125
o5.5
-119
-1.5
+160
-161
u5.5
-115
Runline
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+1.5
-151
+165
o6
-115
-1.5
+131
-179
u6
-105

Edge Finder

3.28
Runs
4.17
2.45
Walks
3.27
6.99
Hits
7.21
8.77
Strike Outs
9.01

Head To Head

MIA
Stat Type MIL
4.40
Runs
3.00
7.10
Hits
8.00
2.80
Walks
1.70
12.30
Strikeouts
8.90
7-3
O/U
7-3
MIA
Stat Type MIL
5.33
Runs
4.00
7.00
Hits
8.67
2.67
Walks
2.67
12.33
Strikeouts
7.33
2-1
O/U
2-1
Sep 29/22 (1 of 10)
MIA
Stat Type MIL
Away
Home
4
Runs
2
5
Hits
9
2
Walks
2
14
Strikeouts
5
7.5 o
O/U
7.5 u
Starting Pitcher
MIAMIL
Braxton Garrett (L)
Eric Lauer (L)
May 15/22 (2 of 10)
MIA
Stat Type MIL
Home
Away
3
Runs
7
5
Hits
9
2
Walks
6
14
Strikeouts
6
7 o
O/U
7 u
Starting Pitcher
MIAMIL
Elieser Hernandez (R)
Brandon Woodruff (R)
May 14/22 (3 of 10)
MIA
Stat Type MIL
Home
Away
9
Runs
3
11
Hits
8
4
Walks
0
9
Strikeouts
11
7 o
O/U
7 u
Starting Pitcher
MIAMIL
Trevor Rogers (L)
Eric Lauer (L)
May 13/22 (4 of 10)
MIA
Stat Type MIL
Home
Away
1
Runs
2
5
Hits
6
0
Walks
1
9
Strikeouts
14
6 o
O/U
6 u
Starting Pitcher
MIAMIL
Pablo Lopez (R)
Corbin Burnes (R)
May 9/21 (5 of 10)
MIA
Stat Type MIL
Home
Away
1
Runs
2
6
Hits
7
2
Walks
3
12
Strikeouts
11
7 o
O/U
7 u
Starting Pitcher
MIAMIL
Sandy Alcantara (R)
Brett Anderson (L)
May 8/21 (6 of 10)
MIA
Stat Type MIL
Home
Away
2
Runs
6
6
Hits
11
0
Walks
2
18
Strikeouts
10
7.5 o
O/U
7.5 u
Starting Pitcher
MIAMIL
Daniel Castano (L)
Adrian Houser (R)
May 7/21 (7 of 10)
MIA
Stat Type MIL
Home
Away
6
Runs
1
10
Hits
5
3
Walks
2
8
Strikeouts
10
6.5 o
O/U
6.5 u
Starting Pitcher
MIAMIL
Trevor Rogers (L)
Brent Suter (L)
Apr 28/21 (8 of 10)
MIA
Stat Type MIL
Away
Home
6
Runs
2
5
Hits
7
10
Walks
0
11
Strikeouts
5
7.5 o
O/U
7.5 u
Starting Pitcher
MIAMIL
Sandy Alcantara (R)
Zack Godley (R)
Apr 27/21 (9 of 10)
MIA
Stat Type MIL
Away
Home
4
Runs
5
7
Hits
10
3
Walks
1
13
Strikeouts
7
8 o
O/U
8 u
Starting Pitcher
MIAMIL
Daniel Castano (L)
Adrian Houser (R)
Apr 26/21 (10 of 10)
MIA
Stat Type MIL
Away
Home
8
Runs
0
11
Hits
8
2
Walks
0
15
Strikeouts
10
6 o
O/U
6 u
Starting Pitcher
MIAMIL
Trevor Rogers (L)
Corbin Burnes (R)

Starting Pitchers

DateOppSUScoreO/UIPLineERWHIPStrikeoutsDecision
Sep 24, 2022WSHW4-1U8-22010.5011Win
Sep 18, 2022WSHW3-1U9-17510.897Win
Sep 13, 2022PHIL1-2U7-12521.294Loss
View Pitcher Log
DateOppSUScoreO/UIPLineERWHIPStrikeoutsDecision
Sep 24, 2022CINW10-2O6.10-22021.118Win
Sep 19, 2022NYML2-7O5.20-12051.414Loss
Sep 14, 2022STLL1-4U7-12531.145Loss
View Pitcher Log
DateOppSUScoreO/UIPLineERWHIPStrikeoutsDecision
May 9, 2021MILL1-2U7-135116No Decision
Apr 28, 2021MILW6-2O7-11420.714Win
Jun 5, 2019MILW8-3O7+22010.865Win
View Pitcher Log
DateOppSUScoreO/UIPLineERWHIPStrikeoutsDecision
May 13, 2022MIAW2-1U7-15010.717No Decision
Apr 26, 2021MIAL0-8O5-16341.609Loss
View Pitcher Log

