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NL West Odds 2021: Two-Horse Race Between LA And SF

Dodgers behind in standings but still favorites in 2021 NL West Division Odds

The defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers are beginning to kick it into gear as we approach the end of the regular season. Sitting just 2.5 games back with a record of 9-1 in their last 10 games, LA is starting to put a large deal of pressure on the division-leading San Francisco Giants.

The Giants have been the biggest surprise of the 2021 MLB season, holding the best record in baseball at 83-44. While the Dodgers are starting to win more ballgames, the Giants continue to do what they have been doing all year and that is winning games.

As we approach the end of the regular season, these two teams appear to be in the midst of a major battle to see who takes home the 2021 NL West Division banner.

When it comes to NL West odds 2021, online sportsbook Bovada has tabbed the Dodgers as -175 favorites to win the division. Following the Dodgers are the Giants at +120 and the San Diego Padres at +50000. The Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies are almost mathematically out, so their odds are unavailable.

The Dodgers’ -175 NL West odds mean that you would have to bet $100 to profit $57. Additionally, our sports betting calculator tells us that the Dodgers’ betting line represents an implied win probability of 63.64 percent.

NL West Odds 2021

Odds to Win the 2021 NL West 
TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers-175-250
San Francisco Giants+120+4000
San Diego Padres+50000+200

Odds as of August 27 at Bovada

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Los Angeles Dodgers (-175)

The Dodgers won the NL West for the eighth year in a row in 2020 and are in a decent position to make it nine straight. Although their season began with some struggles, the team is hitting its stride at the right time.

The Dodgers have the best run differential in baseball at +213 (runs scored minus runs allowed). There is no doubt, talent-wise, that the Dodgers have the most talented team in MLB. The Dodgers’ stellar rotation got even stronger at the trade deadline with the acquisition of future Hall of Famer Max Scherzer. The rotation now consists of Walker Buehler, Max Scherzer, Clayton Kershaw, Julio Urias and David Price.

Looking ahead to the rest of the season, the Dodgers have a fairly difficult schedule as they still have to play series against the Braves, Giants, Cardinals, Padres, Reds and Brewers. However, they can make up some ground in the other series when they play the Rockies and Diamondbacks in multiple three-game sets. Overall, their remaining opponents hold a win percentage of just over .500.

According to Fangraphs, the Dodgers have a 62.6 percent chance to win the division. This is a little less than what the implied odds show with their current odds at -175 (63.64%).

Looking at the NL West Division odds, the Dodgers are sitting as -175 favorites to win, while being 2.5 games back of a San Francisco Giants team that continues to win games. Although the Dodgers are likely the best team in baseball, with such little time remaining in the regular season, it is difficult to justify taking the Dodgers to win the division at this price.

San Francisco Giants (+120)

The San Francisco Giants have shocked the world this year and hold the best record in all of baseball. With that being said, it hasn’t been a fluke. The Giants own the fourth-best run differential in all of baseball at +152. This team just wins games. They are consistent all across the board. Currently top 10 in almost every hitting and pitching category, the Giants have been the epitome of consistency.

Looking at the NL West odds, the division-leading Giants are not the favorites to win the division. What else can the team do to solidify itself as the favorite? The Giants’ odds to win the NL West are at +120 (bet $100 to win $120).

The Giants’ schedule for the remainder of the season provides some tough challenges. Their next 10 games will decide a whole lot in this division, coming against the Braves, Brewers and Dodgers. If they can come out of those games solidly, with a series win against the Dodgers, they will be in a great position to take the division.

According to Fangraphs, the Giants have a 37.4 percent chance to win the division. This implies that the odds should be significantly higher. With these implied odds, the odds for them to win the division should be up to +167 (bet $100 to win $167).

Looking at the NL West Division odds, it is tough to say who is going to come out with this division. However, the Giants being underdogs to win the title this late into the season may be worth the risk.

San Diego Padres (+50000)

According to the opening odds, Vegas thought that the Padres would be neck and neck competing for the NL West Division title. However, the Giants had other plans and the Padres are currently on the outside looking in for a wild-card spot.

Looking at the odds in the NL West, the Padres (+50000) have an implied probability of 0.20 percent to win the division. According to Fangraphs, the Padres have a 0.00 percent chance of winning the division.

With only 33 games left, the Padres have the toughest remaining strength of schedule in the NL West Division. In those remaining games, the Padres will play multiple series with arguably the two best teams in baseball in the Dodgers and Giants. If the Padres were much closer to these teams, it would be good for them, but being 13.5 games back of the Dodgers and 16 games in arrears of the Giants, they do not have much of a chance to catch up. Also, with both of these teams still fighting for that division title, they will both be trying to win games down the stretch.

Overall, in terms of winning percentage, the Padres have the toughest schedule in baseball to close out the season. They have essentially no shot at winning the NL West Division, so their hopes turn to a wild-card spot. The Padres are two games back of the Cincinnati Reds for that elusive second wild-card spot. Not only are the Padres two games back of the Reds, but the Reds also have one of the easiest remaining schedules in baseball. Buckle up – it’s going to be a fun ride to the end of the MLB season!