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Cardinals’ Leake Has Owned The Pirates

Mike Leake has found no greater success in the MLB than when he faces off against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Leake has posted a 3.29 ERA in 29 starts versus the Pirates in his seven-year career, which is the best ERA he has against any team he has made 10-plus starts against. Leake and the St. Louis Cardinals close out their three-game set with the Pirates on Sunday night.

  • The Cardinals are 0-5 SU in their past 5 games at home.
  • The Pirates are 5-0 against the runline in their past 5 games against the Cardinals.
  • David Freese is 16-for-31 with 5 extra-base hits in his career against Mike Leake.

The Pirates will counter with Chad Kuhl, who has been performing much better away from PNC Park this year. The 24-year-old has a 3.45 ERA in his six road starts this season compared to a hefty 7.36 ERA in eight home appearances. Kuhl looked good in his lone start against the Cards this season, allowing two earned runs in six innings.

After entering the series on a six-game skid against the Cardinals, the Pirates will look for a rare sweep of their division rivals in the Gateway to the West. Getting Kuhl to go deep in the game will help their chances immensely, as the Pirates are 14-22 on the season when their starter fails to make it through six innings.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The St. Louis Cardinals were listed as -151 moneyline favorites earlier in the day at BetOnline, while odds makers set the opening total line around 9 earlier at Bovada.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 4.2-3.8 win for the Pirates. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

33-40 St. Louis battles the Pirates, currently with a 35-40 mark. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and St. Louis vs Pittsburgh injuries news.

The OddsShark MLB Power Rankings have the St. Louis Cardinals at No. 18 and the Pittsburgh Pirates at No. 13 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

Scoring stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features the St. Louis Cardinals No. 24-ranked scoring average of 4.3 runs per game, against a Pittsburgh Pirates offense rated No. 26 and scoring 4.27 runs per game. The Cardinals have averaged 8.49 hits per game to date this season, more than the Pirates hitters have managed (8.32 per nine innings).

St. Louis owns the No. 12 defense, allowing 4.3 men per game to cross the plate. That contrasts with Pittsburgh's No. 18-rated defense.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Pittsburgh rolled to a 7-3 win against St. Louis on Saturday, as Gerrit Cole and the Pirates' bats led the team to victory at New Busch Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • St. Louis is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
  • St. Louis is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games
  • St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Pittsburgh home to Tampa Bay, Tuesday, June 27th
St. Louis home to Cincinnati, Monday, June 26th