Team Records

MIA
Record MIL
65-91
All
83-73
32-46
Home
43-32
33-45
Away
40-41
34-28
As Fav
69-51
29-62
As Dog
14-21
74-82
ATS
65-91
29-49
ATS Home
31-44
45-33
ATS Away
34-47
69-79-8
O/U
75-74-7
37-35-6
O/U Home
36-37-2
32-44-2
O/U Away
39-37-5
17-20
vs. LHP
26-25
48-71
vs. RHP
57-48
MIA
Record MIL
8-12
All
15-5
4-6
Home
8-2
4-6
Away
7-3
4-4
As Fav
10-2
3-8
As Dog
5-3
10-10
ATS
11-9
4-6
ATS Home
5-5
6-4
ATS Away
6-4
9-10-1
O/U
9-8-3
5-4-1
O/U Home
7-2-1
4-6
O/U Away
2-6-2
3-3
vs. LHP
5-1
5-9
vs. RHP
10-4
MIA
Record MIL
57-79
All
68-68
28-40
Home
35-30
29-39
Away
33-38
30-24
As Fav
59-49
26-54
As Dog
9-18
64-72
ATS
54-82
25-43
ATS Home
26-39
39-29
ATS Away
28-43
60-69-7
O/U
66-66-4
32-31-5
O/U Home
29-35-1
28-38-2
O/U Away
37-31-3
14-17
vs. LHP
21-24
43-62
vs. RHP
47-44
MIA
Record MIL
32-41
All
42-34
14-21
Home
22-15
18-20
Away
20-19
16-9
As Fav
39-30
16-32
As Dog
3-4
36-37
ATS
33-43
13-22
ATS Home
19-18
23-15
ATS Away
14-25
33-34-6
O/U
37-36-3
17-14-4
O/U Home
15-21-1
16-20-2
O/U Away
22-15-2
5-8
vs. LHP
10-10
27-33
vs. RHP
32-24
MIA
Record MIL
6-4
All
5-5
3-3
Home
2-4
3-1
Away
3-1
4-3
As Fav
4-3
2-1
As Dog
1-2
7-3
ATS
5-5
3-3
ATS Home
2-4
4-0
ATS Away
3-1
4-5-1
O/U
3-7
2-3-1
O/U Home
2-4
2-2
O/U Away
1-3
2-0
vs. LHP
1-2
4-4
vs. RHP
4-3

Gametime Weather

Weather
7:10pm Clear
14ºC / 57ºF
72% Humidity
2% Precipitation
11% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Retractable
Field Image
Arrow Image 6
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries
NamePositionInj Desc
Jesse WinkerLF10-day IL (10/05), Neck

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULineTotalStarterIPOPP. Starter
Sep 29, 2022MIL4-2W+1457.50Braxton Garrett4Eric Lauer
Sep 28, 2022NYM4-5L+1607Jesus Luzardo6Taijuan Walker
Sep 27, 2022NYM6-4W+1807Pablo Lopez6Carlos Carrasco
Sep 25, 2022WSH1-6L-1757.50Edward Cabrera3.20Anibal Sanchez
Sep 24, 2022WSH4-1W-2206.50Sandy Alcantara8Erick Fedde
Sep 23, 2022WSH5-2W-1377Braxton Garrett6Josiah Gray
Sep 21, 2022CHC3-4L-1156.50Jesus Luzardo6.20Marcus Stroman
Sep 20, 2022CHC1-2L-1657Pablo Lopez6.20Adrian Sampson
Sep 19, 2022CHC10-3W-1377Edward Cabrera5Wade Miley
Sep 18, 2022WSH3-1W-1757.50Sandy Alcantara9Anibal Sanchez
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULineTotalStarterIPOPP. Starter
Sep 29, 2022MIA2-4L-1757.50Eric Lauer5Braxton Garrett
Sep 28, 2022STL5-1W-1807Brandon Woodruff6Jose Quintana
Sep 27, 2022STL2-6L+1058.50Adrian Houser3.10Miles Mikolas
Sep 25, 2022CIN1-2L-1508.50Freddy Peralta2Nick Lodolo
Sep 24, 2022CIN10-2W-2208Corbin Burnes6.10Graham Ashcraft
Sep 23, 2022CIN5-3W-1708.50Eric Lauer2.20Luis Cessa
Sep 22, 2022CIN5-1W-1757.50Brandon Woodruff6Hunter Greene
Sep 21, 2022NYM6-0W+1158.50Adrian Houser4.20Taijuan Walker
Sep 20, 2022NYM5-7L+1108Aaron Ashby2Carlos Carrasco
Sep 19, 2022NYM2-7L-1206.50Corbin Burnes5.20Max Scherzer
View Game Logs