A notoriously top-heavy division, the NL West is no longer a playground for the Dodgers to muck about. The Padres made a run to the NLCS a year ago, and while the Giants took a step back, the Diamondbacks could exceed their projections and surprise people with a sneaky good season.
All told, there’s a strong chance a World Series winner or an MVP pops out of the NL West. Let’s dive into the odds and see who might win the division in 2023.
2023 NL West Odds
|San Diego Padres||+850|
|San Francisco Giants||+1200|
Odds as of June 2nd, 2023 15:23pm EDT.
Our sports betting calculator tells us the Dodgers’ odds translate to a 55.56 percent implied probability to win the NL West. That means a $10 bet on L.A. today pays out $18.
Why Are The Los Angeles Dodgers Favored (-125)?
The Dodgers are the Dodgers — they’ll always have deep pockets and they’ll always be competitive. 2023 will be no different, but L.A. isn’t exactly the powerhouse it was in years past.
Trea Turner departed for Philly and Justin Turner is now on the Red Sox. Gavin Lux also wrecked his knee in spring training, which really screws the Dodgers’ depth up the middle. I’d be slightly concerned about a lack of offensive production at Dodger Stadium this year.
L.A.’s rotation is headlined by Julio Urias, Clayton Kershaw, Dustin May and Tony Gonsolin, giving them one of the best starting crews in baseball. That’ll play nicely. And, who knows, there’s always the chance the Dodgers go all-in for Shohei Ohtani at the trade deadline.
Best 2023 NL West Odds Pick: San Diego padres (+125)
I buttered up the D-backs earlier, but they aren’t winning jack. This division is a true two-team race (much like the AL West), and with the Padres and Dodgers as evenly matched as they are, I’ll recommend the underdog for now.
San Diego is a menace on offense, toting a loaded top of the order, starting with Xander Bogaerts and Juan Soto, followed by Manny Machado and (eventually) Fernando Tatis Jr. Not many lineups in baseball possess that kind of star power.
The Friars might not have a rotation on par with the Dodgers, but their pitching is damn good, too. Yu Darvish will be the club’s ace, with Blake Snell, Michael Wacha and Joe Musgrove to follow. San Diego also has Josh Hader, arguably the best closer in the majors, coming out of the bullpen.
If you’re really gung-ho on a futures bet at this point in the season, the Padres at +125 are an easy choice.
Who is favored to win the NL West?
The Dodgers are slight favorites to win the NL West at -125, though the Padres aren't far behind at +125.