Events
MLB
Milwaukee
Brewers
96 - 69
Eric Lauer (7-5) ERA: 3.09
Atlanta
Braves
90 - 73
Charlie Morton (14-7) ERA: 3.32
October 12, 2021, 5:15 PM EDT
 | Truist Park

Game Preview

Milwaukee
Brewers
96 - 69
Eric Lauer (7-5) ERA: 3.09
Atlanta
Braves
90 - 73
Charlie Morton (14-7) ERA: 3.32
October 12, 2021, 5:15 PM EDT
 | Truist Park

  • The Atlanta Braves are 14-3 over their last 17 games, including back-to-back wins over the Milwaukee Brewers. The Braves can punch their ticket to the National League Championship Series with another win over the Brewers on Tuesday night in Atlanta.

    Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves
    • Date/Time: October 12, 5:15 p.m. ET
    • Stadium: Truist Park
    • TV Coverage: TBS
    • Sportsbook Odds: Braves -125 | O/U 8.5 (Line History)
    • Brewers vs Braves Matchup Report

    Sportsbook Odds Analysis

    The Braves opened as -125 home favorites before the starting pitchers for Game 4 were announced and are now going off at -150. Milwaukee will try to extend the series as a +140 underdog, while the total is down to 8 runs after Sportsbook at 8.5 runs. The UNDER is 4-2 in Milwaukee’s last six games in Atlanta.

    Starting Pitchers Analysis

    Eric Lauer got tagged for five earned runs in his final start of the regular season against the Los Angeles Dodgers. But before that, he had recorded an outstanding 1.15 ERA and a 0.70 WHIP over his previous five starts. Lauer carries a 3.19 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP into this start.

    Charlie Morton gets the nod in Game 4 on just three days’ rest. Morton pitched six innings and allowed only three hits and two earned runs with nine strikeouts in Game 1 against the Brewers. The veteran right-hander went 14-6 with a 3.34 ERA, a 1.04 WHIP and 216 strikeouts during the regular season.

    See Odds Shark’s Best MLB Betting Sites

    Milwaukee News & Notes

    The Brewers lost to the Braves 3-0 on Sunday, the same score that they lost by in Game 2, and have managed to score only two runs in this series. The team’s offensive woes didn’t just start in the playoffs; the Brewers ended the regular season on a 4-10 skid in which they averaged only 3.57 runs per game.

    On the bright side for Milwaukee, the starting staff and bullpen have pitched great in this series with a 2.42 team ERA. This series could easily see a Game 5 if the Brewers offense wakes up.

    Atlanta News & Notes

    Atlanta’s pitching staff has now combined to hold the Brewers scoreless for 19 straight innings.

    Joc Pederson made his one at-bat on Sunday count with a pinch-hit home run in the bottom of the fifth inning that was responsible for all three Atlanta runs in the game.

    The Braves finished the regular season on a 12-2 run, averaging 5.64 runs per game over that stretch. While the run production has gone down against the elite pitching of the Brewers, this offense is at least providing its team with some run support, unlike Milwaukee’s.

    How Milwaukee Will Win

    Milwaukee needs to get its offense going, and perhaps facing Morton on short rest will be the ticket. In Game 1, two runs off Morton was enough for the Brewers to squeak out a win. The Brewers are so good at protecting leads that there is a clear path to victory if they can just create a lead.

    How Atlanta Will Win

    Charlie Morton was lights-out in the postseason for the Rays in both 2019 and 2020 and is off to a strong start again in 2021. Atlanta has the better offense in this series, so as long as Morton is able to give the Braves a solid start here, the offense should eventually be able to grind out a few runs. That has been enough throughout this series.

    Computer Pick: Brewers +140

    For more baseball predictions, visit our MLB Computer Picks page.

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    Shark Bites
    • Milwaukee is 0-5 in its last 5 road games.
    • Atlanta is 10-2 in its last 12 games.
    • The UNDER is 6-1 in Atlanta’s last 7 games.
Back to Matchup

Odds

Tuesday, October 12 Tue Oct 12

Opening
Current
Milwaukee
vsFinal
Atlanta
Runline
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+1.5
-169
+117
o8.5
-111
-1.5
+137
-145
u8.5
-111
Runline
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+1.5
-156
+142
o8
+100
-1.5
+136
-154
u8
-120
Line History
Final

