The Minnesota Twins continue to be the surprise team of 2019 as they’re 40-19 SU in 59 games and an MLB-best 21-10 SU in 31 road games. They’ll look to extend their 10.5-game lead over the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field tonight and after dropping the first game of the series, the Twinkies have been an excellent rebound team for bettors. They’re 15-3 SU in 18 games after a loss this season and are easily the most profitable team in baseball.
The Indians opened as -130 favorites with a total of 9.
Standout Stats
- Martin Perez gets the start for the Twins and since he got moved to the starting rotation, he’s been fairly solid. In nine starts, he owns a 4.08 ERA but he got roughed up in his last outing vs the Rays, giving up six hits and six earned runs in 2.2 innings. He has had only one career start at Progressive Field, back in 2013, and lasted three innings while giving up eight hits and six earned runs.
- Carlos Carrasco was set to start tonight but was put on the IL with a blood condition. Replacing him will be Tyler Clippard, who has been used primarily as an opener this season along with being a reliever out of the bullpen. In 13 appearances this season, he owns a 2.70 ERA and 0.68 WHIP.
- Luckily for the Indians, their bullpen has been sound lately. Their relievers own a 2.95 ERA over the last 30 days while holding the opposition to a .240 batting average. With Clippard now starting, expect a healthy dose of the Tribe’s bullpen in this one.
- The Twins’ offense has been the straw that stirs the drink this season as they rank near the top of almost every offensive category. They’re hitting .300 over the last 14 days with an insane .917 OPS. It’s also worth mentioning the Twins are 15-3 SU this season when coming off a loss.
- The Indians have not been very consistent on offense this season and are hitting .227 in home games, which ranks 25th in MLB. They also rank 26th in OPS (.685). Over the last 14 days, they’re hitting .234 at home with a .724 OPS.
- A lot of UNDER trends coming into this matchup. It’s hit in five of the Twins’ last seven games with Martin Perez as the starting pitcher and in six of his nine starts this season. The UNDER has also hit in five of the last six games in this matchup and in four of Cleveland’s five games overall.
My Best Bet for Twins vs Indians
Twins moneyline
Just because I bet on them yesterday and they lost doesn’t mean the Twins automatically become a fade. They have the edge on the Indians in almost every phase of the game and they’re so deep that it would be foolish to not take them in this spot, especially since they’re 7-3 SU in their last 10 games as an underdog. The Indians’ offense has been hit-or-miss this season and based on their offensive stats at home lately, I’m banking on the latter – that they come up short today against the best road team in MLB.