Edge Finder

4.48
 Runs
4.88
3.56
 Walks
2.93
7.83
 Hits
8.60
9.04
 Strike Outs
9.26

Head To Head

MIL
 Stat Type ATL
3.30
 Runs
4.50
6.90
 Hits
8.20
3.10
 Walks
3.70
8.60
 Strikeouts
9.80
3-6-1
 O/U
3-6-1
MIL
 Stat Type ATL
0.67
 Runs
2.33
5.33
 Hits
6.33
2.00
 Walks
3.33
11.00
 Strikeouts
8.67
0-3
 O/U
0-3
Oct 11/21 (1 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
0
 Runs
3
5
 Hits
8
1
 Walks
3
9
 Strikeouts
8
8 o
 O/U
8 u
Starting Pitcher
MILATL
Freddy Peralta (R)
 Ian Anderson (R)
Oct 9/21 (2 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
0
 Runs
3
6
 Hits
7
3
 Walks
3
14
 Strikeouts
10
7 o
 O/U
7 u
Starting Pitcher
MILATL
Brandon Woodruff (R)
 Max Fried (L)
Oct 8/21 (3 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
2
 Runs
1
5
 Hits
4
2
 Walks
4
10
 Strikeouts
8
7 o
 O/U
7 u
Starting Pitcher
MILATL
Corbin Burnes (R)
 Charlie Morton (R)
Aug 1/21 (4 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
2
 Runs
1
3
 Hits
7
0
 Walks
1
8
 Strikeouts
9
9 o
 O/U
9 u
Starting Pitcher
MILATL
Brett Anderson (L)
 Charlie Morton (R)
Jul 31/21 (5 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
1
 Runs
8
7
 Hits
13
4
 Walks
2
8
 Strikeouts
9
9 o
 O/U
9 u
Starting Pitcher
MILATL
Brandon Woodruff (R)
 Kyle Muller (L)
Jul 30/21 (6 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
9
 Runs
5
13
 Hits
10
4
 Walks
3
8
 Strikeouts
12
8.5 o
 O/U
8.5 u
Starting Pitcher
MILATL
Corbin Burnes (R)
 Touki Toussaint (R)
May 16/21 (7 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
10
 Runs
9
12
 Hits
8
8
 Walks
5
10
 Strikeouts
13
7 o
 O/U
7 u
Starting Pitcher
MILATL
Freddy Peralta (R)
 Huascar Ynoa (R)
May 15/21 (8 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
1
 Runs
5
3
 Hits
11
5
 Walks
4
6
 Strikeouts
12
8 o
 O/U
8 u
Starting Pitcher
MILATL
Brett Anderson (L)
 Ian Anderson (R)
May 14/21 (9 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
3
 Runs
6
8
 Hits
8
2
 Walks
5
6
 Strikeouts
9
7.5 o
 O/U
7.5 u
Starting Pitcher
MILATL
Adrian Houser (R)
 Drew Smyly (L)
Jul 17/19 (10 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
5
 Runs
4
7
 Hits
6
2
 Walks
7
7
 Strikeouts
8
10 o
 O/U
10 u
Starting Pitcher
MILATL
Chase Anderson (R)
 Dallas Keuchel (L)

Starting Pitchers

DateOppSUScoreO/UIPLineERWHIPStrikeoutsDecision
Oct 1, 2021LAL6-8O5+20051.603No Decision
Sep 24, 2021NYMW5-1U6.20-13310.759Win
Sep 19, 2021CHCL4-6O5.10-22510.756No Decision
View Pitcher Log
DateOppSUScoreO/UIPLineERWHIPStrikeoutsDecision
Oct 8, 2021MILL1-2U6+13020.679Loss
Oct 3, 2021NYMW5-0U2.20-16000.373No Decision
Sep 28, 2021PHIW2-1U7-12100.7110Win
View Pitcher Log

No pitcher available

DateOppSUScoreO/UIPLineERWHIPStrikeoutsDecision
Oct 8, 2021MILL1-2U6+13020.679Loss
Aug 1, 2021MILL1-2U6-16720.506Loss
Apr 23, 2016MILW10-6O1+127133No Decision
View Pitcher Log

Team Records

MIL
 Record ATL
96-69
 All
90-73
46-37
 Home
43-37
50-32
 Away
47-36
76-51
 As Fav
67-47
19-17
 As Dog
21-25
87-78
 ATS
82-81
36-47
 ATS Home
29-51
51-31
 ATS Away
53-30
76-79-10
 O/U
74-80-9
39-39-5
 O/U Home
40-32-8
37-40-5
 O/U Away
34-48-1
20-20
 vs. LHP
23-18
76-49
 vs. RHP
67-55
MIL
 Record ATL
8-12
 All
6-14
4-6
 Home
1-9
4-6
 Away
5-5
8-12
 As Fav
5-11
0-0
 As Dog
1-3
6-14
 ATS
5-15
2-8
 ATS Home
1-9
4-6
 ATS Away
4-6
6-10-4
 O/U
9-10-1
3-4-3
 O/U Home
6-3-1
3-6-1
 O/U Away
3-7
2-5
 vs. LHP
3-8
6-7
 vs. RHP
3-6
MIL
 Record ATL
88-57
 All
84-59
42-31
 Home
42-28
46-26
 Away
42-31
68-39
 As Fav
62-36
19-17
 As Dog
20-22
81-64
 ATS
77-66
34-39
 ATS Home
28-42
47-25
 ATS Away
49-24
70-69-6
 O/U
65-70-8
36-35-2
 O/U Home
34-29-7
34-34-4
 O/U Away
31-41-1
18-15
 vs. LHP
20-10
70-42
 vs. RHP
64-49
MIL
 Record ATL
47-29
 All
45-31
19-19
 Home
23-15
28-10
 Away
22-16
39-23
 As Fav
36-20
7-5
 As Dog
8-11
45-31
 ATS
38-38
17-21
 ATS Home
13-25
28-10
 ATS Away
25-13
36-35-5
 O/U
36-36-4
16-20-2
 O/U Home
19-16-3
20-15-3
 O/U Away
17-20-1
6-6
 vs. LHP
12-4
41-23
 vs. RHP
33-27
MIL
 Record ATL
3-7
 All
8-2
2-1
 Home
6-1
1-6
 Away
2-1
2-2
 As Fav
6-1
1-5
 As Dog
2-1
3-7
 ATS
7-3
1-2
 ATS Home
4-3
2-5
 ATS Away
3-0
5-5
 O/U
2-8
1-2
 O/U Home
2-5
4-3
 O/U Away
0-3
0-4
 vs. LHP
0-0
3-3
 vs. RHP
8-2

Gametime Weather

Weather
4:15pm Mostly Cloudy
24ºC / 75ºF
68% Humidity
1% Precipitation
72% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 2
 mph

Trends

  • Milwaukee are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.
  • Milwaukee are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
  • Milwaukee are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games against an opponent in the National League East Division division.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games.
  • Atlanta are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games against Milwaukee.
  • Atlanta are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
  • Atlanta are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the National League Central Division division.

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
Justin WilsonRP15-day IL (03/27), Elbow
Adrian HouserRP15-day IL (03/27), Groin
Tyrone TaylorCF10-day IL (03/27), Elbow
Aaron AshbySP15-day IL (03/27), Shoulder
NamePositionInj Desc
Tyler MatzekSP60-day IL (03/30), Elbow
Raisel IglesiasRP15-day IL (03/27), Shoulder
Max FriedSPLeft last game, is OUT for next scheduled start, Hamstring
Kyle WrightSP15-day IL (03/26), Shoulder
Huascar YnoaSP60-day IL (03/30), Elbow

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULineTotalStarterIPOPP. Starter
Oct 11, 2021ATL0-3L-1058Freddy Peralta4Ian Anderson
Oct 9, 2021ATL0-3L-1177Brandon Woodruff6Max Fried
Oct 8, 2021ATL2-1W-1557Corbin Burnes6Charlie Morton
Oct 3, 2021LA3-10L+2508.50Brett Anderson1Walker Buehler
Oct 2, 2021LA3-8L+1357Corbin Burnes2Julio Urias
Oct 1, 2021LA6-8L+2008Eric Lauer5Clayton Kershaw
Sep 30, 2021STL3-4L+1058.50Brett Anderson5J.A. Happ
Sep 29, 2021STL4-0W+1007.50Adrian Houser5Miles Mikolas
Sep 28, 2021STL2-6L-1137Brandon Woodruff4Adam Wainwright
Sep 26, 2021NYM8-4W-1528Freddy Peralta5.10Carlos Carrasco
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULineTotalStarterIPOPP. Starter
Oct 11, 2021MIL3-0W-1158Ian Anderson5Freddy Peralta
Oct 9, 2021MIL3-0W+1077Max Fried6Brandon Woodruff
Oct 8, 2021MIL1-2L+1307Charlie Morton6Corbin Burnes
Oct 3, 2021NYM5-0W-1608.50Charlie Morton2.20Noah Syndergaard
Oct 2, 2021NYM6-5W-1208.50Jesse Chavez2Carlos Carrasco
Oct 1, 2021NYM3-4L-1208.50Huascar Ynoa5Tylor Megill
Sep 30, 2021PHI5-3W-1548.50Ian Anderson6Kyle Gibson
Sep 29, 2021PHI7-2W-1488Max Fried7Aaron Nola
Sep 28, 2021PHI2-1W-1217.50Charlie Morton7Zack Wheeler
Sep 26, 2021SD4-3W+1168Jesse Chavez1.10Joe Musgrove
View Game Logs